NBA Western Conf. Betting Road Map
The NBA Playoffs are in full swing and the battle to represent the West in the NBA Finals is on. Covers Expert Steve Merril breaks down four important betting notes to be aware of when capping Western Conference matchups this week.
San Antonio and Los Angeles are tied at 2 games apiece heading into Game 5 Tuesday night. The Spurs and Clippers are evenly matched, so a tied series at this point was certainly expected. San Antonio is 23-10 SU since the All-Star break while Los Angeles is 23-9 SU during the same span. The zig-zag theory has held up for the most part in this series with the losing team going 2-1 SU/ATS in the following game so far.
Dallas and Houston have played three of their four games Over the total. That comes as no surprise since the Mavericks and Rockets have played little defense this season. Houston holds a 3-1 series lead heading into Game 5 Tuesday night. Dallas’ only hope to win is to repeat their performance in Game 4 when they scored 121 points. There is no value on the Over now at 222, especially since the Game 1 total closed at just 213, but it is still difficult to recommend the Under between these two high-scoring opponents.
Memphis was without their starting point guard Mike Conley in Game 4 of their playoff series against Portland. He needed facial surgery from an injury suffered in Game 3. As of now, there is no timetable for Conley’s return. The Grizzlies haven’t played well when missing a starter this season, so keep an eye on Conley’s status going forward.
Los Angeles’ offense has had a lot of success against the Spurs this season. The Clippers ranked No. 1 in offensive efficiency against San Antonio’s defense this season, and we’ve seen Los Angeles score 107 points or more in three of the four games in this series. Their overall success is predicated on their offensive success, and that was clear when San Antonio beat Los Angeles by 27 points (100-73) in Game 3 which was the Clippers only poor performance so far in this series.
*Steve is 8-4 (+$3,610) so far in the 2015 NBA Playoffs. Stay tuned for his Tuesday card*
Four Monday Elimination Games!
It is a great time of year to be a sports bettor, with wild playoff action night in, night out. Four teams look to punch their ticket to round 2 tonight and our Experts have you covered for every game on the board!
7:00 PM ET: Atlanta vs. Brooklyn (Nets +4.5, O/U 196.5)
8:00 PM ET: Milwaukee vs. Chicago (Bulls -8.5, O/U 187.5)
10:30 PM ET: Memphis vs. Portland (Blazers -3, O/U 191.5)
7:00 PM ET: Tampa Bay vs. Detroit (Red Wings -102, O/U 5)
7:30 PM ET: N.Y Islanders vs. Washington (Capitals -135, O/U 5)
Looking for only the strongest plays? Check out which games our Experts have aligned on for tonight.
P.S. Playoff Packages are still on sale - Get all picks from your favorite Expert right through the finals!
Covers is your home for the best in playoff betting advice.
Fargo's PGA Dominance Continues!
It was just another day at the office for Covers Expert Matt Fargo, as he cashed his 7th golf winner of the season with Justin Rose claiming the Zurich Classic. Over the course of this run, he has netted his clients a whopping 71 units in just 15 events. To prove how sharp this guy is, Fargo also had the 2nd place finisher (Cameron Tringale +6,600) in his 5-pack for this week. Here is what he had to say about Justin Rose going into Thursday:
"Playing chalk isn't much fun sometimes but Justin Rose (+945) cannot be overlooked. After a slow start to the season which was partly to blame on a bad thumb after a fall, he played decent in Houston then finished in a tie for second at the Masters. He has performed very well here as he is one of those eight players to make it to the weekend the last three years, all finishing in the top 15 including a T8 last year."
Picking winners in a 156-man field at an almost 50% clip (7/15) is unheard of. Fargo has made it look easy with the following trips to the winner's circle:
Humana Challenge: Bill Haas (+2,800)
Farmers Insurance Open: Jason Day (+1,150)
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am: Brandt Snedeker (+2,100)
WGC-Cadillac Championship: Dustin Johnson (+2,000)
Valero Texas Open: Jimmy Walker (+2,300)
Shell Houston Open: J.B. Holmes (+2,600)
Zurich Classic of New Orleans: Justin Rose (+945)
The tour now heads to San Francisco for the WGC-Cadillac Match Play, where Matt has an incredible track record (+55.76 units last 3 years). Stay tuned for this week's 5-pack of tournament and head-to-head winners!
Make Covers your home for the best in golf betting advice.
Sunday Playoffs - Cover With Ease!
Sunday's action features 5 elimination games, and our Experts have spotted major value in both the NBA and NHL. Jump on board with our hottest cappers and crush the books!
Top NBA Playoff Cappers
Top NHL Playoff Cappers
Take it to the books!
NHL & NBA Playoffs Heating Up!
The NBA and NHL playoffs are underway and the Covers Experts continue to dish out winning plays to keep you rolling right through until the end of the 2015 seasons!
Hottest capper records in the NBA Playoffs are as follows:
Nick Parsons : 12-5 (71%) with +$6,548 earned
AAA Sports : 11-8 (58%) with +$2,546 earned
Swish Analytics : 23-18 (56%) with +$2,475 earned
Hottest capper records in the NHL Playoffs are as follows:
Jesse Schule : 15-5-1 (75%) with +$6,716 earned
Al McMordie : 7-2 (78%) with +$3,580 earned
AAA Sports : 11-7-1 (61%) with +$3,090 earned
P.S. Our Expert Consensus has been red hot in playoff action. Check out which picks our Experts have aligned on today.
Covers is your home for the best in sports betting advice.
- AAA Sports
- April 28, 2015 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ -6 -110 Houston
1* Free Play Rockets.
Houston is 3-1 SU, but just 2-2 ATS in this series. Most recently the Mavericks would avoid the dreaded sweep by pulling away for a convincing 121-109 victory in Game 4, but with a shift in venue and with a chance to wrap this one up in front of the home town crowd, I expect the Rockets to be on top form Tuesday night and definitely feel they're worth a second look in this one. Obviously the last thing Houston can afford is to give the Mavs any hope, a loss today would have to be considered a monumental letdown, I simply can't foresee the Rockets not coming in completely focused this time around on both ends of the court. And note, this is in fact a position in which the Mavericks have struggled in for bettors all season long as they're just 19-23 in all road games, only 18-24 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and interestingly, a poor 20-28 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest. Conversely, take note that this is a spot in which the Rockets have dominated in all year, 28-15 ATS overall in front of the home town crowd, 12-2 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more and a near-perfect 11-1 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. So what do you think? Can the Mavs steal another one and force a Game 6, or does Houston lay the hammer down at home?
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