Free CBB Tuesday: South Florida vs. Seton Hall
This year’s Big East Tournament kicks off on Tuesday night with a first-round matchup between the South Florida Bulls and the Seton Hall Pirates. All the action from Madison Square Garden is slated to get underway at 7 p.m. (ET), and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPNU.
South Florida stumbled its way to a No.13 seed for this tournament by virtue of posting just three straight up victories in Big East play this season. It is 12-18 SU overall and 11-18 against the spread. The total has stayed “under” in four of its last six games.
The Pirates did not fare any better this year with a 3-15 SU record in conference play, and they ended up 14-17 SU on the year after losing 11 of their last 12 games. They went 10-13-1 ATS this season and the total went “over” in four of their last six games.
The Bulls have been one of the worst offensive teams in the nation this year with an average of just 59.3 points a game while shooting a woeful 39.5 percent from the field and 31.8 percent from three-point range. Victor Rudd (12.3 points) and Toarlyn Fitzpatrick (10 points) are the only two real scoring threats on the team, but neither is shooting better than 40 percent from the floor.
The only real claim to fame for South Florida has been a defensive effort that is holding opposing teams to 62.7 points a game. This has helped to keep the team competitive against the bottom half of the conference, which clearly applies to this contest.
Seton Hall may have just one SU win in its last 12 games, but it came against Villanova on Feb.25 as a four-point home underdog. This is another team that has had a hard time putting points on the board this season with an average of 65.4 points a game, but it has done a better job than the Bulls shooting the ball with a 43.5 field goal percentage.
The Pirates have a legitimate scorer in Fuquan Edwin. He leads the team with 16.6 points a game, and the Pirates have two other players scoring in double-figures. Their offensive production took a hit earlier this season when Brandon Mobley went down with a shoulder injury. They will also rely on a stiff defense to try and advance on to Wednesday’s second round against No.5 seed Syracuse. Seton Hall has been able to hold teams to an average of 58.2 points in neutral-site games this year.
Betting Odds and Trends by BetOnline
Seton Hall has been opened by BetOnline as a 1.5-point favorite in this Big East Tournament opener with the “over/under” line still listed as “off”.
The Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral-site games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 conference games. The total has stayed under in 20 of their last 27 games against the Big East.
The Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing record and 10-25 ATS in their last 35 games played at a neutral site. The total has gone over in five of their last seven games against a team with a losing record.
Seton Hall has covered in eight of the last 10 meetings in this series, and the total has stayed under in four of the last five games. These two spit the season series with each winning SU and ATS at home. The total stayed under in both games.
Neither of these teams is going anywhere after Tuesday night as they will be a brisk warm up for the Orange’s quarterfinal matchup against Pitt on Thursday. However, if you are looking to play a side in this game, stick with Seton Hall to win and cover the points as the slightly better all-around team that has the better track record in tournament play.
Take #570 Seton Hall (-1.5) over South Florida (Tuesday, March 12, 7 p.m.)
- U (CHI at ANA)
- AAA Sports
- May 30, 2015 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ Under 5 115
1* Free Play UNDER Hawks/Ducks.
What's the first thing that comes to mind when you think about these two teams? For me, it's efficient offenses, backed by smothering defensive play and superb goaltending. So, I think it's a bit of surprise that the total is 3-1-2 so far through the first six in the Western Conference Finals, including having sailed above the posted number in three straight. With a trip to the Stanley Cup Finals on the line though, I feel that the UNDER is finally worthy of a second look here as each of these teams clamps down defensively and waits for the other to make the first mistake. In my opinion, this is a great situational play, but it's also very strong from an Over/Under trend based stand point as Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of six this year after playing to three or more OVERs in a row, while Anaheim has seen it dip below the posted number in five of seven in the same position. With players risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the correct move in Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals.