Handicapping the MLB Stretch Run
Ten days from now we’ll be into October, and the MLB regular season will be over. Before then, though, there is a whole lot of betting left to be done.
Capping the Division races
Only the AL East and AL Central are really in play at this point.
Crucial series: New York at Minnesota, Sept. 24-26. Minnesota has won four of six, and took two of four in New York earlier. If New York falters here the O’s can get ahead -- they play four “gimme” games against Toronto.
Crucial series: Cleveland at Chicago, Sept. 24-26. Chicago has lost five straight, but it returns home for an easy three-gamer. If the Sox don’t have two wins by Tuesday, though, they could be in trouble. Detroit is struggling, too, so Chicago needs to find momentum and maintain its lead.
Capping the wildcard races
Crucial series: Angels at Rangers, Sept. 28-30. The red-hot Angels play six against hapless Seattle, so these three in Texas will matter most. With a strong performance they could climb past the A’s - who are faced with seven against the Rangers.
Crucial series: St. Louis at Houston, Sept. 24-26. The cards swept the Astros last week. If they do it again here and it should be all over in the NL.
Capping clinched clubs
Three NL teams have secured their postseason tickets. We’re unlikely to see a strong, representative effort from any of them down the stretch.
With serious questions about who their fourth starter will be and how to shape the rotation, you can be sure they will focus on this far more than on winning down the stretch.
The Reds celebrated their title on Sunday by giving five starters the day off. Rest appears to be their focus for their remaining games.
They have a bit more work to do. They have secured a wild card spot, but they still have to win the division. When they do, though, Davey Johnson says that rest will be his only priority.
Capping teams out of the race
Give up on:
Ozzie Guillen is a serious distraction and Atlanta and Philadelphia will be hungry for wins, so it seems likely that the Marlins will give up -- or keep giving up like they have for weeks now.
They are an ugly, injury-riddled mess. They play the Orioles and then the Yankees, so they will feature prominently in the fate of their division title. An 0-8 record over that stretch is conceivable.
There is still fight in:
The Twins have won four of six, showed no fear against Detroit this weekend, and could give those Tigers and the Yankees some headaches this week.
- Power Sports
- August 25, 2016 - 8:10 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ -122 Pittsburgh
Now at a RIDICULOUS 82 GAMES OVER .500 YTD, Power Sports' 2016 MLB season is some of the finest work we have EVER seen! He's 5-1-1 the L2 days!
Of course, Power is also known for doing "fine work" in football as well! After a LEGENDARY 94-62-3 ($20,528) NFL season last year, he is already an *AMAZING* 21-8 w/ ALL football (CFL/Arena/NFLX) YTD!
1* Pittsburgh (8:10 ET): This is a revenge spot for the Bucs. Given the 3.5 game deficit they currently face in the NL Wild Card race, it's something they must take advantage of. Their opponents (Milwaukee) come in riding a four-game win streak, but that's only served to drive the price down to a point we can now exploit. Great price on the better team tonight.
Prior to last Saturday, the Pirates had yet to lose a start made by Chad Kuhl. He came in w/ a 6-0 TSR. Despite allowing only three runs (one unearned) to Miami, he took the loss in a series that did not go well for Pittsburgh. But I'll certainly take Kuhl over Milwaukee's Wily Peralta, who checks in w/ a 6.00 ERA and 1.738 WHIP over 16 starts this year. Last time out, Peralta was roughed up for four runs in six innings at Seattle. He was a big underdog in this spot, so there looks to be tremendous value in going against him here. The Pirates offense ranks sixth this year in on base percentage.
The Brew Crew have not lost since the last time Peralta started, but I don't put a ton of stock into a sweep of the Rockies. It is unfathomable to me that Pittsburgh is just 17-64 its L81 games here at Miller Park, but remember that includes some real 'lean years' here in the Steel City. I really like the road team at this price. 1* Pittsburgh