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Champions League Final - Preview

CE Manager 2 hours, 44 minutes ago
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Champions League comes to a thrilling conclusion this weekend when Atletico Madrid takes on Real Madrid in an all-Spain showdown. Covers Experts' Soccer Authority breaks down both sides for Saturday's title match.

Atletico Madrid (9/4)

Atletico don’t play an attractive style of soccer but they are extremely efficient, no team in Europe is better at disrupting opposition attacks and playing on the counter attack. En route to the final Atletico Madrid took some notable scalps including the two highest-ranked teams in Europe (Barcelona and Bayern Munich)

Real Madrid (11/5)

Real Madrid had a far easier route to the final meeting Roma, Wolfsburg, and Manchester City in the knockout stages. One notable concern for Real Madrid was their performances away from the Bernabeu. In their last two road games they failed to score. Another thing to consider is Cristiano Ronaldo’s health. The extent of his recent injury in not fully known so he may not be at 100 percent for this final.

Head to head

These two teams play each other a lot, and one noticeable trend is that Real Madrid can’t seem to beat their city rivals. Looking at the last 12 meetings we see only one win for Real. Some of you may remember the game: Atletico had a man sent off in controversial circumstances and Real scored a fortunate last-minute winner via Javier Hernandez.

Key stats

- Real Madrid have only won three of their last eight games away from the Bernabeu in the Champions League

- Atletico have kept 15 clean sheets in their last 21 Champions League games

- The last time these two met at a neutral venue was in the 2013-14 Champions League Final which ended 1-1 (Real Madrid won in Extra time)

- Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid rank No. 1 and No. 2 in terms of fewest goals conceded with 0.42 and 0.58 goals conceded per game.

- This term Cristiano Ronaldo’s "Goals per minute ratio" is one goal every 62 minutes (16 Goals Total)

By: Soccer Authority

 

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CE Manager May 26, 2016
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Experts Consensus is now 19-7 (73%), +$9,257 over the last eleven days and 229-147-9 (61%), +$62,338 on its last 385 picks overall. To put that into perspective, the average professional handicapper winning percentage is 54% and Experts Consensus has maintained a +60% win percentage for over five months straight.

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Criteria

A minimum of three Experts must line up on the play.
There must be at least a 3:1 ratio (75%) of Experts on that side/total.
Odds and pricing restrictions in place (more details below).

Pricing

Consensus plays will be priced according to how many Experts are aligned on the play, as well as special pricing on select high odds plays:

3 & 4 Experts - $60 Guaranteed/$36 Non-Guaranteed
5 Experts - $70 Guaranteed/$42 Non-Guaranteed
6 Experts - $80 Guaranteed/$48 Non-Guaranteed
7 Experts - $90 Guaranteed/ $54 Non-Guaranteed
8+ Experts - $100 Guaranteed/$60 Non-Guaranteed

Ratings

All Consensus picks *released between (+115 & -115) odds will be rated 10* plays.
All Consensus picks *released between (+116 & +135) and (-116 & -135) odds will be rated 9* plays.
All Consensus picks *released between (+136 & +150) and (-136 & -150) odds will be rated 8* plays.
All Consensus picks *released at +151 odds and higher will be rated 7* plays.
All Consensus picks *released between -151 & -175 will be rated 7* plays; nothing to exceed -175.

*Odds/lines are ever changing and this is to indicate our star rating is based off the original line in which the pick is released at; and not the updated line at time of purchase or when placing your bet.


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The Covers-Team

Pad Your Bankroll For The Weekend

CE Manager May 26, 2016
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The Covers Experts delivered the goods once again on Wednesday with TEN cappers picking above 60%, including FIVE perfect cards!

If you have been following along this week, and this entire month, you know this is nothing out of the ordinary. However, if you are new to the site or just checking in for the first time in a while, let us show you the kind of profit surge you have been missing out on.

 

AAA Sports is absolutely on fire this week. Another perfect 4-0 sweep yesterday extended the following streaks:

13-1 (93%) L3 Days

9-1 (90%) L10 MLB

4-0 (100%) L4 NBA 10*s

Three plays headline Thursday's card. Join AAA as he goes for another clean sweep!

NBA

AAA’s 10* WEST-CONF FINALS GAME 5 TOTAL “ART OF WAR”

NHL

AAA’s 10* EAST-CONF FINALS GAME 7 TOTAL “ART OF THE GAME!”

MLB

AAA’s UNDER-THE-RADAR SUPER VALUE PLAY

 

We know this is getting repetitive, but winning just never gets old. Will Rogers turned in another proftitable 3-1 card on Wednesday to keep these runs in tact:

12-4-1 (75%) L4 Days

41-16-1 (74%) L62 MLB

71-36-2 (66%) in May

'The Coach' has dialed up 3 more winners for today. Make sure they are on your ticket!

NBA

Rogers' 10* Game 5 OKC/GSW WINNER

NHL

Rogers' Game 7 SURE SHOT

MLB

Rogers' Run Line PUNISHER

 

Jesse Schule continued his roll through May last night, earning more of the house's money. Check out these numbers:

9-1 (90%) L10 MLB

18-7 (72%) L8 Days

50-27-1 (65%) in May

'The Iceman' has you covered for tonight's playoff action!

NBA

Schule's NBA "BRINK OF ELIMINATION" 1st Half *BLOCKBUSTER* (OKC@GS)

NHL

Game Seven TB@PIT - Schule's Top Rated NHL Total

 

It was a MONSTER 4-1 day from our premium product, the Experts Consensus, adding on to the following eye-popping statistics:

13-1-1 (93%) L15 NHL

10-2 (83%) L12 MLB

+$41,808 in 2016

Three more huge plays are on tap for tonight!

NBA

OKC/GS Game 5 *Monster* (10-1, 91%)

NHL

Game 7 *Win Or Go Home* (4-0, 100%)

MLB

Thursday *Value Finder* (3-0, 100%)

 

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As always, take it to the books!

 

- Covers Team

Very Early College Football $$

CE Manager May 25, 2016
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Written by: Teddy Covers

My ‘summer homework’ progression is simple. I do my NFL work first, because not that much changes in the professional ranks over the summer. Once we’re done with the draft and the initial free agent signing period, it’s easy to make preliminary assessments of all 32 NFL teams. While the season win total market is still a long way from true ‘maturity’, we do have a pretty good sense of two things. First, how the 32 teams are projected, power ratings wise and second, how tough a team’s schedule is going to be.

When it comes to college football, I don’t do much until after the MLB All Star break, and the majority of my college football prep comes in August. Why the difference? Simple – a lot more changes in college over the summer, and I’m not a big fan of doing the same work twice! The depth charts that you’re going to see popping up in all the college football preview publications were accurate at the end of spring camp. By mid-August, they’re essentially obsolete. 

There are many more players moving up and down the depth charts in college. There are more injuries in college, both serious and minor, due to simple math. More teams and more players on every team equates to more injuries, plain and simple. There are many more positions – most notably at quarterback, but in reality, all over the roster – that have open competitions or changes to the starter between the end of spring camp and the start of the season. 

We know who is likely to be the opening day QB starter for just about every team except the Jets and Browns at this stage of the NFL offseason. In college, there are literally dozens of QB jobs that have not been awarded yet; not to mention the dozens of offensive lines that aren’t settled, the dozens of receiving corps in flux and the dozens of defenses that will have massive personal changes between now and the first kickoff of the season.

And that’s just the personnel on the field. College prep work involves reading reports out of camps throughout the month of August. Some teams will pick up new systems from new coordinators quickly; other squads will be much slower to adjust. Some teams will make huge strides in Year 2 or Year 3 of a system; other squads don’t seem to be able to make that leap. To sum it up, there’s a lot more uncertainty in college football at this stage of the offseason than there is in the NFL; hence my ‘ do NFL work in May and June’ mantra that has paid dividends for my clients and I over the years.

That being said, I don’t want to get to the latter stages of summer without any real ideas about what teams the markets are likely to be supporting early on at a high level, and which teams the markets are looking to fade right from the get-go. The only way to track this info is to watch the early numbers closely.

I have a ton of respect for Jay Kornegay and his staff at the Westgate Superbook. CG Technology with COO Matthew Holt and his team have been a market leader since the day they arrived in Nevada. South Point Sportsbook , with new director Chris Andrews, are consistent ‘players’ when it comes to unique props and lines. But I would be remiss to exclude the Golden Nugget from any list of the elite sports books in Vegas, with Tony Miller, Aaron Kessler and company providing the ‘go-to’ destination for serious bettors downtown. Plus, Tony and Aaron are legitimately ‘good guys’, always willing to listen to or share a good betting story. This is not a ‘diss’ of other sportsbooks here in Vegas, but rather, a recognition of the guys who are ready, willing & able to take wiseguy action.

The Nugget was not first to market on ‘College Football Games of the Year’ lines in 2016 – South Point posted them earlier this month. But the Golden Nugget was the first book to post a bevy of season win totals in college football, numbers that hit the board late last week. And while I’m not going to pretend to be completely up to speed on the entire collegiate betting board, I do pay attention to these very first ‘market indicator’ season win total line moves.

The Nugget posted win total numbers for 24 teams. Six of those 24 teams saw some early action, including two significant moves: Ohio State Over 8.5 (bet up to 9) and Tennessee Under 10 (now -155 to the Under). Both win totals stood out like a sore thumb when the lines were posted – in casual discussions with other serious bettors, those two win totals came up repeatedly.

And those two win totals were, by far the biggest movers off the opening number with the Nugget taking enough Ohio State money to move the win total up from 8.5 to 9, with the Over 9 still drawing market support. The Buckeyes broke two records during the draft process with a record 14 players invited to the scouting combine and a record ten players selected in the first three rounds of the draft (Tennessee in 2000 held the previous record with eight draftees in the first three rounds).

The Nugget’s opening numbers make it clear – they’re expecting some growing pains for Ohio State after their massive personnel losses. And a schedule that includes road trips to face Oklahoma, Wisconsin and Michigan State prior to their season finale against Michigan was viewed to be somewhat daunting initially. The early market action supporting the Buckeyes did NOT agree with that ‘daunting’ assessment.

Tennessee finished 9-4 last year, pummeling Northwestern in the Outback Bowl to close out the campaign. All four Volunteer losses – Oklahoma, Florida, Alabama and Arkansas – came by a TD or less, and the Vols held a fourth quarter lead in three of them. With QB Joshua Dobbs returning – just one of 18 returning starters – the Nugget expected to see significant preseason wiseguy support for Butch Jones’ squad. There is a lot to like about this team.

But lining Tennessee’s win total higher than another other SEC school was a bit too much for the markets to support. And with a four game early season stretch against Florida, Georgia, Texas A&M and Alabama, the markets have said ‘this team loses more than one game’, which is all it takes for them to bet the Vols Under 10 wins. It’ll take an 11-1 regular season record to lose that bet; a win total the Vols haven’t even approached since Phil Fulmer was competing for national titles more than a decade ago. 

What a Start to the Week!

CE Manager May 25, 2016
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Coming off a solid weekend performance, skeptics would say the Covers Experts were due for a 'let down' to start this week. That couldn't be further from the truth, as the profit train has kept on rolling. 

AAA Sports has led the charge, turning in a monster 6-1 (86%) card yesterday to improve to 9-1 (90%) so far this week. AAA has been crushing it on the bases all season, to the tune of $7,833 of profit. His long-term +$19K run-line streak is put to the test today!

MLB

AAA Sports’ ALL EARLY 3-GAME RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION PASS

NBA

AAA’s 10* EAST-CONF FINALS GAME 5 TOTAL “ART OF WAR!”

 

HOT SUBSCRIPTION: AAA Sports' MLB Monthly - $299

 

It has been a remarkable month of May for Jesse Schule, who has shown no sign of letting up. 'The Iceman' delivered a 5-1 (83%) Tuesday card of his own to make it 7-1 (88%) since Monday. Schule is now 47-25 (65%) overall in May, earning $12,167 of the house's money. Four more plays ready!

NBA

Schule's NBA Total Recall TERMINATOR - *RAPTORS@CAVS*

NHL

Schule's TOP RATED NHL **BLOCKBUSTER** (70% in the month of May)

MLB

Schule's MLB AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER

Schule's MLB GRIM REAPER B-L-O-W-O-U-T

 

HOT SUBSCRIPTION: Jesse Schule's All Sports Monthly - $499

 

Will Rogers continues to produce winning days. While it was a small profit yesterday, 'The Coach' is now 34-14-1 (71%) overall the last 12 days and 66-35-2 (65%) in May, banking +$18,096. His insane 43-16-1 MLB run is on the line today!

MLB

Rogers' Afternoon ASSAULT

Rogers' Run Line PUNISHER

NBA

Rogers' *10* Coach's Clinic

NHL

Rogers' Wednesday SURE SHOT

 

HOT SUBSCRIPTION: Will Rogers' MLB Regular Season - Was $999, Now $849

 

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NBA

Wednesday *Fast Break* (5-1, 83%)

NHL

Wednesday *Top Shelf* (3-1, 75%)

MLB

Wednesday *Hit 'N Run* (3-0, 100%)

 

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Take it to the books!

 

- Covers Team