If you had to win today in MLB
Hypothetically, let's say, you had to win today no matter what. So who would you take? This is common ground with many bettors; those who teeter on the edge of losing their bankrolls on a daily basis. Find out what today's 'guaranteed winners' are and how to improve your bankroll management.
Firstly, let's have a look at today's schedule of early games:
Cleveland vs. Tampa Bay at 12:10 PM ET (+126 & 6.5)
San Francisco vs. Miami at 12:10 PM ET (-150 & 6.5)
Pittsburgh vs. Detroit at 1:08 PM ET (+113 & 8)
Chi. Cubs vs. NY Mets at 1:10 PM ET (-115 & 6.5)
Not often do you see many 6.5 totals in the regular season, let alone 3 of the first 4 games on the day. There's also a late game with a 6.5 total, Washington vs. Atlanta at 7:10 PM ET (+174). So let's start there and try to identify some value on these run totals. Looking at the starting pitchers in these 6.5 total games, several have yet to start a game this season! That is alarming to say the least. So here's a recap of these pitchers with their 2015 debuts:
Matt Moore (L) for Tampa Bay
Matt Cain (R) for San Francisco
Jose Fernandez (R) for Miami
Manuel Banuelos (L) for Atlanta
These pitchers are involved in 3 of the 4 games with 6.5 totals. Only the Chi. Cubs vs. NY Mets game is featuring pitchers with starts under their belt. Without overthinking the process, leaning on the Over 6.5 in those three games and the Under 6.5 in the Cubs/Mets game would be a rational decision based on situational handicapping. Lucky for us we have some Expert Handicappers to rely on in these situations and to back up our theory. Put your bankroll at ease, eliminate your bankroll management issues and find out which side of the total they are playing on with these respective matchups with their 'guaranteed winners':
Cleveland vs. Tampa Bay (total): Rogers' 10* Coach's Clinic - Very Early Start
San Francisco vs. Miami (total): Schule's 10* MLB Total Recall TERMINATOR - *EARLY START*
Chi. Cubs vs. NY Mets (total): Merril's *DAYTIME* MLB $$$ MAKER
Washington vs. Atlanta (total): Merril's 10* MLB GRAND SLAM
Remember, you'll only ever pay when you win here at Covers Expert. Take advantage of our 'guarantee' and if you don't win, you don't pay. It's as simple as that.
To view all the Expert MLB Plays avaialble click here!
For more info on our MLB Summer Special click here!
Best of luck with your bets and as always, 'Take it to the Books!'
Greenbrier Classic Preview
We were able to sneak out a playoff win with Bubba Watson last week at the Travelers Championship as he won on the second playoff hole over Paul Casey. This week, The Old White TPC at The Greenbrier plays host to the 6th annual Greenbrier Classic. The Greenbrier was on the brink of bankruptcy but renovations that took place between 2002 and 2006 helped attract the tour and the rest is history. The Old White TPC, built in 1914, is the oldest course to host a PGA Tour event.
The Old White TPC is one of only two tracks that finish with a par three, the other being East Lake, host of THE TOUR Championship. It is a par 70 that that stretches 7,287 yards and as with most tour layouts, driving accuracy will be important as the fairways are tight and greens are firm. Five years ago, the course ranked 2nd easiest of the 14 par 70 tracks on tour and that was certainly justified after Stuart Appleby put up a Sunday 59 to card an overall score of 22 under par.
Four years ago, it ranked 13th out of 51 courses in difficulty while three years ago it was 27th out of 49 tour stops and was the fifth easiest par 70. Two years ago, it came in as the third easiest par 70 and while last year it averaged slightly over par, the weather played a part in that. There have been some great finishes here with two of the five editions going into a playoff, Appleby winning by one shot and the other two decided by just two strokes including last year when Angel Cabrera held off a charging George McNeill.
Bubba Watson is the favorite again this week and by a much wider margin than last week as he is at +1,050 with Paul Casey second on the list at +2,500. Casey is one of seven players checking in between +2,500 and +3,000 and of that group, only Webb Simpson at +2,600 and Bill Haas at +3,000 have made the cut the last four years. Simpson has three tops tens with a solo third last year being his best finish and Haas having two top tens with a playoff loss in 2011 being his best finish.
Just six of the top 30 in the Official World Golf Ranking are in play this week and while the odds are low on Watson, he may have the edge because he lives here during the summer but winning in back-to-back weeks will be a challenge. Course experience plays a big role in looking for a winning formula and that is not an exception here. There are 13 players teeing it up this week that will have started in all six editions but the problem is there have been 20 missed cuts within that group with only Brendon De Jonge, D.A. Points and Carl Pettersson making all five previous weekends.
2015 Record to date after 24 events: +88.5 Units
Hyundai Tournament of Champions -5 Units
Humana Challenge +24 Units
Waste Management Phoenix Open -5 Units
Farmers Insurance Open +8.5 Units
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am +18 Units
Northern Trust Open -5 Units
Honda Classic -5 Units
WGC-Cadillac Championship +16 Units
Valspar Championship -5 Units
Arnold Palmer Invitational -5 Units
Valero Texas Open +19 Units
Shell Houston Open +23 Units
The Masters -6 Units
RBC Heritage -5 Units
Zurich Classic of New Orleans +5.45
WGC Match Play Championship -5 Units
THE PLAYERS Championship -5 Units
Wells Fargo Championship -5 Units
Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial +32 Units
AT&T Byron Nelson Championship -5 Units
The Memorial Tournament -5 Units
FedEx St. Jude Classic -5 Units
U.S. Open +5.55 Units
Travelers Championship +8 Units
Fargo knows his way around golf betting! Through 24 tournaments, he has nailed the Winner 10 times for +88.5 Units of profit, including the last TWO Weeks with Jordan Spieth and Bubba Watson! The PGA Tour heads to West Virginia and the Old White Course for the Greenbrier Classic and Fargo has FIVE selections for this Thursday start! Do not miss it!
Canada Day - MLB Dominance
So, Canada is turning 148 years old this week eh? Who cares, let’s talk some baseball. With a full slate of afternoon games, what better way to celebrate than with some marquee baseball matchups.
To start we will look at the headliner, the always sold out Canada Day game at Rogers Center in Toronto, where the Blue Jays ltake on division rival Red Sox. The hometown Jays look to possibly turn the season around, currently only one game out of 1st place in the A.L. East. Boston sits alone at the bottom of the division, seven games back in both the division and wild card race. Game time is 1:08 PM ET.
Speaking of early games, at 12:35 PM ET the Twins and Reds bump heads in Cinci. There will be a lot of eyes on this game as Reds ace Johnny Cueto toes the rubber. Cueto being the headline of most trade talks going into this week, we can expect a lot of fans tuning in with the hopes of him joining their squad.
Rounding out the afternoon games we have the Colorado vs the Oakland and Seattle vs San Diego, starting at 3:35 PM ET and 3:40 PM ET respectively.
Missed out on some of the early games? No need to worry, Covers has you up to speed on the late games as well; you can find all picks, tips, and advice for the late games here. With a few key matchups late, as teams make a big push before the all-star break, the timing has never been better to take advantage of MLB betting in the heat of summer.
PS. Did you know we offer MLB subscriptions? We have a 60 day Summer Special found here for only $499, or if you prefer you can do one month of MLB picks for only $299!
Let’s check in on some MLB hot streaks (June 15th – June 30th):
Steve Merril: 20-11 (65%)
Matt Fargo: (all underdogs) 28-36 (+$3.1k)
Ben Burns: 25-19 (57%)
As always, Good luck, and take it to the books!
P.S. Happy Birthday Canada!
This Week's Best Spot Bets
Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you're betting. Whether it's a team looking past this week's opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Covers Expert Ben Burns points out his favorites:
Before you set off the Fourth of July fireworks this weekend, America’s neighbors to the north celebrate their country on Wednesday, July 1, better known as "Canada Day". And few things are more Canadian than enjoying the holiday with a cold 5 percent beer and flicking on the Blue Jays game – or catching Canada's team live in action at the Rogers Centre. The Canada Day game is always a big deal for the club, with a packed house and tons of festivities at the ballpark (when playing at home) as well as knowing a good chunk of the country is tuning in.
So that leaves Toronto open for a big letdown the following day – July 2. The Blue Jays have struggled with the letdown spot following the holiday for the past 15 years. Going back to 2000, Toronto is just 4-10 on July 2 (didn’t play on that date in 2009) and has allowed an average of almost 5.8 runs in those contests, leading to an 8-5-1 Over/Under mark in those games. The Jays host the rival Red Sox, who always draw a big crowd in T.O., for four games starting Monday, including the July 1 and July 2 contests.
The Atlanta Falcons have high hopes for new head coach Dan Quinn, the architect of the Seattle Seahawks’ dominating defense the last two seasons. Quinn, who signed a five-year deal with Atlanta this February, has inside info on the Falcons’ Week 9 opponents: the San Francisco 49ers. During his tenure in the NFC West, Quinn would have missed plenty of sleep game planning for San Francisco and won’t have any trouble kicking this old foe while their suffering through what is expected to be a down year in the Bay Area.
That Week 9 matchup at Levi’s Stadium is especially tough for the Niners, playing at St. Louis in Week 8 and looking ahead to a bye in Week 10 and road matchup with Quinn’s old club, Seattle, in Week 11. Oddsmakers opened with San Francisco as a 6-point home favorite in this matchup but there's solid value with a well-informed road side – even more so if this game is hovering around a touchdown.
The New York Mets are currently enjoying the tail end of a six-game home stand, hosting the Chicago Cubs at Citi Field for three games. New York has been night-and-day when it comes to venue, boasting a 29-11 home record and an 11-26 road mark. The Mets are up just 0.67 units on the season, thanks in large part to their -15.14-unit deficit away from Flushing.
New York faces a big road trip Thursday, crossing the country to play the Los Angeles Dodgers for three games before making their way to face the defending World Series winners, the San Francisco Giants, for three contests. The Mets could get caught looking ahead to the long haul to the left side of the country in Thursday’s finale with the Cubs. Last season, New York made a similar Western run – taking on Oakland and L.A. – and dropped the finale of a four-game home set against Chicago on 4-1 on August 8 before leaving town.
Wimbledon 2015: Cash in Big!
Wimbledon. The oldest tennis tournament in the world and the most prestigious. The excitement is officially underway, so get ready with the Winafy Wimbledon Subscription. You get expert picks, tips and advice all tournament long for only $199.
Just looking for single picks? We’ve got you covered with Wimbledon Expert Picks as low as $25.
Check out Winafy's Wimbledon Betting Previews to find out which Men to Watch and Women to Watch in this event.
Summer is here. That means some great specially sports betting opportunities like golf, tennis and soccer, along with full season sports like MLB, WNBA and CFL.
We know the value of having a hot handicapper working for you so check out the top three Covers Experts records over the past week:
Matt Fargo: 13-14 with $5,110 earned (all dogs)
Steve Merril: 9-4 with $4,324 earned
Larry Ness: 12-7 with +$3,241 earned
Covers is your home for the hottest sports handicappers.
The Covers Team
- Marc Lawrence
- July 2, 2015 - 7:05 PM
- Offered at:
- betonline @ -120 Baltimore
Play - Baltimore Orioles w/Gausman.
Edges - Orioles: Kevin Gausman 4-1 career team starts during the month of July, and 3-1 career team starts versus A. L. West opponents. Rangers: Yovani Gallardo 3-10 last thirteen overall away team starts, and 6-11 away career team starts during the month of July.
With the Birds 6-2 the last eight games as a host in this series, we recommend a 1* play on Baltimore. Thank you and good luck as always.
• Marc’s Top Live Plays have been gold, especially in games in which he isolates an underdog that should be the favorite in a game. Best of all it’s backed with a 100% winning angle inside the game. Hurry, get Thursday night’s 5* MLB Top Live Dog Play now - don’t miss out!
- MLB Cheat Sheets: June 29 - July 2
Jun 30, 2015
- July Good Month/Bad Month Pitchers
Jun 30, 2015
- Greenbrier Classic Preview
Jun 30, 2015
- See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bets
Jun 29, 2015
- 2015 Conference USA Football Preview
Jun 28, 2015