Pick Details

(127) Brigham Young vs. Massachusetts (128)

PICK: bwin @ -13.5 BYU (-110)

DATE: November 10, 2018 - 12:00 PM

STAR RATING: 10.0

SPORT: NCAAF

EXPERT: Matt Fargo

EVALUATION: Win (1000) - Final Score BYU 35 at MASS 16

ANALYSIS:

This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. BYU and Massachusetts are both still alive for bowl berths but neither can make a mistake. While the Cougars can still lose one of their final three games, the season finale is at Utah so that is likely the game that goes down which makes this one extremely important. BYU has lost its last two games against Northern Illinois and Boise St. by a combined six points and it won the yardage battle in both of those. The Cougars would like some payback as well after losing to the Minutemen last season 16-10 in their home finale. Massachusetts has kept its hopes alive with two straight win and it cannot afford another loss as it needs to win its final two games. Considering the Minutemen are at Georgia week, that is not going to happen. The two recent wins were not impressive as they came against Liberty and Connecticut, two of the three worse defenses in the nation. Prior to that, the Minutemen were outgained in their other seven games against FBS competition. Massachusetts will be facing much stiffer competition here as the Cougars are allowing just 334.1 ypg on defense and only 5.1 yppl. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (127) BYU Cougars


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