Pick Details

(101) Houston vs. Cincinnati (102)

PICK: 5dimes @ -5 CIN (-110)

DATE: September 14, 2017 - 8:25 PM

STAR RATING: 10.0

SPORT: NFL

EXPERT: Larry Ness

EVALUATION: Loss (-1100) - Final Score HOU 13 at CIN 9

ANALYSIS:

This is a 10* PERFECT STORM on the Cincinnati Bengals (8:25 EST).

Both teams are coming off disappointing Week 1 setbacks, as Houston fell 29-7 at home to Jacksonville, while Cincinnati would get shut out 20-0 at home to the Ravens. Note that the Bengals play with revenge here after falling 12-10 in Houston last year.

The Texans looked horrible on both sides of the ball last week. QB Tom Savage was sacked six times and had two fumbles, one which was returned for a TD. DeShaun Watson came in and he was 12 of 22 for 102 yards and one TD and one pick. In all though the offensive line gave up ten sacks.

The defense allowed rookie RB Leonard Fournette run for 100 yards on 26 carries and 155 yards overall, while coming up with a total of zero sacks and zero forced turnovers.

The Bengals also looked brutal, with QB Andy Dalton going 16 of 31 for 170 yards, four INT’s and one fumble. The run game produced just 77 yards on 22 carries.

The defense looked decent though, allowing a total of 268 yards overall. Linebacker Vincent Rey had 11 tackles.

I’ll point out though that Houston is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road (also 0-7 ATS in its last seven “Thursday” night games), while Cincinnati is 3-1 ATS in its last four off a loss against a division rival.

Dalton has the pedigree and track record to shake off one lousy game, while Watson will be starting his first ever profesionall football contest tonight.

Houston would appear to be still “hung over” with having to deal with the Hurricane, while Cincinnati is focused and ready to atone for the pathetic Week 1 effort. Lay the points, play on the Bengals.

Good luck…Larry

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