Vegas Wiseguy Report: Super Bowl Props

By: Teddy Covers / Feb 1, 2016

Props (short for ‘proposition wagers’) have been on the Las Vegas betting boards for thirty years.   It all began when the juggernaut 1985 Chicago Bears were facing the Patriots in Super Bowl 20.  Legendary Vegas oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro was a very creative bookmaker at the Mirage (at the time), looking for ways to increase their betting handle

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Vegas Wiseguy Report: Super Bowl 50 First Thoughts

By: Teddy Covers / Jan 25, 2016

When it comes to the pointspread for the Super Bowl, it’s the same story, year after year.   Bettors remember what they last saw and react accordingly.   The ‘lookahead’ lines for the potential Super Bowl matchups after Denver knocked off New England in the first game on Sunday had the Broncos in the +2.5 or +3 range as an underdog – no higher and no lower – in a matchup against either Carolina or Arizona in the Super Bowl.

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Wiseguy Report: Final Four in the NFL

By: Teddy Covers / Jan 18, 2016

March Madness has a lock on the ‘Final Four’ terminology, but we’re down to the final four teams standing in the NFL Playoffs following a wild weekend of football.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take a look at how the Final Four teams still standing this NFL season survived, and what their realistic chances of Super Bowl success are moving forward into the Conference Championship Games this coming weekend.

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Wiseguy Report: Key NFL Injury Updates

By: Teddy Covers / Jan 11, 2016

Serious bettors know one thing about the NFL Playoffs – health matters!  Do the Chiefs win by 30 at Houston if Brian Hoyer has his left tackle, Duane Brown, protecting him?  Do the Steelers execute their game winning drive in the final minute if it was Landry Jones behind center instead of Ben Roethlisberger?  This year's champion is as likely to be determined by which top notch contender is healthy enough to execute their gameplan effectively over the next few weekends as any other factor.

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Final 2015 NFL Power Ratings

By: Teddy Covers / Jan 5, 2016

1)      Arizona Cardinals -6

The Cardinals special teams are a big concern moving into the postseason. They’ve struggled to defend returns all year and kicker Chandler Catanzaro is missing field goals and extra points.

 

2)      Seattle Seahawks -6

The Seahawks have RB Marshawn Lynch back in practice, and there’s a decent chance Seattle will get ‘Beast Mode’ back on the field in Minnesota for their Wild Card game.

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Wiseguy Report: National Championship Preview

By: Teddy Covers / Jan 4, 2016

When we take a look back at the national championship teams over the last decade, we can get a decent idea of the commonalities between those teams and use that to project forward for this year. Texas in 2005, Florida in 2006, LSU in 2007, Florida in 2008, Alabama in 2009, Auburn in 2010, Alabama in 2011 and 2012, Florida State in 2013 and Ohio State in 2014 combine to give us a profile worth noting.

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Week 17 NFL Power Rankings

By: Teddy Covers / Dec 29, 2015

Teddy has a new #1 and a new #32 as we enter the final week of the regular season.  Get his hardcore numbers and key tidbits of info for every team with a click here.....

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Wiseguy Report: Super Bowl Predictions

By: Teddy Covers / Dec 28, 2015

Week 17 of the NFL regular season is here, the playoffs just beyond.  My goal this week is to pick the two Super Bowl teams out of the 14 teams that are still live as I write this (Indy could get eliminated from contention with a Bengals win on Monday Night).  I’m not worried about picking the winner of my hypothetical game, just identifying the two teams that are going to get there.

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Week 16 NFL Power Rankings

By: Teddy Covers / Dec 22, 2015

Last year at this time, Teddy's power ratings had ten teams as potential Super Bowl contenders, lined at least four points higher than the league average.  This year, entering Week 16, Teddy has only five teams power rated that high!  Seperate the contenders from the pretenders right here, right now!

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Wiseguy Report: NFL's Redemption Sunday

By: Teddy Covers / Dec 21, 2015

While the books took a beating and the public enjoyed some extra holiday cash, the NFL playoff picture got much clearer on Sunday, with numerous teams eliminated from the chase.  That being said, it felt a little bit like ‘Redemption Sunday’ for a number of teams and quarterbacks around the NFL in Week 15.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll  focusing on a handful of teams and QB’s that gained a measure of confidence or market respect based on their Week 15 result.

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Week 15 NFL Power Rankings

By: Teddy Covers / Dec 15, 2015

Carolina remains at the top, but there's been a fairly significant shift among Teddy's Top 5 and another big shift among the bottom feeders just playing out the string.  Get Vegas numbers for all 32 teams along with key factoids and tidbits for each squad right here!

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Wiseguy Report: December NFL QB Issues

By: Teddy Covers / Dec 14, 2015

Let’s start with the biggest QB injury of the weekend, when Cincinnati Bengals star Andy Dalton went down with a thumb injury after making a tackle following a red zone interception on the Bengals first drive.  Dalton has developed a well-deserved reputation as a ‘bet-on’ QB in the regular season, despite his repeated postseason failures.  This has been, by far, his best year as a pro.  

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Week 14 NFL Power Ratings

By: Teddy Covers / Dec 8, 2015

The Patriots slide from the top of the rankings continues, and we've got a brand new team at the very bottom, ranked #32 in the NFL right now.  How far did New England fall and who now ranks as the 'new' worst team in the league?  Click here to find out.....

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Wiseguy Report: Fading NFC Contenders

By: Teddy Covers / Dec 7, 2015

The NFC Playoff picture got a whole lot clearer following Week 13, as numerous contenders took a hit.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take a look at some notes and quotes from a handful of those losers from Sunday in an effort to gauge their competitive spirit moving forward.

Let’s start in New Jersey, where the New York Giants just lost four the fourth time in their last five games. 

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Week 13 NFL Power Ratings

By: Teddy Covers / Dec 1, 2015

For the first time all year, there's a team other than the New England Patriots holding my #1 spot this week.  How far did the Pats fall and who is the new #1?  Click here to find out.....

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Wiseguy Report: Widespread NFL Mediocrity

By: Teddy Covers / Nov 30, 2015

With the Patriots ongoing injury woes, when it comes to the ‘elites’ at this stage of the campaign, there are only three teams I’d even consider: the Panthers, Cardinals and Bengals.  And all three of those teams have enough question marks to put them a good notch or two below where my top power rated teams were last year or the year before at this stage of the campaign.  It’s a similar story at the bottom of the league.  

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Week 12 NFL Power Rankings

By: Teddy Covers / Nov 24, 2015

The undefeated Patriots still rank #1, but their raw numbers have clearly been in decline in recent weeks.  Tampa Bay and Dallas both made big power rating jumps this week, while San Fran, San Diego and Baltimore all tumbled down the bottom.  Get Teddy's rankings and key tidbits for all 32 teams right here!

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Wiseguy Report: NFL Notes & Quotes

By: Teddy Covers / Nov 23, 2015

It’s Week 12 already. Thanksgiving is upon us.  All the NFL Bye weeks are in the rear view mirror, with every team still having exactly six games remaining in the regular season.  We’re seeing numerous ‘morphs’; teams that have changed their stripes rather dramatically in recent weeks. In this Wiseguy Report, I’ll be focusing on key Notes & Quotes from around the NFL.  These tidbits are intentionally short; a quick hitter tour around some of the key morphers in the league. 

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Wiseguy Report: Mid-Season Look at NFL Win Totals

By: Teddy Covers / Nov 16, 2015

The very first NFL season win bets cashed this past weekend.  Dallas fell to 2-7, ensuring that the Cowboys cannot go Over their 9.5 game win total.  Carolina improved to 9-0, cashing their Over 8.5 win total from last summer.  Seattle fell to 4-5.  Even if the Seahawks win all of their remaining games, they can do no better than push their 11 game win total.  

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Week 10 NFL Power Rankings

By: Teddy Covers / Nov 10, 2015

How far do the Broncos fall following their first loss of the season?  Where does Green Bay rank now that they've suffered back-2-back defeats? And how far have Atlanta and Miami dropped following a series of poor performances?  Click here to find out!

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Wiseguy Report: NCAA Playoff Committee Money Grab

By: Teddy Covers / Nov 9, 2015

If we didn’t have a Playoff Committee Selection Show every week in November, this stuff could play out.  Last week, both Alabama and LSU were ranked among the committee’s top four teams.  Gee, wouldn’t that differentiation be easier if the voters had actually waited until the game was played!  We don’t need to rush to premature judgements. The NFL didn’t anoint the Carolina Panthers as the best team following their 8-0 start.  They’re not in NFC Championship Game yet -- the NFL's Final Four.

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Week 9 NFL Power Rankings

By: Teddy Covers / Nov 3, 2015

The Patriots are at the top, while the Lions and 49era are at the bottom.  But how far did Teddy drop Green Bay off their loss to Denver?  How quickly is he raising his ratings on the upstart Raiders and Rams, or the 'back from the dead' Saints?  Click here to find out......

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Wiseguy Report: College Teams Without a Bye Week

By: Teddy Covers / Nov 2, 2015

Hugh Freeze’s quote from an interview this past summer tells us very clearly what he thinks about not having a bye until mid-November:

“If I had my preference, I would much rather have the bye week in a little different spot, but it’s the schedule we were given. I know that we’re better prepared for that type of run than we have been the previous three years, but you never know how the grind will affect you and how the injuries are going to go." 

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Week 8 NFL Power Rankings

By: Teddy Covers / Oct 27, 2015

The Patriots remain at the top of Teddy's power ratings but there's a brand new #32 team right at the bottom!  Check out all the numbers, and Teddy's pertinent comments, right here.

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Wiseguy Report: Ranking the NFL Unbeatens

By: Teddy Covers / Oct 26, 2015

How do the markets rank the five unbeatens?  The New England Patriots are power rated at least a field goal higher than any other team in the league right now.  Behind the Pats come the Green Bay Packers, followed closely by the Cincinnati Bengals.  The Denver Broncos rank #4 on this list; with Peyton Manning’s ongoing struggles carrying more weight than the Broncos elite level defensive stats in the betting markets.  Last on the list is the Carolina Panthers, still searching for market respect.

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