Projected BCS matchups and pointspreads: Week 14

Matt Fargo | Nov 26, 2012 | ARCHIVE

BCS Championship

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Projected line: Alabama -10

The Crimson Tide had no problem with Auburn as they rolled 49-0 in the Iron Bowl. Only one team stands in the way of Alabama as Georgia is on deck in the SEC Championship. Should Alabama lose, Georgia will make the trip to Miami. Notre Dame was able to sneak out another win and finished its first undefeated season since 1988. Not many people will give Notre Dame a chance against Alabama but its defense alone gives it a shot. The price will be steep, as some books have already posted a line at or around double-digits, despite almost identical power rankings. A low scoring game favors the dog.

Fiesta Bowl

Kansas St. Wildcats vs. Oregon Ducks

Projected line: Oregon -7

Because of Stanford's win over UCLA, Oregon got shut out of the Pac 12 Championship but it is still the biggest at-large draw and the Fiesta Bowl will no doubt scoop up the Ducks. With Notre Dame winning, both Oregon and Kansas St. are out of the National Championship picture but we still catch a good matchup here. The Wildcats are not a sure thing though as they close the season at home against Texas this week and with the Longhorns off an upset loss to TCU, they could be bringing a little extra to that game. The Ducks got back on track against Oregon St. and again upped their public appeal which will make them a little overvalued.

Orange Bowl

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Florida St. Seminoles

Projected line: Florida St. -10

Florida St. got into the ACC Championship with its no sweat win over Maryland and then lost to Florida in its regular season finale. The Seminoles will face Georgia Tech for the title and it will be the first matchup of the season between the two and they are heavy favorites to win. With Louisville losing again, Rutgers falls into the Orange Bowl as all it needs now is a home win on Thursday night against the Cardinals. It certainly isn't a guarantee though as the Scarlet Knights are coming off their worst game of the season in a loss at Pittsburgh. Florida St. will be a big favorite no matter who it faces.

Rose Bowl

Stanford Cardinal vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Projected line: Stanford -7

Stanford easily handled UCLA in the first of two straight matchups and now it faces the Bruins at home for the Pac 12 Championship. The Cardinal are arguably the best two-loss team in the nation with the defeats coming by a combined 11 points. Nebraska has to contend with Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship after struggling with Iowa in its regular season finale last week. The Huskers are slight favorites against the Badgers in Indianapolis but with the way Stanford has been playing, the Cardinal will be a pretty significant chalk in its home state in the Rose Bowl.

Sugar Bowl

Florida Gators vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Projected line: Florida -3

Florida no longer has a chance to get in the BCS Championship after Georgia dominated Georgia Tech last week. The Gators were very impressive against Florida St. as they scored 24 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to turn a seven-point deficit into a 17-point lead. The Sooners survived another scare as it defeated Oklahoma St. by a field goal in overtime and that happened to be their only lead of the game. Oklahoma faces TCU on the road this week and it might be catching the Horned Frogs still celebrating their win over Texas. Based on the close calls that the Sooners have had, Florida comes in a slight favorite.