NCAAB - Exposing the Top 25
Most Underrated Top 25 Team - The Creighton Blue Jays (12-1, 9-2 ATS)
After covering the spread in all but two of their first 13 games, it is safe to say the Blue Jays are underrated. Creighton went undefeated in the month of December for just the third time in school history. They are the second best 3-point shooting team in the nation hitting 42% from beyond the arc, and they also rank in the top 10 in field goal percentage shooting 50.8%.
Yet to face a ranked opponent, the Blue Jays have taken advantage of a relatively easy schedule. It won't be getting tougher anytime soon, with their next five games coming against lesser opponents. They likely won't be tested until they face Wichita State on January 19.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team - The Georgetown Hoyas (10-1, 2-5 ATS)
The Hoyas have only one loss this season, and that came at the hands of the Indiana Hoosiers, who were ranked first in the nation at the time. Despite their record, they have really struggled offensively, only averaging 66 points per game. Their futility on the offensive side of the ball has caused the Hoyas to fail to cover the spread in all but two of their games so far this year.
The Hoyas face a difficult schedule with two tough games coming up in the next seven days. They will take on Marquette in Milwaukee on Saturday, and then they are back at home taking on the Pittsburgh Panthers just three days later.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked - North Carolina Tar Heels (10-3, 7-4 ATS)
A few weeks ago, I was saying that the Tar Heels were the most overrated team in the top 25, and as it turns out, it appears that I was right. They have since been dropped from the rankings, after losing on the road in Texas. They have put together back to back impressive wins since then though, including 79-73 victory over #25 UNLV.
North Carolina still ranks in the top 5 in the nation in scoring, averaging 83.6 points per game. With their next five games coming up against unranked opponents, don't be surprised to see the Tar Heels back in the rankings next week. They have a tough road game coming up at the end of the month though, playing the Wolfpack in North Carolina on January 26.
- February 27, 2015 - 7:30 PM
- Bryan Power
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- 5dimes @ 11.5 -105 Orlando
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1* Orlando (7:35 ET): I often like to back larger underdogs in games w/ lower totals (sub-200 pts) and that's the case here as we get a Magic team that's been playing a lot better since firing HC Jacque Vaughn. Last time out, they were oh so close to recording a fourth straight victory before losing at home to Miami in overtime. Poor play down the stretch, free throw shooting in particular, cost them an eight point lead in the final minute of regulation.
But still this is a Magic team that's gone 5-2-2 ATS its L9 games and they are 3-1 ATS this season when taking this many from the linesmakers. They have either beaten Atlanta or kept it close each of the past five matchups dating back to last season, going a perfect 5-0 ATS in those contests. This includes an outright win at home and a six-point loss back in December.
Atlanta had started to show signs of slowing down (lost 3 of 4) prior to winning B2B games. I was on them Wednesday vs. Dallas, but they were catching the Mavs w/out rest there. As a favorite of this size, the Hawks are just 1-3 ATS this season. Orlando's defensive numbers have been quite impressive the last four games, holding opponents to an average of just 89.5 PPG and remember that's w/ Wednesday's going into OT. A similar defensive effort here should easily keep them within the number. 1* Orlando
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