NCAAB - Exposing the Top 25
Most Underrated Top 25 Team - Florida Gators (16-2, 11-4 ATS)
The Gators have quietly won eight straight games overall, and they have covered the spread in the last seven of those victories. Florida is shooting 49.3 percent from the field, good enough to rank in the top 10 in the nation, but they are also getting it done on the defensive side of the ball. The Gators have held opponents to fewer than 50 points in three of their last four games, and they haven't allowed 60 points in any of their last seven games.
Florida will face Ole Miss this Saturday, and they have taken the last three meetings with the Rebels. The only other ranked opponent they will face this season will be Missouri, who they have already blown out at home by a score of 83-52.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team - Arizona Wildcats (17-2, 9-8 ATS)
The Wildcats are very fortunate to have a record of 17-2, they have gotten lucky more than once in recent games. Arizona has faced two top 25 teams this season, and they won each of those games by a single point, defeating Florida 65-64, and sneaking by San Diego State 68-67. They lost outright to Oregon on the road, and UCLA at home.
Arizona has failed to cover the points in seven of their last 10 games overall, despite winning eight of 10. They have a couple of tough games coming up against Pac-12 rivals Washington and Stanford, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see them lose at least one of those two games.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – Notre Dame Fighting Irish (16-4, 9-8 ATS)
After losing three of their last five, the Irish have fallen out of the rankings, but two of those three losses were close games against tough teams. Admittedly they looked terrible getting blown out by the Hoyas at home, losing 63-47, but they bounced back with a solid road win over South Florida their last time out.
Notre Dame is one of the best shooting teams in the country, hitting 50% from the field this season. The Irish are 4-3 in Big East play, tied with #24 Cincinnati, who they have already beaten earlier in the year.
Notre Dame will host Villanova Wednesday night, and the Wildcats have just knocked of two of the nation's top 5 teams. If the Irish can get the win at home tonight, you can expect to see them back in the rankings next week.
- Teddy Covers
- April 29, 2016 - 8:15 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ -139 Washington
1* Take Washington (#909)
It’s not hard to make a case for betting against Mike Leake in a matchup against Stephen Strasburg, a true starting pitching mismatch. Leake’s walk rate is at a career high through his first four starts, and his ground ball rate is at a career low.
That’s a bad combination for a pitcher that doesn’t record strikeouts in bunches. He’s given up at least four runs in each of his first four starts of the season, and the only game St Louis was able to win with him on the hill came in a game where they scored eight runs.
I’m not anticipating that type of offensive outburst from the Cardinals tonight against one of Washington’s aces, Stephen Strasburg. The Nats are 4-0 with Strasburg on the hill this year. He’s lasted into the eighth inning in each of his last three starts, with a 27-4 strikeout to walk ratio during that span. Dusty Baker’s bullpen behind Strasburg is an elite unit even after taking a rare loss last night, ranked #3 in MLB in bullpen ERA.
Washington is hungry off an ugly home sweep by the Phillies during the week; shut out in each of their last two games. First baseman Ryan Zimmerman following last night’s tough loss, talking about this road trip: “We enjoy the challenge. We get to see what we are really made of. We go out and play three really good teams. I think the guys in (the) locker room are excited for it." Chalk worth laying! Take the Nationals.
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