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Pick Details

Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo

PICK: caesars @ PIT (-185)

DATE: March 14, 2019 - 7:00 PM

STAR RATING: 6.0

SPORT: NHL

EXPERT: Power Sports

EVALUATION: Win (600)

ANALYSIS:

6* Pittsburgh (7:05 ET): The Penguins recorded a very important 5-3 win in their last game, beating the 1st place team in the Metro (Washington). I won w/ the Over in that contest, but was not the least bit surprised to see the Pens get the two points. After all, they came into the game sporting a better YTD point differential than the Caps. Tonight's opponent (Buffalo) is one that has been struggling for awhile now. The Sabres have lost five in a row, 11 of 13, and they've been shutout in each of the last two games. Really, when you subtract that 10-game win streak back in November, this season has been an utter failure in upstate New York. Without the win streak, the team's won-loss record on the season dips to 20-30-9, a win percentage of roughly .333. 

Though beating Washington was huge, Pittsburgh cannot afford to rest on their laurels. They are now top three in the Metro, but they're just four points away from being out of the playoffs entirely. I don't see the Penguins missing the playoffs. They've turned it on of late, winning five of six. The lone loss came in the second game of a home and home w/ Columbus. Adding to the motivation here is the fact it's a double revenge spot. Two weeks ago, the Pens lost here in Buffalo by a score of 4-3. They also lost to them 5-4 at home back in November. The loss earlier this month was an OT game where the Sabres were able to tie things up late in the third period. Pittsburgh had a 44-30 edge in shots. 

Buffalo figured to be "up against it" in this one anyway, but compounding matters is the fact Jack Eichel (their best player) is suspended. Eichel was dinged for two games due to a hit to the head in Saturday's loss to Colorado. The team's first game w/o its leading scorer did not go well as they were blanked 2-0 by the Stars. Note both Sabres wins this season against the Pens required extra time. They won't be so lucky tonight in a spot that screams "blowout" for Pittsburgh. 6* Pittsburgh


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