Inside the stats: Hoops edition
Let’s take a look at what’s happening on the hardwood as we enter the weekend. All results are ATS (Against The Spread) through January 29, unless noted otherwise.
For your perusal, here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the best ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum five results) this season:
Buffalo 5-0, George Washington 5-1, Hawaii 5-1, Kansas State 8-1-1, Nebraska 5-1, Oklahoma State 5-1, South Carolina 5-0-1, SMU 5-0, St. Bonaventure 5-1, Utah 9-0 and Wichita State 6-1-1.
Creighton 5-1, Delaware 8-1, Illinois Chicago 5-1, Kent State 5-1, Michigan State 6-0, North Texas 5-1, Nevada 8-0, Ohio U 5-0, Seton Hall 5-0 and Wichita State 6-0.
Here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the worst ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum seven results) this season:
Boston College 1-6, Central Florida 1-5, Colorado State 1-6, Drexel 0-6, East Carolina 0-5, Kent State 1-5, Miami Florida 1-5, Northern Illinois 1-6, Purdue 1-5 and Toledo 1-5.
Central Florida 1-5, Cal Davis 1-5, Colorado State 1-5, Fullerton State 1-6, Kentucky 0-4-1, Louisiana Lafayette 1-5, Maryland 1-5, Mississippi State 0-5, Northern Iowa 1-8, South Alabama 1-8, Texas State 1-6 and Washington State 0-4-1.
Putting On The ‘D’
Once again, here is a list of the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin. Look to ‘play on’ these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:
Defensive Field Goal Percentage:
1. SMU 37.0
2. Arizona 37.2
3. Florida State 37.7
4. Iowa 37.9
5. San Diego State 38.0
1. Quinnipiac +13.0
2. Indiana +11.5
2. Kentucky +11.2
4. Arizona +10.9
5. Iowa +10.7
Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:
1. Pacers 90.2
2. Bulls 92.8
3. Grizzlies 95.5
4. Raptors 96.7
5. Spurs 96.8
1. Thunder +4.7
2. Pacers +4.5
3. Trailblazers +3.6
4. Grizzlies +3.5
5. Bulls +3.2
After opening the season 12-18 SU and 11-19 ATS in all games through Dec. 31 this season, the Chicago Bulls welcomed the New Year in style, going 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS in games during January.
With the blue collar Bulls ranking in the Top 5 in the league in team defense and rebound margin, look for them to improve on an already stellar 6-3 SU mark in games with same season loss revenge in their forward movement.
Stat Of The Week
Illinois is 18-0 SU at home in games versus Iowa in which the Illini own a winning record.
- U (NYR at WIN)
- Bryan Power
- March 31, 2015 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ Under 5.5 -140
1* Under Rangers/Jets (8:05 ET): I anticipate that the linesmakers could drop this number to an even 5.0 goal total, so perhaps you may want to bet this one Under quickly. You might be surprised at this because the Rangers have gone Over in five straight games while the Jets have gone Over in three straight. But tonight should be a different story.
The Rangers allowed three goals in the third period in Sunday's loss to the Capitals, which shouldn't happen again, regardless if it's Henrik Lundqvist or Cam Talbot in net. I think what's happened the last few games is a post playoff-clinch "hangover." Tonight, on the road, the team should be more focused. New York is 11-6 Under this season on the road when the total is 5.5.
As for the Jets, they'd allowed two goals or fewer in six of seven games prior to Sunday's 4-3 loss to Chicago (I had Over there). Goaltender Ondrej Pavelec had a 1.15 GAA his previous six starts before taking that loss. Lay the juice to get the 5.5 for this one. 1* Under Rangers/Jets
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