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NCAAB Week 12 Power Rankings

CE Manager 5 hours, 37 minutes ago
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NCAAB Power Rankings - Week 12 edition

1. Oklahoma -18: The Sooners once again took over the top spot after rallying to defeat LSU behind Buddy Hield's 32 point effort & then followed that win up with a victory over TCU. They have 5 Top 15 wins this season and have no losses to teams outside of the Top 15             

2. Villanova -17.85: The Wildcats have won 11 of their last 12 games and still lead the Big East. Along with the Oklahoma Sooners, they also have 5 Top 50 wins and no losses outside of the Top 30. They have a tough matchup on deck as they travel to take on the Providence Friars.             

3. Maryland -17.55: The Terrapins are just a game behind the conference lead after victories over Ohio State and a very tough Iowa team. Their schedule will get much tougher here on out and all of their losses on the season have come in true road games.             

4. North Carolina -16.35: As it's been much of the season, North Carolina couldn't hang onto the number 1 spot after dropping a game against the Louisville Cardinals earlier this week. They are just 3-2 against teams ranked in the Top 50 with their best win of the season coming against Maryland.             

5. Xavier -16.3: Xavier has now won 4 straight after suffering an upset loss to the Georgetown Hoyas. The Musketeers have 5 wins inside the Top 50 & have a showdown with Marquette up next.             

6. Iowa    -16.29: The Hawkeyes fell in somewhat surprising fashion to Maryland in a game where Jarrod Uthoff was held to single-digit scoring (nine points) for the first time this season. They followed that performance up with a win over Northwestern and will face Illinois this upcoming weekend.     

7. Kansas -16.15: The Jayhawks are coming off an OT win versus Kentucky behind Wayne Selden's 33 point effort and then went on to beat Kansas State in their last contest. They have a somewhat "easy" matchup on deck as they take on the TCU Horned Frogs.              

8. Virginia -15.65: Virginia has cranked up their defensive intensity recently and completely shut down both the Louisville Cardinals and Boston College Eagles. They'll put their 5 game winning streak on the line as they travel to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers on Saturday.             

9. Michigan St -15.45: After a 3 game losing streak, the Spartans have now rattled off three straight. Sparty has a tough slate of games coming up as they travel to take on Michigan and Purdue before returning home to face Indiana.            

10. Texas A&M -15.2: Texas A&M has won 11 of their last 13 games, however their two losses have come on the road to unranked teams in Arkansas and Vanderbilt. They return home next to take on a tough South Carolina team up next.             

11. Louisville -14.75: The Cardinals have had an up and down week having been completely decimated by the Virginia Cavaliers and followed that performance up by knocking off then #1 ranked North Carolina. They take on Boston College at home next.              

12. West Virginia -14.45: The Mountaineers have four top-50 RPI wins and zero losses outside of the top 25. The normally stout WVU defense completely broke down against the Florida Gators as they gave up 88 points and over 52% shooting from the floor. They followed that loss up by defeating Iowa State. They have another tough matchup against Baylor on deck.             

13. Providence -14.2: The Friars may have got caught looking ahead to their upcoming matchup against Villanova as they suffered their first loss on the road in conference play to DePaul. This weekend's contest could be one of the most entertaining of the weekend.             

14. Purdue -14.15: The Boilermakers have won two straight since losing at Iowa and have a chance to continue to bolster their resume with their next three games against Maryland, Michigan State and Michigan.            

15. Miami -13.85: The Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 5 with their most recent being a 79-70 victory over Notre Dame. They travel to take on Georgia Tech on Sunday.               

16. Oregon -13.55: The Ducks are in sole possession of first place in the Pac-12 after winning four straight. Oregon is second in RPI with a 7-2 record vs. the top 50            

17. Baylor -13.45: The Bears’ loss to Texas dropped them to 6-3 in the Big 12. They’re 1-5 against the top 25 of the RPI and have a tough contest up next as they travel to Morgantown to take on the Mountaineers.             

18. Iowa State -13.38: The Cyclones faced two top-15 opponents this week and managed to lose both games. They have a much easier week against matching up with Oklahoma State and Texas Tech up next.             

19. Kentucky -13.26: This is clearly not the type of team that we a used to seeing from the Kentucky Wildcats. They are just 3-3 in their last six games, following an overtime loss at Kanas with a collapse vs. Tennessee. Their at home next to take on the Florida Gators.             

20. Dayton -12.65: The Flyers have won six straight since losing at La Salle. They’re 8-1 in the Atlantic 10 and have been locked down on the defensive end.             

21. Wichita State -12.3: After a rough start to the season, the Shockers are back in full form having won 12 straight since losing at Seton Hall. They’re 16-2 with Fred VanVleet in the lineup this season.             

22. Arizona -12.2: The Wildcats dropped a second straight conference game last week to Oregon but bounced back by defeating Oregon State & Washington State in consecutive order. Arizona takes to the road to face off against Washington up next.             

23. SMU    -11.65: Since starting the season a perfect 18-0 the Mustangs have dropped two of their last three. With no postseason hope this year, it will be interesting to see if bursting their bubble deflates Larry Brown's team the rest of the season.              

24. Indiana -11.3: Indiana has quietly been shooting up the rankings and are currently tied atop the Big 10 conference lead. Their schedule will get more difficult with both Iowa and MSU lurking on deck next week.             

25. USC    -10.45: USC has been one of the surprise teams this season and have four top-50 RPI wins and just one loss outside of the top 50 this season. They’ve beaten both Wichita State and Arizona and most recently are coming off a win over UCLA.             

26. Duke -10.25                

27. Utah -10.15                

28. South Carolina -9.85                

29. Pittsburgh -9.7                

30. VCU -9.6                

31. Notre Dame -9.55                

32. Michigan -9.25                

33. Valparaiso -8.45                

34. Texas -8.3                

35. St Mary's -8.25                

36. St Joes -8                

37. Gonzaga -7.75                

38. Florida -7.6                

39. Monmouth -7.45                

40. Butler -7.2                

41. Colorado -6.95                

42. Washington -6.4                

43. Cal    -6.35                

44. Seton Hall -6.15                

45. Florida State -5.85                

46. Clemson -5.55                

47. Texas Tech -5.3                

48. Syracuse -5.2                

49. SDSU -5.15                

50. UConn -5.1  

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Looking for the strongest plays available? Be sure to check in on the Experts Consensus: Currently on a 76-34-3 (69%) all sports run and sporting a rock-solid 33-13-2 (72%) record with college hoops picks this season.


COLLEGE HOOPS EXPERT PICKS:

Looking for the very best in NCAAB betting recommendations? Look no further than our NCAAB Expert Picks... click here!

If you are looking for the very best deal prior to our March Madness subscription becoming available, try your hand at the NCAAB Monthly; 31 days of NCAAB picks, tips and advice.


Take it to the books!

 

- Covers Team

Experts Consensus Eclipsing 70%

CE Manager Feb 7, 2016
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Experts Consensus is now 76-33-3 (70%) in its last 112 plays, cashing for over $40,000 (1 - 10 unit betting scale, using a $100 unit).

If you are not already a subscriber or you're not buying the guaranteed picks, you're simply missing out. Join today and get access to Covers Experts' strongest picks.

 

Here's how it works:

Every day, the Covers Team will review all of our Expert Picks and look for the strongest plays on the board. When multiple handicappers align on a game, the Experts Consensus will be released.


The ground rules are as follows:

Criteria

A minimum of three Experts must line up on the play.
There must be at least a 3:1 ratio of Experts on that side/total.
Odds must not exceed -150.

Pricing

Consensus plays will be priced according to how many Experts are aligned on the play:

3 & 4 Experts - $60 Guaranteed/$36 Non-Guaranteed
5 Experts - $70 Guaranteed/$42 Non-Guaranteed
6 Experts - $80 Guaranteed/$48 Non-Guaranteed
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8+ Experts - $100 Guaranteed/$60 Non-Guaranteed

Rating

All Consensus picks posted will be top rated 10* plays.

Pick Packs

When 3 or 5 Consensus plays are released in a day, picks packs will be available at a 30% discount off the full price of the individual picks.

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Here at Covers Experts we are always trying to provide new and exicting ways to help you profit more and build your bankroll sky high! With the Experts Consensus we believe we have done just that. This product analyzes all the available paid Expert Picks and provides you with only those which align based on our strict selection criteria.

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Super Sunday All-Access Pass!

CE Manager Feb 4, 2016
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Are you ready for the big game? We know the wait is killing you, it's killing us too. Super Bowl 50 is scheduled for Sunday, February 7th and it can't come soon enough.

Sure, you may know who you’re betting on to win or what the first half point spread will be but there’s no denying that prop bets are what make the game fun! Here is a few ways to take advatage of all we offer for the big game.

- Download your free Covers Super Bowl 50 prop bet sheet here.

- Follow us on Twitter throughout the game as we update the prop bet winners.

- We've got a Super Sunday Sale you can’t miss: get all picks from your favorite Covers Expert on Sunday’s games, including the Super Bowl, for only $99.

P.S. Purchase the Covers Experts Super Sunday package and you automatically get a prop bet sheet from our Experts in time for the Super Bowl. That’s $200 worth of prop betting advice for free!

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Handicapper Records

To help pass the time, let's check in on which cappers performed the best this season, and the top Super Bowl records from past years.


2015/2016 Regular Season

Teddy Covers: 42-21-1, +$16,289

Matt Fargo: 71-50-3, +$15,770

Al McMordie: 74-52-1, +$15,676

Power Sports: 83-58-3, +$14,974

Marc Lawrence: 45-25-2, +$11,476

Ben Burns: 78-62, +$10,863


Curious who has the best track record forecasting 'The Big Game'? Here are the top records over the past 3 Super Bowls:

Matt Fargo7-1 (88%)

Steve Merril: 4-2 (67%)

Larry Ness: 2-1 (67%)

Teddy Covers2-1 (67%)

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Game Preview and Picks

SUPER BOWL 50: Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos

When: Sunday, February 7th, 2016 @ 6:30 PM ET

Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

TV: CBS

Line: Carolina -5.5, O/U: 44

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (17-1): Carolina won its first 14 games behind Newton, who threw 35 touchdown passes and rushed for 10 more scores to spark an offense that rolled up an average of 31.3 points per game and amassed 80 in dispatching Seattle and Arizona in the postseason. Running back Jonathan Stewart returned from a three-game absence to rush for a combined 189 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the two playoff victories while tight end Greg Olsen had six receptions in each of those games after posting team highs of 77 catches and 1,104 yards during the regular season. Despite the high-powered offense, the Panthers ranked sixth in the league with an average of 19.3 points allowed and fourth against the run (88.4 yards per game). Carolina also was fifth in the league with 44 sacks and has a pair of marquee defenders in linebacker Luke Kuechly and cornerback Josh Norman.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (14-4): Manning has shattered all kinds of offensive marks during his record-setting career, but he has been more of a game manager since reclaiming his starting job, throwing for only 398 yards and two TDs in Denver's two playoff wins. Manning has elite wideouts in  Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, who each went over 1,000 yards this season, but both of his scoring passes in the postseason were to tight end Owen Daniels. Running back C.J. Anderson had a nondescript regular season, but he rushed for 92 yards in Week 17 and added 72 in each of the two playoff wins. Still, the Broncos' chances hinge mainly on a defense that permitted a league-low 283.1 yards while topping the NFL with 52 sacks. Linebacker Von Miller, selected one spot behind No. 1 overall pick Newton in the 2011 draft, recorded 11 sacks during the regular season and added 2.5 more in a playoff win over New England.


Expert Picks:

Side

Ben Burns' Super Bowl Main Event

10* Super Bowl 50 Power Hour

AAA Sports' NFL Game of the Month

Matt Fargo's Super Bowl Side Winner

Marc Lawrence's 100% ATS Super Bowl System Play

Larry Ness' NFL Perfect Storm - SB 50

 

Total

Big Al's Red-Hot Super Bowl Totals Winner

Will Rogers' NFL Total of the Month

AAA Sports' Super Bowl Super Total

Ben Burns' NFL Top Playoff Total

 

Moneyline

Will Rogers' Super Bowl 50 Money-Line Massacre

 

Teasers

AAA Sports' Super Bowl 50 Super Teaser

Fargo's 10* Super Bowl Teaser


Stay tuned, as more plays will released in the coming days. Click here to access all Super Bowl 50 Expert Picks. Be sure to check in on the Experts Consensus (+$12.6K all NFL YTD) for the strongest play available next Sunday!

 

Take it to the books!

 

- Covers Team


Super Bowl 50: Get Ahead of the Books

CE Manager Feb 2, 2016
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We know the wait is killing you, it's killing us too. Super Bowl 50 is scheduled for Sunday, February 7th and it can't come soon enough.

To help pass the time, let's check in on which cappers performed the best this season, who is hot in the 2016 playoffs and the top Super Bowl records from past years.


2015/2016 Regular Season

Teddy Covers: 42-21-1, +$16,289

Matt Fargo: 71-50-3, +$15,770

Al McMordie: 74-52-1, +$15,676

Power Sports: 83-58-3, +$14,974

Marc Lawrence: 45-25-2, +$11,476

Ben Burns: 78-62, +$10,863

 

2016 Playoff Records

AAA Sports: 8-3, +$4,730

Power Sports: 9-4, +$3,550

Ben Burns: 6-3, +$2,950

SPS Investors: 4-1-1, +$2,320

Teddy Covers: 4-2, +$1,544

Marc Lawrence: 5-3, +$1,380


Curious who has the best track record forecasting 'The Big Game'? Here are the top records over the past 3 Super Bowls:

Matt Fargo7-1 (88%)

Steve Merril: 4-2 (67%)

Larry Ness: 2-1 (67%)

Teddy Covers2-1 (67%)


SUPER BOWL 50: Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos

When: Sunday, February 7th, 2016 @ 6:30 PM ET

Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

TV: CBS

Line: Carolina -5.5, O/U: 45

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (17-1): Carolina won its first 14 games behind Newton, who threw 35 touchdown passes and rushed for 10 more scores to spark an offense that rolled up an average of 31.3 points per game and amassed 80 in dispatching Seattle and Arizona in the postseason. Running back Jonathan Stewart returned from a three-game absence to rush for a combined 189 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the two playoff victories while tight end Greg Olsen had six receptions in each of those games after posting team highs of 77 catches and 1,104 yards during the regular season. Despite the high-powered offense, the Panthers ranked sixth in the league with an average of 19.3 points allowed and fourth against the run (88.4 yards per game). Carolina also was fifth in the league with 44 sacks and has a pair of marquee defenders in linebacker Luke Kuechly and cornerback Josh Norman.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (14-4): Manning has shattered all kinds of offensive marks during his record-setting career, but he has been more of a game manager since reclaiming his starting job, throwing for only 398 yards and two TDs in Denver's two playoff wins. Manning has elite wideouts in  Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, who each went over 1,000 yards this season, but both of his scoring passes in the postseason were to tight end Owen Daniels. Running back C.J. Anderson had a nondescript regular season, but he rushed for 92 yards in Week 17 and added 72 in each of the two playoff wins. Still, the Broncos' chances hinge mainly on a defense that permitted a league-low 283.1 yards while topping the NFL with 52 sacks. Linebacker Von Miller, selected one spot behind No. 1 overall pick Newton in the 2011 draft, recorded 11 sacks during the regular season and added 2.5 more in a playoff win over New England.


Expert Picks:

Side

Ben Burns' Super Bowl Main Event

10* Super Bowl 50 Power Hour

AAA Sports' NFL Game of the Month

Matt Fargo's Super Bowl Side Winner

Marc Lawrence's 100% ATS Super Bowl System Play

Larry Ness' NFL Perfect Storm - SB 50

 

Total

Big Al's Red-Hot Super Bowl Totals Winner

Will Rogers' NFL Total of the Month

AAA Sports' Super Bowl Super Total

Ben Burns' NFL Top Playoff Total

 

Moneyline

Will Rogers' Super Bowl 50 Money-Line Massacre

 

Teaser

AAA Sports' Super Bowl 50 Super Teaser

Fargo's 10* Super Bowl Teaser


Stay tuned, as more plays will released in the coming days. Click here to access all Super Bowl 50 Expert Picks. Be sure to check in on the Experts Consensus (+$12.6K all NFL YTD) for the strongest play available next Sunday!

 

We'll be back soon for another update, but until then... take it to the books!

 

- Covers Team

Wiseguy Report: Super Bowl Props

CE Manager Feb 1, 2016
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By: Teddy Covers

When I talk with casual fans in the week leading up to the Super Bowl, they tend to be interested in my opinion about who is going to win the big game. But when I’m talking with bettors, not fans, the topic inevitably turns towards ‘props’; where sports betting and fantasy sports collide.

Props (short for ‘proposition wagers’) have been on the Las Vegas betting boards for thirty years. It all began when the juggernaut 1985 Chicago Bears were facing the Patriots in Super Bowl 20. Legendary Vegas oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro was a very creative bookmaker at the Mirage (at the time), looking for ways to increase their betting handle. Vaccaro posted odds on whether 350 pound defensive lineman William ‘Refrigerator’ Perry would score a touchdown in the big game. Vaccaro certainly didn’t think it was likely, offering attractive underdog odds for those who wanted to bet on The Fridge would hit paydirt in the end zone. 

Vaccaro’s unique offering attracted all kinds of attention both from bettors and from media types. It also accomplished his goal of increasing betting handle, with money pouring in on the ‘Yes, Fridge will score a TD’ side of the prop at big (but quickly declining) plus price odds. From a short term, bottom line standpoint, the first prop bet in Vegas history was a disaster for the books. Fridge famously did score a TD, stealing a goalline carry away from Hall of Famer Walter Payton in the process. Vaccaro: “We lost our ass on that bet. But we won in the long run.”

That was the beginning of the deluge of prop bets for the Super Bowl, the forerunner of Over/Under yardage numbers for QB’s, RB’s and WR’s that are now widely available for every Sunday, Monday and Thursday Night Football game during the regular season. But Super Bowl prop betting didn’t get to the next level until Jay Kornegay took over as the sportsbook director at the Imperial Palace.

I’m being kind when I call the late 90’s Imperial Palace a ‘dump’, an aging center Strip property right in the middle of an area that was in the process of getting completely revitalized through a massive building boom. The worst parking garage in town flooded every time it rained. The Sportsbook itself was tucked away in a back corner on the third floor, requiring a ride on one of the longest, slowest escalators in the history of escalators to pay a visit.

But there was only one thing that kept the Imperial Palace or ‘IP’ (now ‘The Linq’ following a sale and a $230 million makeover that didn’t touch the parking garage) relevant for locals and sports bettors. That thing? The sportsbook, of course! By the mid to late 90’s, Kornegay was doing a number of fairly unique things to increase handle at his book. The IP would post the following week’s NFL pointspreads at halftime of the 1 PM (Pacific Time) games, something no one else in town was doing, beating the legendary Stardust Sportsbook (with the slogan ‘Where the Line Originates’) in the process. 

When I first moved to Las Vegas in time for the 1998 football season, it was already well established that the IP was THE sportsbook for Super Bowl props; a venue that seemed intent on drawing sharp traffic away from the Stardust. My first Super Bowl in Vegas was John Elway’s last game; a Broncos win and cover over the Falcons in Super Bowl 33 that is also known as the ‘Eugene Robinson game’ after Robinson got arrested for soliciting a prostitute on the night before the game. 

I watched that game with some buddies at the IP. We all had bets on Denver; there wasn’t much of a sweat there, with the exception of when Tim Dwight ran a kickoff back for a TD in the fourth quarter just to make things a little interesting, opening up a ‘backdoor cover’ possibility. The real excitement came from the props, not the actual game being played on the field. 

At that point – in the late 90’s – Kornegay and his staff at the IP were well ahead of the rest of the world when it came to props.  Here in Vegas, the vast majority of other sportsbooks were far too risk averse to offer the bevy of options that Kornegay had posted. You’d see some books in town copy the simple stuff – this is where the ‘tradition’ of Kornegay NOT offering printed sheets until a couple of days after the props were released began. The IP was at the forefront of the Super Bowl prop betting world, with everyone else trailing behind.  Even the offshore books, which were proliferating wildly at the time, couldn’t match the depth and breadth of the IP Sportsbook’s Super Bowl proposition wagers.

When Kornegay moved over to the Hilton Superbook in 2004, which became the LVH Superbook, which became the Westgate Superbook, he brought the focus on Super Bowl props with him. Since that time, the Superbook has become the world leader for Super Bowl props. CG Technology (formerly Cantor) posts a significant array of proposition wagers to choose from as well. Just about every other sportsbook in town offers prop bets as well, although the vast majority of those betting menus aren’t nearly as deep.

The offshore world has gotten more heavily involved with their menu of prop bet offerings over the past decade as well. Those with access to the offshore numbers can take advantage of the handful of solid arbitrage opportunities as the global numbers are posted. When one book has Peyton Manning’s total passing yardage posted at 235.5 and another book has it at 246.5, savvy bettors take advantage with Under 246.5 yards bets or Over 233.5 yards bets; sometimes both (offering the possibility of a ‘middle’, cashing both sides of the wager). 

The professional bettors here in Vegas do not go nuts betting the Super Bowl side and/or total. It’s just one game at the tail end of a long season; a game where both the pointspread and the total are priced right around where they should be. Many wiseguys will not have a wager on side or total when Super Bowl 50 kicks off.

But the prop betting menu is a different story entirely. When the Westgate Superbook posted their opening numbers last Thursday night, the line stretched all the way to the back of the book. There was at least a half hour wait to get a bet down, yet bettors waited patiently for their turn to fire away at the openers with $2000 limits. Guys who take this seriously can get half a million dollars into play without a hitch, in $1000 and $2000 increments. When the best bettors in the world go ‘all in’ betting these props for Super Bowl Sunday, recreational and casual bettors should take notice!

Best of luck betting the Big Game on Sunday!

 

UPDATE: Check back soon for access to all of Covers Experts' Super Bowl Props!