Inside the stats: Hoops edition
Let’s take a look at what’s happening on the hardwood as we enter the weekend. All results are ATS (Against The Spread) through January 29, unless noted otherwise.
For your perusal, here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the best ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum five results) this season:
Buffalo 5-0, George Washington 5-1, Hawaii 5-1, Kansas State 8-1-1, Nebraska 5-1, Oklahoma State 5-1, South Carolina 5-0-1, SMU 5-0, St. Bonaventure 5-1, Utah 9-0 and Wichita State 6-1-1.
Creighton 5-1, Delaware 8-1, Illinois Chicago 5-1, Kent State 5-1, Michigan State 6-0, North Texas 5-1, Nevada 8-0, Ohio U 5-0, Seton Hall 5-0 and Wichita State 6-0.
Here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the worst ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum seven results) this season:
Boston College 1-6, Central Florida 1-5, Colorado State 1-6, Drexel 0-6, East Carolina 0-5, Kent State 1-5, Miami Florida 1-5, Northern Illinois 1-6, Purdue 1-5 and Toledo 1-5.
Central Florida 1-5, Cal Davis 1-5, Colorado State 1-5, Fullerton State 1-6, Kentucky 0-4-1, Louisiana Lafayette 1-5, Maryland 1-5, Mississippi State 0-5, Northern Iowa 1-8, South Alabama 1-8, Texas State 1-6 and Washington State 0-4-1.
Putting On The ‘D’
Once again, here is a list of the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin. Look to ‘play on’ these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:
Defensive Field Goal Percentage:
1. SMU 37.0
2. Arizona 37.2
3. Florida State 37.7
4. Iowa 37.9
5. San Diego State 38.0
1. Quinnipiac +13.0
2. Indiana +11.5
2. Kentucky +11.2
4. Arizona +10.9
5. Iowa +10.7
Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:
1. Pacers 90.2
2. Bulls 92.8
3. Grizzlies 95.5
4. Raptors 96.7
5. Spurs 96.8
1. Thunder +4.7
2. Pacers +4.5
3. Trailblazers +3.6
4. Grizzlies +3.5
5. Bulls +3.2
After opening the season 12-18 SU and 11-19 ATS in all games through Dec. 31 this season, the Chicago Bulls welcomed the New Year in style, going 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS in games during January.
With the blue collar Bulls ranking in the Top 5 in the league in team defense and rebound margin, look for them to improve on an already stellar 6-3 SU mark in games with same season loss revenge in their forward movement.
Stat Of The Week
Illinois is 18-0 SU at home in games versus Iowa in which the Illini own a winning record.
- Power Sports
- August 27, 2016 - 7:10 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ -161 Boston
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1* Boston (7:10 ET): I'm just not sure that I buy into this late season Royals' resurgence. A 6-3 win last night at Fenway Park does make it 11 wins in the 12 last games for the two-time defending AL pennant winners. But they were outhit 15-9 in the victory. Then there's the matter that despite being six games over .500 for the year, they've actually been outscored by 19 runs. That's a win expectancy of 62, a five-game difference from their actual record. Their road record is still 27-40, which is third worst among AL teams. I'm taking Boston to bounce back Saturday night.
The Red Sox have the best run differential in the entire American League at +116. No other team has outscored its opponents by more than 100 runs. This is largely due to having the #1 offense in the game (692 runs scored). For the sake of comparison, the Royals have scored only 507 runs this year, which is actually the fewest among AL clubs.
The price has come way down on Boston since the line opened. Speaking of "price," it will be David going for the Sox tonight. He's won his L3 starts w/ a 1.64 ERA and 0.864 WHIP. On Monday, he shut Tampa Bay out for eight innings, allowing only two hits. He's opposed by Danny Duffy, who I suspect is the driving force behind the line move. The Royals have won each of his last 11 starts. But he hasn't faced an offense quite like this one (Red Sox average 6.0 rpg at home). Off three consecutive losses (as they are here), the Red Sox are 7-1 this season. 1* Boston