Marc Lawrence

Killer Angle NBA Playoff And MLB Top Live Dog Plays

Don’t make a move on Monday’s NBA playoff card until you learn of a killer angle inside a game that has not lost the money in the playoffs in over 25 years.  Put it right at the top of your ticket n

Marc’s red hot roll on the MLB base paths (14-6 this season) continues Monday night with a Top Live Dog play in a 100% perfect winning situation.  You know what to do! 

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Last 10 Picks 5 - 5 ( 50% )
DATE W/L SPORT PICK UNITS
Apr 26 W NBA L.A. Clippers 400
Apr 26 L MLB NY Mets -300
Apr 25 W MLB Atlanta 300
Apr 25 L NBA Portland -315
Apr 24 L MLB San Francisco -300
Apr 24 L NBA Toronto -420
Apr 23 W NBA New Orleans 300
Apr 23 W MLB Tampa Bay 300
Apr 22 W NBA Brooklyn 300
Apr 22 L MLB LA Angels -324
Expert's Edge
  • NBA Zig Zag Theory

    In NBA handicapping circles, Zig Zags are trendy applications that have been profitable moneymakers during the playoffs.  The premise is simple: ‘Play On’ a team off a playoff loss in its very next game. 

  • April Good Month/Bad Month Pitchers

    Major League Baseball trades places with March Madness as the sports flavor of the month in April. And as we usher in America's favorite pastime, let's open the season with one of our favorite handicapping angles – good month pitchers.

  • NCAA Final Four Out

    It’s onward to Indy for the Final Four games.  To put the wraps on the 2015 NCAA Tournament, listed below are some interesting trends and angles to as our Fab Four heads off to Nap Town this weekend.  

About Lawrence

Age: 50-15 (or as Rod Stewart would say, “Forever Young”)


Years in handicapping: Began handicapping professionally in 1975. Developed a love for the profession as a student in high school where I met my wife and have been happily married since. 


Achievements in handicapping: Won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement Awards than anyone in the nation (near-500). More recent accomplishments include winning the 2008 Playbook Football Wise Guys Contest and the No.1 ranking in NFL Win Percentage in 2008 (by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas), Playbook Football Wise Guys Contest Best Bet Champion in 2007, No.1 ranking NFL Win Percentage (by SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma City) in 2006, and No. 1 ranking in College Football in 2005 (by SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma). Won the prestigious STARDUST INVITATIONAL FOOTBALL CONTEST in 2005. In addition, was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS. Reached the semifinals of the 2006 LEROYS MONEY TALKS CONTEST and the quarterfinals of the 2007 LEROYS MONEY TALKS CONTEST. I also managed to establish a personal best 16-game win streak in MLB prior to the 2011 All-Star break.  Ended the 2013 NFL with a winning record for the 8th consecutive season.

Biggest win of the year: We enjoyed quite a few big play winners last season, including Auburn (+10) in their stunning upset over Alabama.  But the most satisfying was our once-a-year 10* play on Oklahoma State (+7) over Baylor.  The Cowboys handed the Bears their worst loss of the season in a resounding 49-17 win in Stillwater. 

 Simply put, there is nothing like a live dog that wins the game straight-up in dramatic fashion.

Biggest loss of the year: As rewarding as our College 10* play was, our NFL 10* call on New Orleans (+3) over Carolina came up frightfully short in a 17-13 loss.  The Saints dominated the Panthers, out gaining them by 123 yards while holding Carolina to a season-low 222 yards. A late field goal put the finishing touch on a tough loss.  Ouch.

Why you like Covers Experts: Knowing that handicapping is an accumulation of edges, I find more from reading articles from other ‘Experts’ and staying in touch with money moves and public consensus. Handicapping is primarily a skill of putting as many sound, logical edges in your favor as possible is a tremendous handicapping tool. 



Favorite page to use on Covers.com: The new front-page layout is terrific, filled with late-breaking information.  The need today for instant information has never been greater, especially when you are looking to find an edge. I can find what I want, when I want on the site.  Whether it’s statistics, stories, injuries or anything handicapping-related I know I can find it on the site.  We’re only as smart as the amount of solid information we gather.

Systems used for handicapping: I have authored thousands of articles illuminating on the fact that three primary forms of sports handicapping exist. Those are Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper one must be a well-rounded handicapper, meaning it’s critically important to blend all three forms into the handicapping equation. I rely heavily on a powerful database that allows me to query scores, stat and results of games played since 1980 in College and Pro Football, along with College and Pro Basketball. By being able to identify and recreate identical situations, and checking them against the database, I have come to rely on similar results created by this technical ‘cause and effect’. It’s like Winston Churchill once said, “The farther back you can look the farther forward you can see.”  Applying these findings to statistical and fundamental matchups makes for a solid handicap. By applying the handicap to ‘value’ we learn to win in the long run. And winning, in the long run, is what it’s all about. 



Game Ratings: I rate my games on a weighted star (*) basis. They include:
 1* - leans, reserved primarily for free or opinion plays.
 2* - light selection plays. 3* - medium selection, usually reserved for daily premium plays.
 4* - strong selection, Key Plays usually released once to three times weekly.
 5* - very strong selection, MVP Plays usually released once to three times monthly.
  10* - extremely strong selection, MVP plays usually released once to three times annually. 

 Please play accordingly.


Favorite team to wager on or against: Fatal mistakes are made by players who fall in love with a certain team(s). The bottom line is they are all ‘machines’ and our job as handicappers is to identify those that are well oiled and hitting on all cylinders, and conversely those who are not. My primary focus is isolating on winning teams in underdog situations that have a good chance of winning the game in straight-up fashion. If they do, you win. If they don’t, but play well, you still win. If they do neither, you lose. I like those kinds of odds. Hence, I live by the ‘Woody Hayes’ theory of handicapping. Hayes’ contention was that when you pass the ball, three things can happen and two of them are bad. When it comes to handicapping sporting events, three things can happen when you bet on a favorite, and two of them are bad. Conversely, three things can happen when you bet on a dog, and two of them are good. Think about that the next time you’re convinced a favorite can’t lose.

Team you avoid when wagering: I look to avoid high priced favorites, especially those with supsect defenses. In the same regard, I will avoid playing losing teams that are favored against winning opponents because losing teams find ways to lose, while winning teams find ways to win.


Sports, conferences and divisions the service excels at handicapping: Over the years I have come to realize that results will vary from sport to sport and season-to-season. Because of my experience and my powerful database, I have learned it’s important to keep an accurate pulse on what is working and what is not. As a result, I have been fortunate to have enjoyed success on all levels. 



Quote: Nothing overcomes experience, hard work and information. Together they help one make informed decisions.  When it comes to Sports Handicapping there is no question I am one of the hardest working professionals in the industry. Because of my desire to be the very best handicapper I can be, I continue to burn the midnight oil while working 12-14 hours a day, 7 days a week. I’ve learned over the years that the harder I work, the luckier I get… and I’m a real lucky guy.



There is no greater feeling when you wake up each morning and your first thought is, "I'm a winner."