Pick Details

(109) Wake Forest vs. NC State (110)

PICK: 888sport @ Over 67.5 (-114)

DATE: November 8, 2018 - 7:30 PM

STAR RATING: 10.0

SPORT: NCAAF

EXPERT: Scott Rickenbach

EVALUATION: Loss (-1140) - Final Total 50

ANALYSIS:

Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CFB Game #109 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ 7:30 ET - With Demon Deacons QB Sam Hartman out for the season and a very high total posted on this game, the first reaction would be that there is value with the under. However, in typical contrarian fashion I am going with the over in this match-up. First off, Wake Forest does have other options at QB. Secondly, the weather is going to be great in Raliegh, NC Thursday evening. Thirdly, both teams have been piling up yardage on offense. Lastly, and perhaps most importantly, both teams have been giving up a ton of yardage and have been struggling to get stops. This is one of the those games where both teams should move the ball up and down the field with plenty of points scored. Wake Forest has averaged 512.5 yards and 40 points their last two games. NC State has averaged 479 yards and 44 points their last two games. The Wolfpack have averaged 38 points per game their last 4 games at home. The issue for North Carolina State is a defense that has allowed an averaged of 492 yards and 40 points per game their last 3 games. As the season has gone on, they have worn down and this game is on a short week. As for Wake Forest, they've had issues on defense all season long but, like the Wolfpack, the Demon Deacons D also appears especially vulnerable of late. Wake Forest has given up 44 points and 534 yards per game their last 4 games. The over is 4-1 the last 5 times the Wolfpack have been a favorite. The over is 6-2 in the Demon Deacons last 8 games. Also, Wake Forest is 2-0 in road games with a posted total between 63.5 and 70 points. This number is big for Thursday's game with good reason! 10* OVER the total in NC State


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