Pick Details

Carolina vs. Pittsburgh

PICK: 888sport @ 4 CAR (-112)

DATE: November 8, 2018 - 8:20 PM

STAR RATING: 10.0

SPORT: NFL

EXPERT: Chris Elliott

EVALUATION: Loss (-1120) - Final Score CAR 21 at PIT 52

ANALYSIS:

Play on Carolina (10*) -- In a battle of two (seemingly) evenly matched teams, my default is to take the points. Such is the case here with Carolina playing every bit as well as the Steelers are of late. The Panthers come in riding a three-game win streak. Pittsburgh has won four in a row.

The key to this game will be how effective Carolina is running the football. Right now, no team is better at it. They lead the league in yards per rush attempt at 5.2. Falling behind early in previous road games is what has cost them. They actually average 6.1 yards per rush attempt on the road.

The Steelers' numbers when it comes to stopping the run do look impressive, but it has not been a difficult slate of offenses that they've faced, at least when it comes to running the ball. Turns out that the Panthers' defense is also pretty effective in stopping the run, giving up just 94 yards per game.

Carolina is 2-1 ATS as an underdog this year, winning outright against both Baltimore and Philadelphia. The Steelers started the year 0-3 ATS as favorites, but have since covered as chalk against Atlanta and Cleveland. But the Panthers are their most challenging opponent since facing Kansas City back in Week 2.

Pittsburgh is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine home games. Look for Carolina to cover for the first time in franchise history against the Steelers (0-6 ATS previously) tonight. Play on Carolina (10*)


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