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Pick Details

(905) St. Louis vs. Milwaukee (906)

PICK: pinnacle @ Over 9.5 (105)

DATE: April 15, 2019 - 7:40 PM

STAR RATING: 10.0

SPORT: MLB

EXPERT: Power Sports

EVALUATION: Win (1050) - Final Total 17

ANALYSIS:

10* Over Cardinals/Brewers (7:40 ET): St. Louis is coming off a two-game split w/ Cincinnati, a series which took place down in Mexico. Yesterday saw them score nine runs in two big innings, most of it due to the bat of Marcell Ozuna, who homered twice. His three-run shot in the top of the 1st got things goings and then a solo shot in the 7th pretty much put things away in what ended up being a five-run frame. Milwaukee missed out on a chance to sweep the Dodgers yday, losing 7-1, but Miller Park has seen its fair share of scoring so far this season. I'm on the Over here. 

We have two starters here that haven't pitched very well in 2019. St. Louis may not get the "cluster luck" it enjoyed in yday's game vs. the Reds, but they should certainly be able to get to Milwaukee starter Freddy Peralta both early and often. Peralta has toed the rubber three times so far and those three starts have produced a 6.91 ERA and 1.396 WHIP. His one start here at Miller Park was real bad and it happened to come against the Cardinals. Peralta allowed four runs and was gone after just three innings. Milwaukee ended up losing 9-5, the only game they dropped in that series.

Milwaukee is allowing more than six runs per game at home so far, but the good news is they're also scoring more than six per game. That prior series here vs. the Cardinals saw them average just under 5.0 per game. Moving from pitcher-friendly Chavez Ravine to back home should wake up an offense that was held to one run on four hits yday. Also beneficial will be facing Dakota Hudson. This will be the Brew Crew's second time seeing Hudson as they faced him in the prior series and got to him for four runs in 4 1/3 innings. They homered three times off him. The Over is 7-0-1 following the last eight times Milwaukee was held to two runs or less in its last game. The Over is also 9-2 in the Cardinals' last 11 series openers. 10* Over Cardinals/Brewers 


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