Marc Lawrence

10* NFL Preseason Play Of The Year! - Friday

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Last 10 Picks 4 - 6 ( 40% )
DATE W/L SPORT PICK UNITS
Aug 25 W NFL Seattle 1000
Aug 24 L MLB Boston -1043
Aug 23 W MLB Kansas City 1030
Aug 23 L MLB Tampa Bay -833
Aug 22 L MLB Pittsburgh -1050
Aug 21 L MLB Baltimore -700
Aug 20 L NFL New Orleans -805
Aug 19 W MLB NY Yankees 1000
Aug 19 L MLB U (BOS at DET) -735
Aug 18 W NFL Minnesota 500
*Additional Records Available Upon Request
Expert's Edge
  • 2016 NFC Division Betting Preview

    Rested teams in the NFC have performed at a poor rate the last two seasons, going just 15-26 SU and 14-27 ATS overall, including the post season.

  • 2016 AFC Division Betting Preview

    Over the last four years, of the 14 teams that combined to finish the season ranked in the Top 10 both offensive and defensive pass efficiency, 13 of them found their way to the postseason.

     

    The only one that did not: the 2015 New York Jets.

  • 2016 Sun Belt Conference Football Betting Preview

    After a rocky 1-5 start in bowl games from 2001-05, the Sun Belt has gone toe-to-toe with other bowl teams since, sporting a respectable 14-12 SU and 13-12-1 ATS winning record in the post season since 2006.

About Lawrence

Age: 50-17 (or as Rod Stewart would say, “Forever Young”)

Years in handicapping: Began handicapping professionally in 1975. Developed a love for the profession as a student in high school where I met my beautiful wife and have been happily married since.

Achievements in handicapping: Through countless hours of hard work, determination, and my trusted database, I’ve managed to win more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement Awards than anyone in the nation (over 500). More recent accomplishments include 8 consecutive winning seasons combined on the NFL and College Football gridiron, including a 103-63-3 overall mark on this site last football season. I also ended the 2015 NFL with a winning record for the 10th consecutive season. In addition I established an NFL season-long record going 28-9 during the 2014 regular season campaign as documented by the Sports Monitor in Oklahoma. Other top achievements include winning the 2008 Playbook Football Wise Guys Contest and the No.1 ranking in NFL Win Percentage in 2008 (by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas), Playbook Football Wise Guys Contest Best Bet Champion in 2007, No.1 ranking NFL Win Percentage (by SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma City) in 2006, and No. 1 ranking in College Football in 2005 (by SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma). I was also fortunate enough to win the prestigious STARDUST INVITATIONAL FOOTBALL CONTEST in 2005. In addition, I was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS. Reached the semifinals of the 2006 LEROYS MONEY TALKS CONTEST and the quarterfinals of the 2007 LEROYS MONEY TALKS CONTEST. I also managed to establish a personal best 16-game win streak in MLB prior to the 2011 All-Star break.

Biggest win of the year: We've enjoyed some monumental big play winners over the seasons, including Auburn (+10) in their stunning upset over Alabama in 2013, but our most satisfying wins came last year with our 10* College Football Game-Of-The-Year play on Michigan State (+16.5) over Ohio State, and our 10* NFL Game-Of-The-Year play on Atlanta (+7) over Carolina... both straight-up winners! Simply put, there is nothing like a live dog that wins the game straight-up in dramatic fashion.

Biggest loss of the year: As rewarding as our College and NFL 10* Game-Of-The-Year plays were, our 10* College Bowl Game-Of-The-Year laid an egg when Northwestern no-showed in a 45-6 loss to Tennessee in the Outback Bowl. Ouch.

Why you like Covers Experts: Knowing that handicapping is an accumulation of edges, I find great statistical resources provided on the site to be a huge factor when it comes to gathering pertinent data. In addition, reading articles and ‘Steamwire’ releases from other ‘Experts’ helps to put as many sound, logical edges in your favor as possible. It is a tremendous handicapping tool.

Favorite page to use on Covers.com: I find myself gravitating mostly to the ‘Statistics’ reports provided daily within each sport. Whether it’s statistics, stories, injuries, box scores or anything handicapping-related, I know I can find it on the site. We’re only as smart as the amount of solid information we gather.

Systems used for handicapping: I have authored thousands of articles illuminating on the fact that three primary forms of sports handicapping exist. Those are Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper one must be a well-rounded handicapper, meaning it’s critically important to blend all three forms into the handicapping equation. I rely heavily on a powerful database that allows me to query scores, stat and results of games played since 1980 in College and Pro Football, along with College and Pro Basketball. By being able to identify and recreate identical situations, and checking them against the database, I have come to rely on similar results created by this technical ‘cause and effect’. It’s like Winston Churchill once said, “The farther back you can look the farther forward you can see.” Applying these findings to statistical and fundamental matchups makes for a solid handicap. By applying the handicap to ‘value’ we learn to win in the long run. And winning, in the long run, is what it’s all about.

Game Ratings: I rate my games on a weighted star (*) basis. They include: 1* - leans, reserved primarily for free or opinion plays. 3* - medium premium selection plays, 4* - strong premium selection plays, 5* - very strong selection plays, 7* Top Key Plays, and 10* - extremely strong Top Most Valuable Plays (MVP). Please play accordingly.

Favorite team to wager on or against: Fatal mistakes are made by players who fall in love with a certain team(s). The bottom line is they are all ‘machines’ and our job as handicappers is to identify those that are well oiled and hitting on all cylinders, and conversely those who are not. My primary focus is isolating on winning teams in underdog situations that have a good chance of winning the game in straight-up fashion. If they do, you win. If they don’t, but play well, you still win. If they do neither, you lose. I like those kinds of odds. Hence, I live by the ‘Woody Hayes’ theory of handicapping. Hayes’ contention was that when you pass the ball, three things can happen and two of them are bad. When it comes to handicapping sporting events, three things can happen when you bet on a favorite, and two of them are bad. Conversely, three things can happen when you bet on a dog, and two of them are good. Think about that the next time you’re convinced a favorite can’t lose.

Team you avoid when wagering: I look to avoid high priced favorites, especially those with weak defenses. In the same regard, I will avoid playing losing teams that are favored against winning opponents because losing teams find ways to lose, while winning teams find ways to win.

Sports, conferences and divisions the service excels at handicapping: Over the years I have come to realize that results will vary from sport to sport and season-to-season. Because of my experience and my powerful database, I have learned it’s important to keep an accurate pulse on what is working and what is not. As a result, I have been fortunate to have enjoyed success on all levels.

Quote: Nothing, absolutely nothing, overcomes dedication, experience, hard work and information. Together they help one make informed decisions. When it comes to Sports Handicapping I am truly one of the hardest working professionals in the industry. Because of my desire to be the very best handicapper I can possibly be, I continue to burn the midnight oil working 12-14 hours a day, 7 days a week. The last time I took a vacation was on my 25th wedding anniversary over 20 years ago. I’ve learned over the years that the harder I work, the luckier I get… and I’m a real lucky guy.

Remember: there is no greater feeling when you wake up each morning and the first thought to cross your mind is, "I'm a winner!"