Follow Chalk Talk On:

NFL Sunday: Action Report

CE Manager Sep 23, 2016
Blog Image

Sunday, September 25th: NFL Week 3

We enter week 3 of the NFL season and some intersting lines have been set by the oddmakers. Don't make it a guessing game, let the Covers Experts find the value so that you can cash in big.

Top Cappers Through Week 2

AAA Sports: 12-6 (67%), +$4,234

Matt Fargo: 8-4 (67%), +$3,680

Teddy Covers: 6-1 (86%), +$3,450


1:00 PM ET - Arizona vs. Buffalo (BUF +3.5, O/U 47)

GAME OF THE MONTH (10* NFL) BRANDON SHIVELY’S TOP NFL ‘ATS’ DESTROYER OF THE MONTH

*EARLY* BURNS' 10* BEST BET! (49-24 ATS NFL TOP PLAY HEATER!)

 

1:00 PM ET - Minnesota vs. Carolina (CAR -7, O/U 43)

Game of the Month (NFL): BIG AL's RED-HOT 22-2 ATS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH!

Game of the Month (NFL): Fargo's 10* NFL Game of the Month (EPIC +$43,020 L3+ Years)

 

1:00 PM ET - Oakland vs. Tennessee (TEN -2, O/U 47)

Larry Ness' Early 10* 33-Club Play (Easily Hit CFB Version This Month!)

Schule's NFL GRIM REAPER B-L-O-W-O-U-T! - **1PM Kickoff** 

 

4:05 PM ET - St. Louis vs. Tampa Bay  (TB -5, O/U 42)

Will Rogers' 10* TOP TOTAL TICKET

Teddy Covers - 10* Big Ticket NFL Game of the Month B-L-O-W-O-U-T! 86% YTD!

 

4:25 PM ET - N.Y. Jets vs. Kansas City (KC -3, O/U 42)

GAME OF THE WEEK! (NFL) BEN BURNS' 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK! (20-8 L28!)

 

4:25 PM ET - Pittsburgh vs. Philadelphia (PHI +3.5, O/U 46)

Jesse Schule's NFL AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER - STEELERS@EAGLES

 

8:30 PM ET - Chicago vs. Dallas (DAL -7.5, O/U 44.5)

Matt Fargo's 10* NFL Sunday Star Attraction (POTENT +$43,020 L3+ Years)

 

PRICE DROP!

We have slashed the price on our 2016 football packages:

NCAAF Regular Season: Was $899, Now $799

NCAAF Full Season: Was $999, Now $899

NFL Regular Season: Was $999, Now $899

NFL Regular Season + Playoffs: Was $1199, Now $999

 

Enjoy the games and take it to the books!

 

- Covers Team

NCAAF Week 4 Sharp Money Report

CE Manager Sep 22, 2016
Blog Image

By: Dave Cokin

Here's this week's rundown of where the sharp money is showing thus far on the college football card. Information is gathered via various sources in Nevada, at offshore books as well as stateside underground shops. These are not my plays, just a report on the cash flow for Week 4 action.

306 SMU is attracting some decent action for the Friday night clash with TCU. The Horned Frogs are not proving to be especially popular with the masses, so this is not shaping up as a sharp/square battleground game.

310 Utah is getting play from both the pros and the public.

322 Virginia has gotten early smart money action but the consensus seems to be the line has gotten as low as it will go.

316 Florida International is somewhat the choice for the wise guys, thought it's by no means overwhelming.

318 Buffalo is getting some attention from the pros, while the public is once again poundi ng the Army side.

321 Syracuse is pretty popular with both the sharps and the public.

324 Michigan is the rare big chalk piece that is getting well supported by the smarts.

326 Rutgers caught some early action from the professionals, but the general feeling is that this line will start to head back up now.

386 West Virginia got hit pretty hard early in the week, but the consensus is that the line has peaked at 7.

340 Akron is the pro choice as home dogs against Appalachian State. No one seems surprised by this off last week's results.

341 Georgia Southern bombed out Western Michigan last season and the sharp money apparently believes the Eagles will get the job done again as they're taking the points.

349 Oklahoma State is the wise guy side as the Cowboys take on Baylor. The public backed the Bears in a big way last week and got burned, and they're also siding mostly with the visitors here.

318 Troy is again catching some wise guy play even though the Trojans are heavily favored this week.

361 Wisconsin is mostly the sharp side against Michigan State, although a couple of my sources indicated they believe it to be a smoke screen and that the late action will be on the Spartans.

366 Purdue is back on the wise guy list again. The Boilermakers were a heavy sharp side a couple weeks again and laid a rotten egg in the Cincinnati game.

375 Miami Ohio is, as usual, getting most of the pro dough in the annual rivalry game with Cincinnati.

382 Kentucky is geting most of the pro play, while underdog South Carolina is the more popular side with the public.

383 Florida is getting play from both the pros and the joes. The line drop ripped right through a key number and my contact in SEC country believes this spread could drop even more.

388 South Florida is shaping up as a sharp/square duel with the masses on the 'Noles, but the wise guys backing the home underdog.

That's the rundown for this week. Remember, this is only information about where the money is showing to this point, and much can change between now and game day. Have fun with it and good luck this weekend.

NFL Line Watch - Week 3

CE Manager Sep 21, 2016
Blog Image

By: AAA Sports

Game to bet on now

Arizona at Buffalo (+4)

Is Rex Ryan already playing out the string in western New York? Ryan might be on thin ice even before the ice arrives in Buffalo. The Bills are 0-2 and already two games back in the AFC East, and now face the Cardinals and Patriots in back-to-back games. If Buffalo isn’t at least competitive, the pressure will certainly be on ownership to make a mid-season change. The Cardinals head east with tons of momentum after crushing Tampa Bay by 33 in Week 2, and now begin the soft underbelly of their schedule (Bills, Rams, 49ers and Jets). The game opened at Buffalo +4, and if you’re with the vast majority of early bettors who like the Cardinals, best get your wager down before the number goes to 4½ or 5.

Game to wait on

Houston at New England (+2.5)

Lots to look here as the Texans play their first road game of the year. New England will have had only a few days to get third-string rookie QB Jacoby Brissett up to speed in the wake of Jimmy Garoppolo’s shoulder injury. And what happens if Brissett goes down? Also, will Rob Gronkowski play? What about LB Don’t’a Hightower, whose absence was clearly felt last Sunday in the second half against Miami? If the Patriots plan on a light workload for Brissett and hope to run the ball with workhorse LeGarrette Blount (29 carries/123 yards vs. the Dolphins), be advised the Texans are more than pretty good against the run. If you like NE in this one, at 2.5 it might be a good idea to hold on until just before kickoff to see if Texans money pushes the number to 3.

Total to watch

San Diego at Indianapolis (51.5)

The 1-1 Chargers and the 0-2 Colts are both high-scoring teams with suspect defenses. In fact, the four games involving these teams have produced a total of 230 points. The sample is obviously small, but Indy is on a pace to give up 584 points – which would be 108 more than the worst defensive team in the league (New Orleans) allowed last season. Adding fuel to the fire is that San Diego has scored the second-most points in the league this season, just one fewer than Carolina. The total here opened at 50.5 and was quickly bet up to 51.5.

NCAA Football Line Watch - Week 4

CE Manager Sep 20, 2016
Blog Image

By: Steve Merril


Spread to bet now:

Iowa (-13) at Rutgers

This line briefly opened -13 and quickly moved to -14 on Sunday night. However, it has since come back down to -13.5 in most locations. The public will likely push this line back up to the key number of -14 or more later this week. Iowa will be in a foul mood after losing 23-21 at home last Saturday as a -14.5 point favorite versus North Dakota State. However, the Bison have won the FCS national championship for five straight seasons and they have now defeated six straight FBS opponents. Iowa will actually be facing a weaker opponent at Rutgers this week.

Iowa won their other two games by 24 and 39 point margins this season. Rutgers has already lost by 35 points against Washington this month and the Scarlet Knights have absolutely no passing attack. Rutgers is averaging just 5.1 yards per pass and only 50.5% completions (versus opponents that allow 6.1 ypp and 58.7%). This makes a backdoor cover late in the game less likely.

-----------------

Spread to wait on:

Louisville at Marshall (+25.5)

Louisville opened as a -24 point road favorite and was quickly bet up to -25.5. The public will likely continue to push this line higher, especially after last week's impressive 63-20 blowout win versus Florida State. However, this is a terrible scheduling situation for Louisville. The Cardinals are coming off two national TV conference wins and have another huge game on deck next week at Clemson.

Marshall is coming a bad home loss last week as a -17.5 point favorite versus Akron. The Herd suffered from a 4-1 turnover deficit in that game, but still gained 560 total yards.  Marshall has enough offense to trade points with Louisville as the Herd is averaging 50 points per game this season on 545 total yards per game (6.9 yards per play).

-----------------

Total to watch:

California at Arizona State (82.5)
 
California had the highest total last week versus Texas (O/U 80.5) and those two teams combined to score 93 points in a 50-43 California home win as a +7.5 point underdog.  Arizona State had the highest posted total two weeks ago (O/U 80) versus Texas Tech in the Sun Devils 68-55 home win.

Now these two teams once again find themselves with the highest posted total on the board. This O/U line opened 80.5 and was quickly bet up to 82.5. California is averaging 47.0 points per game on 580 yards (6.6 yards per play), while allowing 39.7 ppg and 504 yards (6.5 yppl). Arizona State is averaging 48.0 points per game on 526 yards (6.5 yppl), while allowing 32.0 ppg and 453 yards (6.5 yppl). These two teams played last season and the game soared Over the posted total (O/U 68) with 94 total points scored in a 48-46 California home win.


PRICE DROP:

NCAAF Regular Season: Was $899, Now $799

NCAAF Full Season: Was $999, Now $899

$20 Tuesday: Save Big & Win Big!

CE Manager Sep 20, 2016
Blog Image

Tuesday is customer appreciation day here at Covers Experts, and to help show our gratitude to our loyal clients, select Expert Picks are only $20 Guaranteed & $12 Non-Guaranteed. Here's what is on the board for today:


Al McMordie

Al McMordie CASHED AGAIN last night, as he had the Dodgers over the Giants, and Big Al's now 24-7 his last 31 in Major League Baseball. Now, for Tuesday, he's stepping out with another BIG BASEBALL WINNER.  It's Big Al's 10* MLB Division S*M*A*S*H, and it's backed by a 32-5 situation. Get on board, and circle the bases tonight!

 

Matt Fargo

Matt is coming off a pass on the bases Monday but is back to continue his second half SURGE! He is on a SWEET +$4,720 run thanks to big underdog winners including the +180 Braves, +186 Rockies and +192 White Sox! Last season, Fargo profited on 60 of 90 (67%) MLB Underdog Double Plays and he goes for a PERFECT 2-0 SWEEP tonight!

 

AAA Sports

AAA Sports tooks Sunday off at the ballpark to focus completely on the NFL, but WENT YARD on Monday with a PERFECT 2-0 MLB SWEEP! Now back up over +$18,000 Y-T-D with ALL MLB picks. If you don't mind laying some chalk on a wire-to-wire rout, then make sure this MAJOR BLOWOUT is on your ticket.

 

Will Rogers

Rogers has gone on plenty of awesome runs in his handicapping career. But the current one in MLB is something special! He's a SIZZLING 26-7 L33 Sides, which is 79% WINNERS! His TOP Play for Tuesday is not to be missed. It's only $20!

 

Power Sports

It was a winning Monday (2-1) on the diamond for Power Sports, including a 10* Total (Under Bos/Bal)! That made it 29-17 on their last 46 MLB Totals and a whopping 80 games over .500 this season overall. Tuesday's TOP RATED Total is available for only $20!

 

PRICE DROP!

We have slashed the price on our 2016 football packages:

NCAAF Regular Season: Was $899, Now $799

NCAAF Full Season: Was $999, Now $899

NFL Regular Season: Was $999, Now $899

NFL Regular Season + Playoffs: Was $1199, Now $999

 

Take it to the books!

 

- Covers Team