Inside the stats: Hoops edition
Let’s take a look at what’s happening on the hardwood as we enter the weekend. All results are ATS (Against The Spread) through January 29, unless noted otherwise.
For your perusal, here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the best ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum five results) this season:
Buffalo 5-0, George Washington 5-1, Hawaii 5-1, Kansas State 8-1-1, Nebraska 5-1, Oklahoma State 5-1, South Carolina 5-0-1, SMU 5-0, St. Bonaventure 5-1, Utah 9-0 and Wichita State 6-1-1.
Creighton 5-1, Delaware 8-1, Illinois Chicago 5-1, Kent State 5-1, Michigan State 6-0, North Texas 5-1, Nevada 8-0, Ohio U 5-0, Seton Hall 5-0 and Wichita State 6-0.
Here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the worst ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum seven results) this season:
Boston College 1-6, Central Florida 1-5, Colorado State 1-6, Drexel 0-6, East Carolina 0-5, Kent State 1-5, Miami Florida 1-5, Northern Illinois 1-6, Purdue 1-5 and Toledo 1-5.
Central Florida 1-5, Cal Davis 1-5, Colorado State 1-5, Fullerton State 1-6, Kentucky 0-4-1, Louisiana Lafayette 1-5, Maryland 1-5, Mississippi State 0-5, Northern Iowa 1-8, South Alabama 1-8, Texas State 1-6 and Washington State 0-4-1.
Putting On The ‘D’
Once again, here is a list of the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin. Look to ‘play on’ these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:
Defensive Field Goal Percentage:
1. SMU 37.0
2. Arizona 37.2
3. Florida State 37.7
4. Iowa 37.9
5. San Diego State 38.0
1. Quinnipiac +13.0
2. Indiana +11.5
2. Kentucky +11.2
4. Arizona +10.9
5. Iowa +10.7
Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:
1. Pacers 90.2
2. Bulls 92.8
3. Grizzlies 95.5
4. Raptors 96.7
5. Spurs 96.8
1. Thunder +4.7
2. Pacers +4.5
3. Trailblazers +3.6
4. Grizzlies +3.5
5. Bulls +3.2
After opening the season 12-18 SU and 11-19 ATS in all games through Dec. 31 this season, the Chicago Bulls welcomed the New Year in style, going 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS in games during January.
With the blue collar Bulls ranking in the Top 5 in the league in team defense and rebound margin, look for them to improve on an already stellar 6-3 SU mark in games with same season loss revenge in their forward movement.
Stat Of The Week
Illinois is 18-0 SU at home in games versus Iowa in which the Illini own a winning record.
- O (CLE at GS)
- Will Rogers
- June 2, 2016 - 9:00 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ Over 210 -103
1* free play on CLE@GS to go OVER....
The NBA Finals get underway Thursday, and we'll see a rematch of last year's Finals when the Warriors defeated the Cavs to win the Championship. Last year the Cavs were short-handed, with Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving both sidelined due to injury. With Cleveland at full strength, we could see some higher scores than we saw in the Finals a year ago.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Three-Point Shooting - The Cavs were not a three-point shooting team during the regular season, but they've been launching a ton of three-point shots in the playoffs. They broke an NBA record for made three-pointers in their series versus Atlanta, and averaged over 40 attempted three-pointers per game against the Raptors. The Warriors live and die with their long range shooting, as evidenced by Klay Thompson's heroic performance with 11 made threes in Game 6.
2. Previous History - The Warriors failed to reach the total in five of seven games versus the Thunder, but the number in those games was an average of 10 points higher than the number for Game 1 versus the Cavs. The last time these teams met, the Warriors won 132-98 at Cleveland. The Cavs have gone over in eight of their last 11 road games.
3. X-Factor - LeBron James is coming off his highest scoring game of the playoffs, totaling 33 points in 41 minutes in Game 6 versus Toronto.
Selection: This is a play on the Cavs@Warriors to go OVER the total (Free)