Handicapping the MLB Stretch Run
Ten days from now we’ll be into October, and the MLB regular season will be over. Before then, though, there is a whole lot of betting left to be done.
Capping the Division races
Only the AL East and AL Central are really in play at this point.
Crucial series: New York at Minnesota, Sept. 24-26. Minnesota has won four of six, and took two of four in New York earlier. If New York falters here the O’s can get ahead -- they play four “gimme” games against Toronto.
Crucial series: Cleveland at Chicago, Sept. 24-26. Chicago has lost five straight, but it returns home for an easy three-gamer. If the Sox don’t have two wins by Tuesday, though, they could be in trouble. Detroit is struggling, too, so Chicago needs to find momentum and maintain its lead.
Capping the wildcard races
Crucial series: Angels at Rangers, Sept. 28-30. The red-hot Angels play six against hapless Seattle, so these three in Texas will matter most. With a strong performance they could climb past the A’s - who are faced with seven against the Rangers.
Crucial series: St. Louis at Houston, Sept. 24-26. The cards swept the Astros last week. If they do it again here and it should be all over in the NL.
Capping clinched clubs
Three NL teams have secured their postseason tickets. We’re unlikely to see a strong, representative effort from any of them down the stretch.
With serious questions about who their fourth starter will be and how to shape the rotation, you can be sure they will focus on this far more than on winning down the stretch.
The Reds celebrated their title on Sunday by giving five starters the day off. Rest appears to be their focus for their remaining games.
They have a bit more work to do. They have secured a wild card spot, but they still have to win the division. When they do, though, Davey Johnson says that rest will be his only priority.
Capping teams out of the race
Give up on:
Ozzie Guillen is a serious distraction and Atlanta and Philadelphia will be hungry for wins, so it seems likely that the Marlins will give up -- or keep giving up like they have for weeks now.
They are an ugly, injury-riddled mess. They play the Orioles and then the Yankees, so they will feature prominently in the fate of their division title. An 0-8 record over that stretch is conceivable.
There is still fight in:
The Twins have won four of six, showed no fear against Detroit this weekend, and could give those Tigers and the Yankees some headaches this week.
- Power Sports
- May 27, 2015 - 8:15 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ 158 Arizona
1* Arizona (8:15 ET): Drumming up support for the underdog Diamondbacks tonight seems like a tall task and sure enough as of 11 AM ET, the Cardinals are the most bet side on the board Wednesday. St. Louis is at home and going for a sweep, but after outhitting them yday don't be surprised when Arizona pulls off the upset.
D'backs starter Josh Collmenter has some ugly looking numbers over the course of his L3 starts. But that has a lot to do w/ one start in particular when he was hammered by Washington. Last time out, he allowed just 2 ER in five innings of work and the team beat the Cubs 5-4. Coming into this series, Arizona had won six of seven games, in fact. The offense has homered in five straight games, but left 10 men on base yday, thus negating an 11-8 edge in hits over the Cards.
St. Louis starter Lance Lynn has allowed 5+ ER three times this year, including his last time out when the team was shut out by Kansas City. I was on the Cardinals in Monday's extra inning win, but the price here is just too rich not to take a shot w/ the dog on the money line. This seems like one of those cases where "if it seems to good to be true, it probably is." 1* Arizona
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