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Monday Night Football: Week 3

CE Manager 22 hours, 4 minutes ago
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Monday night caps a big weekend for sports bettors and we understand the importance of consistent winning picks. That being said, we want to provide you with best chance to cash in along with the comfort of knowing that if you don't win, you don't pay on all guaranteed picks.

Top Cappers Through Week 3

AAA Sports17-9 (65%), +$5,404

Brandon Shively: 9-5 (64%), +$3,100

Steve Merril: 6-3-2 (67%), +$2,571

Teddy Covers: 7-3 (70%), +$2,220

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints | NO -2.5 O/U: 53.5

When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, September 26, 2016
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana

The New Orleans Saints will commemorate one of the more noteworthy games in franchise history when they host the Atlanta Falcons on Monday night in a matchup of longtime NFC South rivals. It will mark the 10-year anniversary of the re-opening of the Superdome after the venue was forced to close for one season in the wake of Hurricane Katrina.

While emotions certainly will not be as high as in New Orleans' win over Atlanta a decade ago, the Saints can use any edge to avoid an 0-3 start after dropping their first two games by a combined four points. "This is an important division game," said New Orleans coach Sean Payton, readily acknowledging the significance is far less than the game from 2006. "One team is 0-2 and trying to get a win, and another team that's 1-1." The Falcons rebounded from a 31-24 home loss to Tampa Bay in Week 1 with a 35-28 road win last week at Oakland, which squeezed out a 35-34 victory at New Orleans in the season opener.

ABOUT THE FALCONS (1-1): Matt Ryan had his fewest touchdown passes (21) since his rookie season in 2015, but he off to a fast start with 730 yards passing with five scores and one interception while leading the league with a 121.4 quarterback rating. There is cause for concern in the passing game with star wide receiver Julio Jones sitting out his second straight practice Friday due to a calf injury, but Atlanta coach Dan Quinn said he expects him to play. The Falcons are receiving solid production from the backfield tandem of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman, who have combined for 181 rushing yards and 11 receptions. Atlanta's defense ranks 29th overall, allowing an average of 412.5 yards per game.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (0-2): New Orleans was horrendous on defense last season and little has changed -- it ranked 31st in the league with a staggering 451.5 yards surrendered and has been torched through the air for an average of 336.0 yards. Keeping the defense off the field would be easier if the Saints could crank up their running game, with lead back Mark Ingram producing 88 rushing yards on only 21 attempts, including nine carries in last week's 19-16 loss at the New York Giants. "From a rushing standpoint, I think we had some early positive runs, and all of a sudden we end up with the game over and only 13 rushing attempts (overall)," Payton said of the Week 2 loss. "I don't like the balance there." Quarterback Drew Brees has a potent receiving duo in Willie Snead and Brandon Cooks, who have combined for 27 catches and four touchdowns.


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Cimini's MNF NFC South Showcase (+27.4K Profits)

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We have slashed the price on our 2016 football packages:

NCAAF Regular SeasonWas $899, Now $799

NCAAF Full SeasonWas $999, Now $899

NFL Regular SeasonWas $999, Now $899

NFL Regular Season + PlayoffsWas $1199, Now $999


Enjoy the game and take it to the books!


- Covers Team

Sunday Night Football: Week 3

CE Manager Sep 23, 2016
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Sunday, September 25th: NFL Week 3

We enter week 3 of the NFL season and some intersting lines have been set by the oddmakers. Don't make it a guessing game, let the Covers Experts find the value so that you can cash in big.

Top Cappers Through Week 2

AAA Sports: 12-6 (67%), +$4,234

Matt Fargo: 8-4 (67%), +$3,680

Teddy Covers: 6-1 (86%), +$3,450



8:30 PM ET - Chicago vs. Dallas (DAL -7.5, O/U 44.5)

The Chicago Bears lost their starting quarterback in Monday night's loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, but don't expect to garner much sympathy from their next opponent. Journeyman Brian Hoyer will step in for the injured Jay Cutler for the Bears, who attempt to avoid an 0-3 start when they visit the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday.

With starter Tony Romo sidelined by a back injury, the Cowboys were forced to start the season with rookie Dak Prescott, who earned his first victory last week by guiding a late touchdown drive in a 27-23 win at Washington. "He exudes confidence," Dallas owner Jerry Jones said about Prescott, a fourth-round draft pick out of Mississippi State. "He's got a great supporting cast, but he's using it." Hoyer is with his fifth NFL team but has ample experience in pressure situations, starting nine games for Houston last season and 13 games for Cleveland in 2014. "Whether you're the starter or the backup or the third guy, you prepare every week like you're the starter," Hoyer said. "Just prepare like you're going to play and take it one day at a time and come Sunday, we'll see what happens."

ABOUT THE BEARS (0-2): Chicago not only flat-lined in the 29-14 home loss to the Eagles on Monday night, but came away with a slew of injuries on both sides of the ball. In addition to Cutler (thumb), leading wide receiver Alshon Jeffery (knee) did not practice Thursday while the defense is expected to be without nose tackle Eddie Goldman and linebackers Danny Trevathan and Lamarr Houston, who was placed on injured reserve with a torn ACL. Hoyer has a career 15-11 record as a starter but could use a boost from the running game after Jeremy Langford was held to 28 yards on 11 carries Monday. Chicago ranks ninth overall in total defense despite allowing 52 points in two games.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (1-1): Prescott drew rave reviews during the preseason and has not looked out of place while subbing for Romo, setting an NFL record for the most passes without an interception (75) in a player's first two games. Prescott threw for 292 yards and ran for a touchdown while finding a steady connection with start wideout Dez Bryant, who had seven receptions for 102 yards against the Redskins after opening the season with one catch for eight yards. Rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 83 yards and a touchdown last week, but found himself on the bench during crunch time after fumbling. The Cowboys' defense has been vulnerable to the pass, giving up an average of 276.5 yards. 

Expert Picks:

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Game of the Week (NFL) - Schule's Top Rated Total *SNF*

Steve Merril - Sunday Night TV Cash - Bears/Cowboys (NBC)


We have slashed the price on our 2016 football packages:

NCAAF Regular Season: Was $899, Now $799

NCAAF Full Season: Was $999, Now $899

NFL Regular Season: Was $999, Now $899

NFL Regular Season + Playoffs: Was $1199, Now $999


Enjoy the games and take it to the books!


- Covers Team

NCAAF Week 4 Sharp Money Report

CE Manager Sep 22, 2016
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By: Dave Cokin

Here's this week's rundown of where the sharp money is showing thus far on the college football card. Information is gathered via various sources in Nevada, at offshore books as well as stateside underground shops. These are not my plays, just a report on the cash flow for Week 4 action.

306 SMU is attracting some decent action for the Friday night clash with TCU. The Horned Frogs are not proving to be especially popular with the masses, so this is not shaping up as a sharp/square battleground game.

310 Utah is getting play from both the pros and the public.

322 Virginia has gotten early smart money action but the consensus seems to be the line has gotten as low as it will go.

316 Florida International is somewhat the choice for the wise guys, thought it's by no means overwhelming.

318 Buffalo is getting some attention from the pros, while the public is once again poundi ng the Army side.

321 Syracuse is pretty popular with both the sharps and the public.

324 Michigan is the rare big chalk piece that is getting well supported by the smarts.

326 Rutgers caught some early action from the professionals, but the general feeling is that this line will start to head back up now.

386 West Virginia got hit pretty hard early in the week, but the consensus is that the line has peaked at 7.

340 Akron is the pro choice as home dogs against Appalachian State. No one seems surprised by this off last week's results.

341 Georgia Southern bombed out Western Michigan last season and the sharp money apparently believes the Eagles will get the job done again as they're taking the points.

349 Oklahoma State is the wise guy side as the Cowboys take on Baylor. The public backed the Bears in a big way last week and got burned, and they're also siding mostly with the visitors here.

318 Troy is again catching some wise guy play even though the Trojans are heavily favored this week.

361 Wisconsin is mostly the sharp side against Michigan State, although a couple of my sources indicated they believe it to be a smoke screen and that the late action will be on the Spartans.

366 Purdue is back on the wise guy list again. The Boilermakers were a heavy sharp side a couple weeks again and laid a rotten egg in the Cincinnati game.

375 Miami Ohio is, as usual, getting most of the pro dough in the annual rivalry game with Cincinnati.

382 Kentucky is geting most of the pro play, while underdog South Carolina is the more popular side with the public.

383 Florida is getting play from both the pros and the joes. The line drop ripped right through a key number and my contact in SEC country believes this spread could drop even more.

388 South Florida is shaping up as a sharp/square duel with the masses on the 'Noles, but the wise guys backing the home underdog.

That's the rundown for this week. Remember, this is only information about where the money is showing to this point, and much can change between now and game day. Have fun with it and good luck this weekend.

NFL Line Watch - Week 3

CE Manager Sep 21, 2016
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By: AAA Sports

Game to bet on now

Arizona at Buffalo (+4)

Is Rex Ryan already playing out the string in western New York? Ryan might be on thin ice even before the ice arrives in Buffalo. The Bills are 0-2 and already two games back in the AFC East, and now face the Cardinals and Patriots in back-to-back games. If Buffalo isn’t at least competitive, the pressure will certainly be on ownership to make a mid-season change. The Cardinals head east with tons of momentum after crushing Tampa Bay by 33 in Week 2, and now begin the soft underbelly of their schedule (Bills, Rams, 49ers and Jets). The game opened at Buffalo +4, and if you’re with the vast majority of early bettors who like the Cardinals, best get your wager down before the number goes to 4½ or 5.

Game to wait on

Houston at New England (+2.5)

Lots to look here as the Texans play their first road game of the year. New England will have had only a few days to get third-string rookie QB Jacoby Brissett up to speed in the wake of Jimmy Garoppolo’s shoulder injury. And what happens if Brissett goes down? Also, will Rob Gronkowski play? What about LB Don’t’a Hightower, whose absence was clearly felt last Sunday in the second half against Miami? If the Patriots plan on a light workload for Brissett and hope to run the ball with workhorse LeGarrette Blount (29 carries/123 yards vs. the Dolphins), be advised the Texans are more than pretty good against the run. If you like NE in this one, at 2.5 it might be a good idea to hold on until just before kickoff to see if Texans money pushes the number to 3.

Total to watch

San Diego at Indianapolis (51.5)

The 1-1 Chargers and the 0-2 Colts are both high-scoring teams with suspect defenses. In fact, the four games involving these teams have produced a total of 230 points. The sample is obviously small, but Indy is on a pace to give up 584 points – which would be 108 more than the worst defensive team in the league (New Orleans) allowed last season. Adding fuel to the fire is that San Diego has scored the second-most points in the league this season, just one fewer than Carolina. The total here opened at 50.5 and was quickly bet up to 51.5.

NCAA Football Line Watch - Week 4

CE Manager Sep 20, 2016
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By: Steve Merril

Spread to bet now:

Iowa (-13) at Rutgers

This line briefly opened -13 and quickly moved to -14 on Sunday night. However, it has since come back down to -13.5 in most locations. The public will likely push this line back up to the key number of -14 or more later this week. Iowa will be in a foul mood after losing 23-21 at home last Saturday as a -14.5 point favorite versus North Dakota State. However, the Bison have won the FCS national championship for five straight seasons and they have now defeated six straight FBS opponents. Iowa will actually be facing a weaker opponent at Rutgers this week.

Iowa won their other two games by 24 and 39 point margins this season. Rutgers has already lost by 35 points against Washington this month and the Scarlet Knights have absolutely no passing attack. Rutgers is averaging just 5.1 yards per pass and only 50.5% completions (versus opponents that allow 6.1 ypp and 58.7%). This makes a backdoor cover late in the game less likely.


Spread to wait on:

Louisville at Marshall (+25.5)

Louisville opened as a -24 point road favorite and was quickly bet up to -25.5. The public will likely continue to push this line higher, especially after last week's impressive 63-20 blowout win versus Florida State. However, this is a terrible scheduling situation for Louisville. The Cardinals are coming off two national TV conference wins and have another huge game on deck next week at Clemson.

Marshall is coming a bad home loss last week as a -17.5 point favorite versus Akron. The Herd suffered from a 4-1 turnover deficit in that game, but still gained 560 total yards.  Marshall has enough offense to trade points with Louisville as the Herd is averaging 50 points per game this season on 545 total yards per game (6.9 yards per play).


Total to watch:

California at Arizona State (82.5)
California had the highest total last week versus Texas (O/U 80.5) and those two teams combined to score 93 points in a 50-43 California home win as a +7.5 point underdog.  Arizona State had the highest posted total two weeks ago (O/U 80) versus Texas Tech in the Sun Devils 68-55 home win.

Now these two teams once again find themselves with the highest posted total on the board. This O/U line opened 80.5 and was quickly bet up to 82.5. California is averaging 47.0 points per game on 580 yards (6.6 yards per play), while allowing 39.7 ppg and 504 yards (6.5 yppl). Arizona State is averaging 48.0 points per game on 526 yards (6.5 yppl), while allowing 32.0 ppg and 453 yards (6.5 yppl). These two teams played last season and the game soared Over the posted total (O/U 68) with 94 total points scored in a 48-46 California home win.


NCAAF Regular Season: Was $899, Now $799

NCAAF Full Season: Was $999, Now $899