New Orleans Bowl Preview
Saturday, December 22nd
New Orleans Bowl - Superdome New Orleans, LA 12:00 PM ET
East Carolina Pirates vs. UL-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (-6/64)
How East Carolina got here
After starting the season 3-3, the Pirates closed strong by winning five of their last six games to post their best record since 2009, the last year under head coach Skip Holtz. East Carolina finished in a tie with UCF in the C-USA East Division but lost the tiebreaker after losing to the Knights 40-20. It should be noted that those seven conference wins all came against teams not playing in a bowl game and its only non-conference win came against Appalachian St. of the FCS. The Pirates lost its other three non-conference games by a combined score of 131-44 and those three opponents are all in a bowl game as well.
How UL-Lafayette got here
UL-Lafayette finished in a tie for second place in the Sun Belt Conference with a 6-2 record with one of those losses coming against conference champion Arkansas St. by 23 points. Its only win against a team with a winning conference record was a victory at rival UL-Monroe. In non-conference action, the Cajuns got thumped at Oklahoma St. but lost by just a touchdown at Florida on a blocked punt return for a score with only 13 seconds remaining. Similar to the Pirates, they closed the season with three straight wins to make their second straight appearance in the New Orleans Bowl. UL-Lafayette won last year over San Diego St. 32-30 on a 50-yard field goal as time expired.
Both passing defenses have issues as East Carolina is 105th in the nation (271.7 ypg) while UL-Lafayette is 111th in the country (283.9 ypg).
This could very well turn into a shootout as both defenses are vulnerable against the pass. Against average quarterbacks, they could get away with it but that isn't the case here. East Carolina quarterback Shane Carden finished 33rd in the nation in passing efficiency while Cajuns quarterback Terrence Broadway finished 22nd in the country in passing efficiency and both were second in that category in their respective conferences. Both offenses can put up plenty of points as the Cajuns were consistent all season while the Pirates hit their stride late, averaging 42 ppg over their last six games after putting up just 20.5 ppg through their first six games. Interesting to note that the Cajuns were dogs of six points here last year and now the role has completely reversed.
UL-Lafayette is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games away from home when playing against a team with a winning record.
East Carolina is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after allowing 40 or more points in its previous game.
Matt closed the CFB regular season on a PERFECT 6-0 run with his side reports heading into the bowls. Expect more of the same as bowl season approaches so grab his Bowl Package for just $295.95, it’s a steal!
- Louisiana State
- Power Sports
- October 17, 2015 - 7:00 PM
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ -6.5 -106 Louisiana State
1* LSU (7:00 ET): If interested, I'd bet this one quickly. The line is likely to "soar" given that Florida will be w/o its starting QB Will Grier for the rest of the season due to testing positive for a PED. However, note that there's still substantial line value present given that over the summer the advanced line on this matchup was LSU -14.
Both teams are undefeated, but Florida is clearly the bigger surprise. They pulled the proverbial "rabbit out of the hat" against Tennessee, then shocked everyone w/ a 38-10 beatdown of Ole Miss in the Swamp. But they were +4 in turnovers in that upset victory. Now, without Grier, their are major concerns over an offense that twice in SEC play has been held to 21 pts or fewer. Treon Harris now takes over under center and quite frankly, I've never been really impressed w/ his play.
It's no surprise that LSU is 5-0 as preseason I thought they'd be undefeated heading into the Alabama game (on November 7th). They have arguably the best player in College Football on their roster, that being Leonard Fournette, who already has eclipsed 1,000 yards rushing for the season. Last year's two losses at Tiger Stadium matched the number of defeats they suffered here in the previous five seasons combined! So what I'm saying is that an outright loss in this situation would be almost unimaginable and all things considered, the line seems pretty low. In its last two visits to the Bayou, Florida has been held to a total of 17 points. 1* LSU
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