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Pick Details

(29) Boston vs. Toronto (30)

PICK: guts @ Over 5.5 (-143)

DATE: April 15, 2019 - 7:00 PM

STAR RATING: 10.0

SPORT: NHL

EXPERT: Will Rogers

EVALUATION: Loss (-1430) - Final Total 5

ANALYSIS:

The set-up: It’s Game 3 of the Best of 7 series and while the first two games have fallen “under” the number, I believe that the switch in venue and the overall situation will lead to a higher-scoring affair in Game 3. Boston comes in averaging 3.80 goals over its last ten games. The Bruins though have allowed 3.40 goals over that same stretch. Toronto will be wary about having a letdown here, as it’s 0-7 in its last seven off a win. The Leafs though are 23-17 at home this season, averaging 3.56 goals and allowing 3.00 goals.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston has seen the total go over the number in 14 of its last 24 after a win by two goals or more, while Toronto has seen the total go over in 18 of 29 vs. the divisional opponents already. This number is low, play the “over.”

Maple Leafs/Bruins OVER

10* play


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