Inside the stats: Hoops edition
Let’s take a look at what’s happening on the hardwood as we enter the weekend. All results are ATS (Against The Spread) through January 29, unless noted otherwise.
For your perusal, here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the best ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum five results) this season:
Buffalo 5-0, George Washington 5-1, Hawaii 5-1, Kansas State 8-1-1, Nebraska 5-1, Oklahoma State 5-1, South Carolina 5-0-1, SMU 5-0, St. Bonaventure 5-1, Utah 9-0 and Wichita State 6-1-1.
Creighton 5-1, Delaware 8-1, Illinois Chicago 5-1, Kent State 5-1, Michigan State 6-0, North Texas 5-1, Nevada 8-0, Ohio U 5-0, Seton Hall 5-0 and Wichita State 6-0.
Here is a list of college basketball teams taking the floor this weekend that own the worst ATS marks in all games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum seven results) this season:
Boston College 1-6, Central Florida 1-5, Colorado State 1-6, Drexel 0-6, East Carolina 0-5, Kent State 1-5, Miami Florida 1-5, Northern Illinois 1-6, Purdue 1-5 and Toledo 1-5.
Central Florida 1-5, Cal Davis 1-5, Colorado State 1-5, Fullerton State 1-6, Kentucky 0-4-1, Louisiana Lafayette 1-5, Maryland 1-5, Mississippi State 0-5, Northern Iowa 1-8, South Alabama 1-8, Texas State 1-6 and Washington State 0-4-1.
Putting On The ‘D’
Once again, here is a list of the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin. Look to ‘play on’ these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:
Defensive Field Goal Percentage:
1. SMU 37.0
2. Arizona 37.2
3. Florida State 37.7
4. Iowa 37.9
5. San Diego State 38.0
1. Quinnipiac +13.0
2. Indiana +11.5
2. Kentucky +11.2
4. Arizona +10.9
5. Iowa +10.7
Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:
1. Pacers 90.2
2. Bulls 92.8
3. Grizzlies 95.5
4. Raptors 96.7
5. Spurs 96.8
1. Thunder +4.7
2. Pacers +4.5
3. Trailblazers +3.6
4. Grizzlies +3.5
5. Bulls +3.2
After opening the season 12-18 SU and 11-19 ATS in all games through Dec. 31 this season, the Chicago Bulls welcomed the New Year in style, going 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS in games during January.
With the blue collar Bulls ranking in the Top 5 in the league in team defense and rebound margin, look for them to improve on an already stellar 6-3 SU mark in games with same season loss revenge in their forward movement.
Stat Of The Week
Illinois is 18-0 SU at home in games versus Iowa in which the Illini own a winning record.
- New Mexico
- Dave Cokin
- October 1, 2016 - 4:00 PM
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ -7.5 -106 New Mexico
This is a 1* free play on Saturday's MWC game between San Jose State and New Mexico.
Kenny Potter's status for this game is uncertain. The San Jose QB was unable to go against Iowa State and he's very iffy as of now for this week's game. He has a leg injury that won't require surgery but if the swelling doesn't subside, he won't be able to play. If that's the case, then it's freshman Josh Love, and the rookie really struggled at Iowa State.
Beyond that, the Spartans have absolutely horrific on defense. They've been outgained by a whopping 547 yards in the losses to Tulsa, Utah and San Jose State. The defensive rushing stats in those games were abysmal, 5.5 yards per carry and all three opponents went run-heavy on San Jose. That will definitely be the case Saturday as New Mexico prefers to run out of their option as much as possible.
I think we're catching a good spot here, as New Mexico has had an extra week to prep and should be extremely motivated after losing two games they really should have won. The bye week should be a real plus coming out of those two tough losses, and New Mexico also has a revenge motive from a poor showing against the Spartans last season.
It looks like a good matchup for the Lobos in terms of strength vs. weakness, and if Porter is unable to play, this is a bargain price in my opinion even with the bump from where it opened on Sunday night. I'll therefore go ahead and lay it right now with New Mexico.