(703) Boston vs. Phoenix (704)
PICK: pinnacle @ 9.5 PHO (-105)
DATE: November 8, 2018 - 9:00 PM
STAR RATING: 10.0
EXPERT: AAA Sports
EVALUATION: Win (1000) - Final Score BOS 116 at PHO 109
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Phoenix Suns.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats:
As note that Boston is already just 1-2 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and only 14-15 ATS in its last 29 after allowing 115 points or more, while Phoenix is 40-33 ATS in its last 77 following a loss by ten points or more.
The Celtics achilles heel remains their play on the road. Grab the points, play on the SUNS.