NCAAB - Exposing the Top 25
Most Underrated Top 25 Team - The Creighton Blue Jays (12-1, 9-2 ATS)
After covering the spread in all but two of their first 13 games, it is safe to say the Blue Jays are underrated. Creighton went undefeated in the month of December for just the third time in school history. They are the second best 3-point shooting team in the nation hitting 42% from beyond the arc, and they also rank in the top 10 in field goal percentage shooting 50.8%.
Yet to face a ranked opponent, the Blue Jays have taken advantage of a relatively easy schedule. It won't be getting tougher anytime soon, with their next five games coming against lesser opponents. They likely won't be tested until they face Wichita State on January 19.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team - The Georgetown Hoyas (10-1, 2-5 ATS)
The Hoyas have only one loss this season, and that came at the hands of the Indiana Hoosiers, who were ranked first in the nation at the time. Despite their record, they have really struggled offensively, only averaging 66 points per game. Their futility on the offensive side of the ball has caused the Hoyas to fail to cover the spread in all but two of their games so far this year.
The Hoyas face a difficult schedule with two tough games coming up in the next seven days. They will take on Marquette in Milwaukee on Saturday, and then they are back at home taking on the Pittsburgh Panthers just three days later.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked - North Carolina Tar Heels (10-3, 7-4 ATS)
A few weeks ago, I was saying that the Tar Heels were the most overrated team in the top 25, and as it turns out, it appears that I was right. They have since been dropped from the rankings, after losing on the road in Texas. They have put together back to back impressive wins since then though, including 79-73 victory over #25 UNLV.
North Carolina still ranks in the top 5 in the nation in scoring, averaging 83.6 points per game. With their next five games coming up against unranked opponents, don't be surprised to see the Tar Heels back in the rankings next week. They have a tough road game coming up at the end of the month though, playing the Wolfpack in North Carolina on January 26.
- Ben Burns
- February 9, 2016 - 8:30 PM
- Offered at:
- sbgglobal @ -1.5 -110 Dallas
WHITE HOT Ben Burns followed up a PERFECT 5-0 Sunday by delivering a PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP w/ his basketball on Monday. Burns is a PERFECT 5-0 in the NBA the past four days, going a BLISTERING 8-1-1 his L10 basketball overall. When Ben gets in this type of zone, he makes it look EASIER THAN SHOOTING FISH IN A BARREL. BANK on more of the same Tuesday!
The Jazz come in on a roll, having won six straight. That winning streak has led to a low line here, which I feel is providing value with the home team. A closer look at the Jazz's winning streak shows that they've been fortunate to play some weak and/or struggling teams and that five of those six games came at home. The one road game was at Phoenix against a depleted Suns team. The Jazz are still just 8-15 away from Salt Lake City and I expect them to have their hands full this evening.
The Mavs got back on track last time out, winning at Memphis. (Arguably a more impressive feat than any of Utah's recent wins.) They've had two days off since then and they don't play again until after the All Star Break. They should be fresh and focused on the task at hand. The Jazz, on the other hand, play at New Orleans tomorrow.
While the Jazz are 8-15 on the road, the Mavs are 15-10 at home. Dallas outscores teams here. Utah gets outscored on the road. Note that the Mavs are 3-1 SU/ATS as home favorites of three or fewer points while the Jazz are just 1-4 ATS as road underdogs of three or less.
The Mavs, 7-1 ATS against teams from the Northwest Division, have dominated the Jazz here for years. Indeed, they're 22-2 as a host in this series, a perfect 10-0 the last 10. That streak will eventually come to an end. I just don't see it happening tonight. Consider Dallas.