NCAAB - Exposing the Top 25
Most Underrated Top 25 Team - Florida Gators (16-2, 11-4 ATS)
The Gators have quietly won eight straight games overall, and they have covered the spread in the last seven of those victories. Florida is shooting 49.3 percent from the field, good enough to rank in the top 10 in the nation, but they are also getting it done on the defensive side of the ball. The Gators have held opponents to fewer than 50 points in three of their last four games, and they haven't allowed 60 points in any of their last seven games.
Florida will face Ole Miss this Saturday, and they have taken the last three meetings with the Rebels. The only other ranked opponent they will face this season will be Missouri, who they have already blown out at home by a score of 83-52.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team - Arizona Wildcats (17-2, 9-8 ATS)
The Wildcats are very fortunate to have a record of 17-2, they have gotten lucky more than once in recent games. Arizona has faced two top 25 teams this season, and they won each of those games by a single point, defeating Florida 65-64, and sneaking by San Diego State 68-67. They lost outright to Oregon on the road, and UCLA at home.
Arizona has failed to cover the points in seven of their last 10 games overall, despite winning eight of 10. They have a couple of tough games coming up against Pac-12 rivals Washington and Stanford, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see them lose at least one of those two games.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – Notre Dame Fighting Irish (16-4, 9-8 ATS)
After losing three of their last five, the Irish have fallen out of the rankings, but two of those three losses were close games against tough teams. Admittedly they looked terrible getting blown out by the Hoyas at home, losing 63-47, but they bounced back with a solid road win over South Florida their last time out.
Notre Dame is one of the best shooting teams in the country, hitting 50% from the field this season. The Irish are 4-3 in Big East play, tied with #24 Cincinnati, who they have already beaten earlier in the year.
Notre Dame will host Villanova Wednesday night, and the Wildcats have just knocked of two of the nation's top 5 teams. If the Irish can get the win at home tonight, you can expect to see them back in the rankings next week.
- U (STL at WAS)
- April 18, 2014 - 7:05 PM
- Art Aronson
- Offered at:
- bookmaker @ Under 7 -116
1* Free Play “under” Cardinals/Nationals.
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The last time these two pitchers squared off it was a 2-0 win for the Cardinals. I think this contest sets up nicely as another low scoring game. The Nationals will send Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.50 ERA) to the hill and the Nats are looking to bounce back from yesterday’s drubbing at the hands of the Cards. Gonzalez is looking to bounce back himself after giving up six runs to the Braves in a loss on Sunday. Gonzalez has always been stingy in games vs St. Louis though, a career 2.42 ERA with a 1-1 record against it. The Cardinals will counter with hard throwing right hander Michael Wacha (2-0, 1.89 ERA). Wacha has pitched well this season, giving up just 4 runs in 19 innings pitched. The youngster delivered a gem the last time he faced the Nationals, giving up zero runs in a playoff game last season. The Nationals couldn’t get to Adam Wainwright yesterday but it hardly mattered as the Cards beat up on the Nats worst pitcher. While it doesn’t get much easier today with Wacha, I think Gio will keep this one competitive. Two of the last three games Gonzalez has pitched against the Cards the lower number has hit. Look for another low scoring game here. Consider the “under.”