Inside the stats: Hoops edition
Let’s take a look at what’s happening on the hardwood as we enter the weekend. All results are ATS (Against The Spread) through January 29, unless noted otherwise.
For your perusal, here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the best ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum five results) this season:
Buffalo 5-0, George Washington 5-1, Hawaii 5-1, Kansas State 8-1-1, Nebraska 5-1, Oklahoma State 5-1, South Carolina 5-0-1, SMU 5-0, St. Bonaventure 5-1, Utah 9-0 and Wichita State 6-1-1.
Creighton 5-1, Delaware 8-1, Illinois Chicago 5-1, Kent State 5-1, Michigan State 6-0, North Texas 5-1, Nevada 8-0, Ohio U 5-0, Seton Hall 5-0 and Wichita State 6-0.
Here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the worst ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum seven results) this season:
Boston College 1-6, Central Florida 1-5, Colorado State 1-6, Drexel 0-6, East Carolina 0-5, Kent State 1-5, Miami Florida 1-5, Northern Illinois 1-6, Purdue 1-5 and Toledo 1-5.
Central Florida 1-5, Cal Davis 1-5, Colorado State 1-5, Fullerton State 1-6, Kentucky 0-4-1, Louisiana Lafayette 1-5, Maryland 1-5, Mississippi State 0-5, Northern Iowa 1-8, South Alabama 1-8, Texas State 1-6 and Washington State 0-4-1.
Putting On The ‘D’
Once again, here is a list of the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin. Look to ‘play on’ these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:
Defensive Field Goal Percentage:
1. SMU 37.0
2. Arizona 37.2
3. Florida State 37.7
4. Iowa 37.9
5. San Diego State 38.0
1. Quinnipiac +13.0
2. Indiana +11.5
2. Kentucky +11.2
4. Arizona +10.9
5. Iowa +10.7
Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:
1. Pacers 90.2
2. Bulls 92.8
3. Grizzlies 95.5
4. Raptors 96.7
5. Spurs 96.8
1. Thunder +4.7
2. Pacers +4.5
3. Trailblazers +3.6
4. Grizzlies +3.5
5. Bulls +3.2
After opening the season 12-18 SU and 11-19 ATS in all games through Dec. 31 this season, the Chicago Bulls welcomed the New Year in style, going 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS in games during January.
With the blue collar Bulls ranking in the Top 5 in the league in team defense and rebound margin, look for them to improve on an already stellar 6-3 SU mark in games with same season loss revenge in their forward movement.
Stat Of The Week
Illinois is 18-0 SU at home in games versus Iowa in which the Illini own a winning record.
- Louisiana State
- Power Sports
- October 17, 2015 - 7:00 PM
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ -6.5 -106 Louisiana State
1* LSU (7:00 ET): If interested, I'd bet this one quickly. The line is likely to "soar" given that Florida will be w/o its starting QB Will Grier for the rest of the season due to testing positive for a PED. However, note that there's still substantial line value present given that over the summer the advanced line on this matchup was LSU -14.
Both teams are undefeated, but Florida is clearly the bigger surprise. They pulled the proverbial "rabbit out of the hat" against Tennessee, then shocked everyone w/ a 38-10 beatdown of Ole Miss in the Swamp. But they were +4 in turnovers in that upset victory. Now, without Grier, their are major concerns over an offense that twice in SEC play has been held to 21 pts or fewer. Treon Harris now takes over under center and quite frankly, I've never been really impressed w/ his play.
It's no surprise that LSU is 5-0 as preseason I thought they'd be undefeated heading into the Alabama game (on November 7th). They have arguably the best player in College Football on their roster, that being Leonard Fournette, who already has eclipsed 1,000 yards rushing for the season. Last year's two losses at Tiger Stadium matched the number of defeats they suffered here in the previous five seasons combined! So what I'm saying is that an outright loss in this situation would be almost unimaginable and all things considered, the line seems pretty low. In its last two visits to the Bayou, Florida has been held to a total of 17 points. 1* LSU
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