Round Three betting edges: Pacers solid as ATS dog
One month into the NBA Playoffs and we’re down to the Conference Finals. In just two weeks the season will conclude with the Championship Finals as the 2013-14 season winds its way to the finish line.
From our database, let’s take a peek and see what we can expect from teams in the Third Round of the playoffs. Remember, all results are ATS (Against The Spread) in Third Round action since 1991, unless stated otherwise. Enjoy…
DOWN BUT NOT OUT
You can blow out a good team once. Twice is not as likely.
As we’ve learned, teams that fail miserably tend to bounce back rather than stay down. In fact, teams off a pointspread loss of more than 10 points are a very profitable 46-29-1 ATS in 3rd round playoff action.
Bring them in as a dog off a SU upset loss as a favorite and they improve to 15-5-1 ATS.
BETTER TEAMS MAKE NICE DOGS
Taking points with better teams will seldom put you in harm’s way.
Teams with a better win percentage takings points off a loss are 22-17-1 ATS on the blind. Bring them in off a loss of 4 or more points and they improve to 21-12-1 ATS.
Best of all, when taking 4 or more points with a better team off a loss of 4 or more points you have a 13-5-1 ATS winning edge.
RUNNING ON EMPTY
You can hold a good team down, but not for long.
Teams that reach the 3rd round of the playoffs have established themselves as being better than most. When good teams come up with sub par scoring efforts they tend to bounce back in followup games.
That’s confirmed by the fact the road teams in Round Three who scored 78 or fewer points in their previous game are a wallet stretching 15-6-1 ATS. Better yet, if the Over/Under total in this round is less than 186 points they improve to 13-3 against the number.
ITS WHAT’S TRENDING
Listed below are the best team trends for teams in Round Three of the post season.
Indiana: 17-8-2 ATS as a dog, including 4-1 ATS home.
Miami: 11-4 ATS off a loss, including 5-1 ATS off a SU favorite loss.
Oklahoma City: 11-4 ATS when O/U total is 199 or greater, including 5-0 ATS off a SUATS loss.
San Antonio: 10-2 ATS away off a win, including 6-0 ATS off a SU underdog win.
There you have it. Three rock-solid betting theories you can hang your hat on throughout the 3rd round of this year’s NBA playoffs.
- Ben Burns
- February 13, 2016 - 10:00 PM
- Offered at:
- top bet @ -110 Edmonton
WHITE HOT Ben Burns is 9-1 the L2 days & thats NOTHING compared to his AMAZING 31-6 RECORD over the past week. Dime players have BANKED BETTER THAN $22K in those seven days alone. Ben was 10-1 last weekend & all signs point to more of the same. The action starts BRIGHT & EARLY and goes all day. This is a TRULY EPIC STREAK. Jump on board & enjoy it!
Both these teams are much better on home ice. The Jets are 11-16 away from Winnipeg, getting outscored by a 2.9 to 2.4 average. The Oilers are even worse than that on the road. However, they're a respectable 15-11 here at Edmonton, outscoring teams by a 3.0 to 2.6 average.
The Jets are 7-13 (-4.1) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Oilers are 10-4 (+6.4) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5
The Jets are off a 6-2 loss last time out while the Oilers are off a 5-2 win. Young star Connor McDavid is looking like the player Oiler fans hoped he'd be. They've now won their last two games here by a combined score of 10-3. All things considered, a price in the pick'em range seems more than fair.