Surprises at the Half Way Point
Each month since the season started, I've taken a quick look at some of the surprises in the NBA. With the All-Star break less than two weeks away, I thought I'd take another glance at some of the more interesting sub-plots around the league.
From the outset it's been a race between the Knicks and Nets, and each team is neck and neck heading into the break. The Knicks are 30-15 SU as of writing, while the Nets are 28-19. Neither side has been particularly profitable for bettors overall this season though, as New York is 24-20-1 ATS, while Brooklyn is 21-23-3 ATS. If there was a surprise in this division, it would be Boston at 23-23 SU. The C's have struggled with consistency all year, but after losing Rajon Rondo for the remainder of the season to injury, have rallied and gone a perfect 4-0.
Another tough division. Chicago has a slim lead over Indiana right now. The Bulls are 29-18 SU, and the Pacers are 28-19. Chicago is just 20-27 ATS, while Indiana is 25-22 ATS. The Bulls will get a big boost when Derrick Rose returns to the lineup after the break, while the Pacers are also anxiously awaiting on top-scorer Danny Granger to make his debut this year as well. Milwaukee is firmly in third at 25-21 SU and 24-22 ATS.
This is a two-horse race, with Miami at 29-14 SU and Atlanta at 26-20. The Heat are 21-22 ATS, while Atlanta is just 19-25-2 ATS. Washington sits in a two way tie for last place with Charlotte at 11-35 SU. The Wizards though are 27-17-2 ATS, while the Bobcats are 17-28-1.
San Antonio has finally started to distance itself from Memphis, sitting at 38-11 SU, compared to the Grizzlies 30-16. The Spurs are 27-20-2 ATS, while the Grizz are 27-18-1 ATS. Houston is nipping at their heels at 26-23 SU, while Dallas stumbles into the mid-way point at 20-27.
Oklahoma City (35-12 SU), has not been able to pull away from Denver (30-18), and Utah is right behind at 26-22. Both leaders have been delivering the goods for bettors as well this year, with OKC at 27-18-2 ATS, and the Nuggets at 28-20. Utah though is a sub-par 23-24-1 ATS.
The LA Clippers have stumbled of late without All Star guard Chris Paul in the lineup, but still lead the division at 34-14 SU. Golden State remains in second at 30-17. The Clippers are 27-21 ATS, while the Warriors are 27-19-1. But the Lakers at 21-26 SU continue to be the talk of the division, and of the league. The Lake Show has also failed to get the job done for bettors this year, sitting at 19-27-1 ATS thus far. So do the Lakers have a big second half push in them? Only time will tell, but one things for sure, it's going to be interesting to watch!
- O (WIN at ANA)
- Larry Ness
- April 18, 2015 - 10:30 PM
- Offered at:
- allyoubet @ Over 5 -140
These two teams have now played FIVE of their last six games over the total when playing in Anaheim...
My free play is on Anaheim/Tampa Bay Over at 10:35 ET.
Anaheim rallied from a 2-1 deficit in the third period to defeat Winnipeg 4-2 in the opening game of this series. The Ducks' top-line of Corey Perry and Ryan Getzlaf got rolling in that final period, as Perry scored twice while assisting on Getzlaf's goal that ended the game. It is hard not to conclude from that onslaught that Anaheim's superstars are a level above and beyond the capable but unspectacular set of defensemen that the Jets have to offer. The dilemma for the Jets’ head coach Paul Maurice is that if he focuses too much of his players and energies on that dynamic duo of Perry and Getzlaf, that will open up opportunities for Ryan Kesler who anchors a very powerful second line for the Ducks. The over is now 12-4-6 in Anaheim's last 22 games in the Western Conference quarterfinals after Game 1 of this series finished over the toatl of five. The over is also 5-1-1 in the Ducks' last seven home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Goalie Frederik Andersen was up to the task in the opening game by stopping 25 of the 27 shots Winnipeg peppered him. However, Andersen remains a question mark between the pipes given that he had a mediocre 2.56 goals against average and .906 save percentage after the All-Star break prior to Thursday's game. If it were not for John Gibson's upper body injury, Andersen may not have been head coach Bruce Boudreau's choice to be in net to begin this series. Gibson will be ready to go sometime during this series which means Andersen will be looking over his shoulder. He can blow up at any time in this series.
Winnipeg will likely play this game fast-and-loose after blowing that 2-1 lead on Thursday. Stealing Game 2 of this series remains a luxury rather than a necessity for this team, which should remain confident that it can win this series despite being an 8-seed. The Jets have now played NINE of their last 13 road games over the number against teams with a winning percentage over .600 on their home ice. However, the concern this team has but will not dare mention out loud is that goalie Ondrej Pavelec has lost his magic after an incredible second half of the season, where he culminated his 1.98 goals against average and .932 save percentage with three straight shutouts on the road. While Pavelec's play definitely put his team in a position to win the opening game of this series, the fact remains he gave up four goals on just 33 shots. His Game 1 numbers are reminiscent of his unspectacular 2.86 goals against average and .908 save percentage career numbers that he began this series with rather than the lightning in the bottle numbers he put up in the second half of the season after winning his job back from backup Michael Hutchinson. These two teams have now played FIVE of their last six games over the total when playing in Anaheim. Expect another game to finish over the number in Game 2 of this series. Take the over.
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