Tale of the tape: Miami vs. Buffalo
An AFC East showdown takes the Thursday night spot light when the Miami Dolphins visit the Buffalo Bills. We break down both sides in our tale of the tape:
The Dolphins, who average 105.8 yards on the ground per game, tried to spark their rushing offense last week versus Tennessee but mustered only 54 yards on 15 carries, including a fumble from RB Reggie Bush. Miami has rushed for only 78.3 yards per game over its last three contests, and hasn’t done much to relieve the pressure on rookie QB Ryan Tannehill, who was intercepted three times in Week 10.
The Bills will be without RB Fred Jackson (concussion) Thursday, leaving the offense to lean on backup C.J. Spiller. That’s not necessarily a bad thing. Spiller averages 7.3 yards per carry this year – best in the NFL – and seems to make big plays whenever he touches the football. Buffalo put up a solid fight versus New England last Sunday, scoring 31 points and boasting a franchise-record 35 first downs. Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick passed for 337 yards and two touchdowns in the loss.
Miami has looked to its defense to keep it in ball games this season, allowing just 20.7 points per game – eighth lowest in the NFL. The Dolphins front seven has done a great job plugging up the ground game, giving up 94.2 yards an outing, but that number must be taken with a grain of salt because of how bad Miami is at defending the pass. Opponents are putting up 278 yards through the air each time the Dolphins take the field. Those same opponents are averaging 11.7 yards per completion.
The Bills haven't been doing themselves any favors defensively, allowing at least 35 points in four of their last six games overall. They're giving up a whopping 6.4 yards per play on the season, and have been particularly poor against the run, allowing 5.5 yards per rush. On a positive note, the Dolphins don't appear poised to exploit that weakness, as they're averaging only 3.8 yards per rush. Buffalo has been fairly consistent in terms of its pass rush, averaging 2.7 sacks per game here at home.
The Dolphins return game has been a big positive this season, as they're averaging well north of the league average at 12.3 yards per punt return, and 27.3 yards on kickoffs. Kicker Dan Carpenter has had a bit of an off year, converting on only 13 of 17 field goal attempts. With a sputtering red zone offense, Carpenter could certainly be a factor on Thursday night.
Buffalo has been even better returning punts, one of the league's best teams in that department, averaging 19.5 yards per return. The problem is, they've had a tough time defending punts, giving up 15 yards per return. On kickoff returns, they've been nothing more than average at 26.3 yards per return. Veteran kicker Ryan Lindell has made good on 9 of 10 field goal attempts.
- U (ARI at LAD)
- Power Sports
- July 29, 2016 - 10:10 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ Under 7.5 -105
It's only July, but already Power Sports is an *AMAZING 12-1 YTD in Football** (CFL/Arena) including a PERFECT 7-0 start in CFL! Also remember that last season saw him finish an *INSANE* 94-62-3 (+$20,528) in NFL! Are you on board? Subscribe today!
Not to be outdone, in MLB, Power is off ANOTHER 3-0 SWEEP Thursday & now 48-24-1 (67%) his L73!
1* Under Diamondbacks/Dodgers (10:10 ET): The term "pitcher's park" has certainly applied to Dodger Stadium in 2016 as we've seen an average of just 6.9 runs per game scored here, fewest in all of baseball. The result of that is the Under has gone a remarkable 36-14 in Chavez Ravine. Welcoming in a weak opponent they should theoretically dominate, hopefully the Dodgers don't even play the bottom half of the ninth here (always a nice advantage to have). My recommendation here is on the Under.
We obviously don't want LA to score much either and fortunately for our case, their slumping lineup just managed only four runs total in two games vs. the Tampa Bay Rays. Those games took place here at home and in seven of the last eight home games, the Dodgers have now been held to four runs or fewer. The embattled Zach Godley starts for Arizona and while his track record suggests he might struggle, I see him keeping a scuffling lineup somewhat in check.
Dodgers starter Kenta Maeda should take care of the rest. He has a 0.883 WHIP his L3 starts and he flat out dominated San Diego in his last home start, holding them to just one run on two hits over seven innings w/ a 13-0 KW rate. Maeda also held Arizona scoreless the lone time he faced them (back in April), allowing just five hits in 6 IP. The Under, true to form, cashed in all three games the one time the Dodgers have hosted the D'back this year and I see the trend continuing tonight. 1* Under Diamondbacks/Dodgers
- 2016 College Football: Pac 12 Conference Preview
Jul 29, 2016
- PGA Championship Preview
Jul 27, 2016
- MLB power rankings (Week 17)
Jul 26, 2016
- Wiseguy Report: Teddy's Early Look at the NFC East
Jul 25, 2016
- MLB Betting Cheat Sheet: July 25th
Jul 24, 2016