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Shell Houston Open Preview and Picks

CE Manager 2 hours, 26 minutes ago
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The Shell Houston Open takes center stage this week back in its familiar spot the week before the Masters after preceding the first Major by two weeks two years ago. Taking place at the Golf Club of Houston in Humble, Texas, this is the final tuneup before players head to Augusta next week and the field is again a strong one. Last week at the Valero Texas Open, we won with Jimmy Walker who became the first multi-tournament winner this year and won for the fifth time the last two seasons.

The Golf Club of Houston, formerly known as Redstone Golf Club, has hosted this event since 2003 and three years ago, it yielded the lowest scoring average in the history of the event. Two years ago, it was not as easy but still resulted in an overall average of 0.13 strokes under par, the fourth straight year it came in under par. Last year, it held true to form as only 23 of the 76 players making the cut finished over par. The rough is light and banks around greens and water hazards are shaved, creating many of the same tight, quick conditions you get at Augusta.

Scrambling from the rough was a challenge in 2014 as players got up and down just over 37 percent of the time. It marked the sixth straight year that the Golf Club of Houston ranked as the hardest course in scrambling from the rough. This isn't because the rough is so difficult as much as the heavy rye overseeded fairways and bentgrass/rye combination greens are very quick and undulating. This is not going to change this year so it is once again a great test gearing up for the Masters.

As mentioned, the field this week is strong headlined by last week's winner Jimmy Walker as well as top ten players Jordan Spieth, Sergio Garcia and Justin Rose. In total, 14 of the top 30 in the OWGR are playing this week. Other notables include Matt Kuchar, Patrick Reed, Rickie Fowler and Phil Mickelson. Spieth is the short favorite at +725 with Walker, Kuchar and Reed coming in at +1,300, +1,600 and +1,700 respectively.

Matt Kuchar (+1,600) has been average over his last four starts with a T15 being his best finish but the good news is that it came last week. He has not missed a cut since last May and since then he has four top fives. If anyone is overdue for a win, it is him and why not here considering in three starts since 2010, he has not finished outside the top ten. This includes a playoff loss last year on a Matt Jones chip in.

J.B. Holmes (+2,600) took last week off after missing the cut at Bay Hill and the rest should do him good. He is having a solid season with a pair of runner up finishes at the Farmers and the Cadillac Championship to go along with another top ten at Pebble Beach. After missing the cut here in 2007, he lost in a playoff in 2009 to Paul Casey and has finished T8 and T12 in his two other starts here since then.

We will take a stab with Phil Mickelson (+3,000) even though he has not been up to his true form this season. His best finish is a T17 at the Honda Classic and he is coming off a T30 last week no thanks to a Sunday 76. He is one of four players in the field this week that has made the cut each of the last five years here and he has the best finishing average at just over 13th. He won here in 2011.

We had Jason Kokrak (+4,500) last week and while he never really challenged the leaders, he once again played solid, consistent golf with a T11 finish. That backed up a T7 and a T6 in his previous two starts and despite never having won, he looks like he will break out sometime soon. While he did miss the cut here last year, he finished solo ninth in 2013 so this could be the breakthrough place.

While Mickelson has the best finishing average the last five years, Cameron Tringale (+7,000) has the best finishing average the last three years at just a tick over 9th. This includes a T8 in 2012 and a solo fourth last year. While he hasn't done anything spectacular this season, he has just one missed cut in 2015 and in those two top six finishes here, he came in with very similar form.

Recommended Tournament Win Five Pack at the Shell Houston Open - All for 1 Unit

Matt Kuchar (+1,600)
J.B. Holmes (+2,600)
Phil Mickelson (+3,000)
Jason Kokrak (+4,500)
Cameron Tringale (+7,000)

2015 Record to date after 11 events: +55.5 Units

Hyundai Tournament of Champions -5 Units
Humana Challenge +24 Units
Waste Management Phoenix Open -5 Units
Farmers Insurance Open +8.5 Units
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am +18 Units
Northern Trust Open -5 Units
Honda Classic -5 Units
WGC-Cadillac Championship +16 Units
Valspar Championship -5 Units
Arnold Palmer Invitational -5 Units
Valero Texas Open +19 Units

Written by: Matt Fargo


***URGENT***

Stay tuned for Fargo's head to head matchup picks for the Shell Houston Open coming soon! He had already released a 5-Pack of picks, unfortunately Jimmy Walker was involved and he withdrew due to illness.

**UPDATE**

With Jimmy Walker withdrawling from competition, Matt revamped his 5-pack ! Be sure to get it on your card this weekend, the picks can be found here:

Fargo's PGA Shell Houston Open Matchup Package - Five Winners!

 

The Covers Team

This week's best spot bets

CE Manager 9 hours, 40 minutes ago
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Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you're betting. Whether it's a team looking past this week's opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Covers Expert Ben Burns points out his favorites:

Letdown spot

Opening Day is a big deal for MLB clubs and brings with it plenty of jitters for Big League teams, some more than others. The Oakland Athletics seem to let those season debut butterflies get the best of them, losing 10 straight games on Opening Day. Oakland kicked off last year’s campaign with a 2-0 loss to Cleveland at home.

The A’s have been outscored 50-13 in that 10-season Opening Day drought. Oakland has had the misfortune of beginning the season against the Seattle Mariners and their staff ace Felix Hernandez in half of those games, including four straight years from 2010 to 2013. This time around, Oakland opens the 2015 season at home to the Texas Rangers Monday. Can they avoid another Opening Day letdown?

Lookahead spot

The Chicago Bulls are clinging to third place in the Eastern Conference, just a game up on Toronto in the standings. The Bulls have a monster matchup ahead on the schedule this weekend, visiting LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers on Easter Sunday. But before then, the Bulls have a home date versus the Detroit Pistons Friday.

With the holiday weekend, the Bulls will be trying to cram in as much family time as they can around these games, which can often leave players unfocused – especially when you’re up against a non-contender like Detroit and staring down a showdown with the Cavs. The Pistons knocked off the Bulls 107-91 on March 21 and won 100-91 on February 20 with both games coming in Motown.

Schedule spot

The Washington Capitals are fighting to stay in the postseason picture, currently sitting in seventh in the Eastern Conference standings. They’re just three points ahead of No. 8 Boston and six points past Ottawa. The Capitals have a home stand against Carolina Tuesday then hit the road for a short three-game trip that could make or break their season.

Washington travels to Montreal Thursday to play the first-place Canadiens, then heads to Canada’s capital for a showdown with the Senators Saturday. The Capitals complete their 3-in-4 nights trek Sunday with a final stop in Detroit to take on a Red Wings team currently in sixth but tied with Washington at 92 points.

By Ben Burns


**UPDATE**

Ben Burns gives us his picks for some action this week, looking to improve on his impressive 5-2 CBB run

*100% In Tourney* Burns' Final Four Blue Chip - Get it 50% OFF if you act now!

*80% In Tourney* Burns' NCAA Best of the Best - 50% OFF if you hurry !

**OR**

With Ben Burn's going an astonishing 211-127 (62%) for a rediculous (+$29,820) with MLB picks in 2014, be sure to take advantage of our MLB Early Bird Special! Save $200 and look to cash in on Ben Burns' 2015 MLB Season!


The Covers Team

MLB Early Bird Sale!

CE Manager 22 hours, 33 minutes ago
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The MLB regular season doesn’t start until April 5th but that doesn’t mean you have to wait to get your Covers Experts MLB Subscription!

The Covers Experts MLB Regular Season Package Early Bird Sale is on from now until Saturday, April 4th. Get the best in MLB regular season picks, analysis & advice for only $995 – that’s a savings of $200 off the regular price!

Don’t forget about MLB Guaranteed Picks starting at only $30 each. The guarantee is simple: if you don’t win, you don’t pay.

Not sure which Covers Expert to go with this year? Check out the Experts' records from last year’s MLB regular season:

Ben Burns: 211-126 with $30,927 earned
Steve Merril
: 187-141 with $17,033 earned
Bryan Power: 251-185 with $16,366 earned

Looking to place futures bets? AAA Sports (178-136, +$6,539 in 2014) has every division winner and both pennant winners for 2015 posted. The picks are FREE with an All Inclusive MLB Pass

**UPDATE**For only $36.00 Bryan Power gets us set with his MLB Win Total POWER-PACK (3 plays!)

 

Make Covers Experts your home for all things baseball in 2015.

The Covers Team

P.S. Have you heard about Swish Analytics? Swish Analytics is the premier provider of algorithm-driven sports picks and predictions. Swish mainly focuses on NBA but this year they’re stepping up to bat and making MLB picks! Check back on Covers.com over the next few weeks to get more details on Swish’s MLB picks.

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bets

CE Manager Mar 31, 2015
Blog Image

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you're betting. Whether it's a team looking past this week's opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Covers Expert Ben Burns points out his favorites:

Letdown spot

Opening Day is a big deal for MLB clubs and brings with it plenty of jitters for Big League teams, some more than others. The Oakland Athletics seem to let those season debut butterflies get the best of them, losing 10 straight games on Opening Day. Oakland kicked off last year’s campaign with a 2-0 loss to Cleveland at home.

The A’s have been outscored 50-13 in that 10-season Opening Day drought. Oakland has had the misfortune of beginning the season against the Seattle Mariners and their staff ace Felix Hernandez in half of those games, including four straight years from 2010 to 2013. This time around, Oakland opens the 2015 season at home to the Texas Rangers Monday. Can they avoid another Opening Day letdown?

Lookahead spot

The Chicago Bulls are clinging to third place in the Eastern Conference, just a game up on Toronto in the standings. The Bulls have a monster matchup ahead on the schedule this weekend, visiting LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers on Easter Sunday. But before then, the Bulls have a home date versus the Detroit Pistons Friday.

With the holiday weekend, the Bulls will be trying to cram in as much family time as they can around these games, which can often leave players unfocused – especially when you’re up against a non-contender like Detroit and staring down a showdown with the Cavs. The Pistons knocked off the Bulls 107-91 on March 21 and won 100-91 on February 20 with both games coming in Motown.

Schedule spot

The Washington Capitals are fighting to stay in the postseason picture, currently sitting in seventh in the Eastern Conference standings. They’re just three points ahead of No. 8 Boston and six points past Ottawa. The Capitals have a home stand against Carolina Tuesday then hit the road for a short three-game trip that could make or break their season.

Washington travels to Montreal Thursday to play the first-place Canadiens, then heads to Canada’s capital for a showdown with the Senators Saturday. The Capitals complete their 3-in-4 nights trek Sunday with a final stop in Detroit to take on a Red Wings team currently in sixth but tied with Washington at 92 points.

**UPDATE**

Ben Burns gives us his picks for some action this week, looking to improve on his impressive 5-2 CBB run

*100% In Tourney* Burns' Final Four Blue Chip - Get it 50% OFF if you act now!

*80% In Tourney* Burns' NCAA Best of the Best - 50% OFF if you hurry !

**OR**

With Ben Burn's going an astonishing 211-127 (62%) for a rediculous (+$29,820) with MLB picks in 2014, be sure to take advantage of our MLB Early Bird Special! Save $200 and look to cash in on Ben Burns' 2015 MLB Season!

MLB Early Bird Sale!

CE Manager Mar 30, 2015
Blog Image

The MLB regular season doesn’t start until April 5th but that doesn’t mean you have to wait to get your Covers Experts MLB Subscription!

The Covers Experts MLB Regular Season Package Early Bird Sale is on from now until Saturday, April 4th. Get the best in MLB regular season picks, analysis & advice for only $995 – that’s a savings of $200 off the regular price!

Don’t forget about MLB Guaranteed Picks starting at only $30 each. The guarantee is simple: if you don’t win, you don’t pay.

Not sure which Covers Expert to go with this year? Check out the Experts' records from last year’s MLB regular season:

Ben Burns: 211-126 with $30,927 earned
Steve Merril
: 187-141 with $17,033 earned
Bryan Power: 251-185 with $16,366 earned

Looking to place futures bets? AAA Sports (178-136, +$6,539 in 2014) has every division winner and both pennant winners for 2015 posted. The picks are FREE with an All Inclusive MLB Pass

**UPDATE**For only $36.00 Bryan Power gets us set with his MLB Win Total POWER-PACK (3 plays!)

 

Make Covers Experts your home for all things baseball in 2015.

The Covers Team

P.S. Have you heard about Swish Analytics? Swish Analytics is the premier provider of algorithm-driven sports picks and predictions. Swish mainly focuses on NBA but this year they’re stepping up to bat and making MLB picks! Check back on Covers.com over the next few weeks to get more details on Swish’s MLB picks.