Free CFB Pick: Virginia Tech at Clemson
The Virginia Tech Hokies, fresh off a 41-20 pounding of Duke as 9.5-point home favorites at Bovada, will look to remain in the ACC Coastal Division title picture when they square off against the Clemson Tigers this Saturday afternoon at Memorial Stadium. All the action is set to get underway at noon EST, and the game will be broadcast nationally on ABC.
It has been an unexpected rough go of things for the Hokies so far with a disappointing 4-3 straight up start that includes losses to Pittsburgh and Cincinnati as favorites. Virginia Tech is 2-5 against the spread this season overall and 0-3 both SU and ATS on the road. The total has gone “over” in its last three games.
Clemson is in the thick of the Atlantic Division race in the ACC at 5-1 SU overall and 2-1 SU in conference play. The Tigers are 4-2 ATS but 1-2 ATS at home this season. They are coming off a bye week after posting a 47-31 victory against Georgia Tech on Oct.6 as 11-point home favorites. The total has gone over in their last four games.
It has been the same old story for Virginia Tech with a crippling loss early in the year that derailed any serious plans for a run to the top of the national rankings. This season it happened to be a 35-17 loss to Pitt as a 10-point road favorite in Week 2. The Hokies’ offense has been somewhat effective with quarterback Logan Thomas running the show. He has thrown for 1,703 yards and 12 touchdowns but has only completed 53.6 percent of his attempts while getting picked off eight times. He has added 199 yards and four more scores with his legs. The duo of JC Coleman and Michael Holmes has rushed for a combined 558 yards and six touchdowns so far this year.
Virginia Tech’s defense has not been the model of consistency this season after giving up a total of 110 points in the team’s three losses. It did hold Georgia Tech to 17 points in an opening-day overtime win, but overall this side of the ball has been a sub-par unit compared to Hokies’ teams of the past.
Clemson’s only real breakdown of the season came in a Week 4 loss to Florida State where it gave up 49 points in a 12-point loss as a 14.5-point road underdog. The Tigers offense, behind quarterback Tajh Boyd, is ranked 11th in the nation in passing with an average of 324.7 yards per game. Overall, he has completed 68.2 percent of his throws for 1,748 yards and 14 touchdowns
Boyd has also been a force with his legs by adding 224 yards and two touchdowns on the ground to complement Andre Ellington’s team-leading 597 rushing yards and six scores.
The Tigers defense has also struggled to consistently keep its opponents out of the end zone and is giving up an average of 27.3 points a game, which is ranked 70th in the country. This average has gotten increasingly higher after allowing 31 or more points in its last three games.
Betting Odds and Trends by 5Dimes
Pointspread: Clemson -8.5
Total Line: OFF
The Hokies are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games and 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a SU win. The total has stayed under in 14 of their last 20 games following a SU win.
The Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win but just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win. The total has stayed under in 13 of their last 19 conference games.
Head-to-head, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the total has stayed under in five of the last six games between the two. Virginia Tech has lost the last two meetings both SU and ATS after winning the previous five games both ways.
Virginia Tech has played its worst football this season on the road where it has been outscored by a combined 35 points in three losses. There is little doubt that Clemson can light up a score board with an average of 41.3 points a game, which spells trouble for the Hokies in this matchup
Take # 344 Clemson (-8.5) over Virginia Tech (Saturday, Oct.20, noon EST)
- U (WKU at VAN)
- AAA Sports
- September 3, 2015 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- sbgglobal @ Under 68 -110
1* Free Play UNDER WKU/Vandy.
WKU owned one of the countries top offensive units last year and it will once again be a strength of for the 'Tops this season. If Western Kentucky wants to take its play to the next level though, clearly it needs to improve on the defensive side of the ball this season and the team draws a great opponent in its opener to test its new unit. The Hilltoppers got some good news in the offseason when UAB decided to shutdown its football program at the end of last year, making its players available for transfer and immediate eligibility. WKU would quickly grab senior Jontavious Morris, who upgrades the defensive line and the defensive unit as a whole. On the other side of the field, Derek Mason's start as Head Coach got off to a rocky start in 2014/15 as Vanderbilt would win just three games overall, while going a miserable 0-8 in the SEC. Vandy had no consistency at the QB position and it's going to be an issue again this year as new Offensive Coordinator Andy Ludwig is still trying to decide who will start as neither Wade Freebeck or Johnny McCrary have played well enough to stake a claim as the No. 1 guy. The offensive line was atrocious last season, the team averaged a league-worst 3.4 YPC, while also struggling to protect the QB. The Commodores though will benefit from more experience on both sides of the ball in 2014/15, but all signs once again point to a long and frustrating season. While there's sure to be some spectacular offensive plays in this one, we feel that the combination of WKU's improved defensive unit and Vanderbilt's issues at QB will result in this one falling UNDER the posted number.
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