UFN 124 Betting Preview: Belfort vs Hall
Vitor Belfort (Record: 26-13, +205 Underdog)
The Phenom has been fighting professionally for two decades. He fought for the UFC as early as 1997 before leaving the promotion to fight for organizations such as Affliction and Pride before returning to the UFC in 2009 where he has been since. Belfort had lost three of his last four fights TKO to former champion Chris Weidman, and top contenders Jacare Souza and Gegard Mousasi before edging out Nate Marquardt to a decision victory in June 2017.
“The Phenom” has long been labeled one of, if not the best blitzers in the sport. After a short feeling out process, Belfort looks to utilize speed and an aggressive blitz to quickly finish his opponents and get a knockout finish. He’s beaten some excellent opposition in this fashion such as middleweight champion Michael Bisping and former middleweight champion Luke Rockhold.
The difference between those wins and where Belfort currently stands today is TRT. With further regulation added to the sport, the Brazilian is not the same fighter he was when he knocked out those elite opponents. His speed, strength, and physique are simply not at his peak levels. Belfort still has good hands and a strong switch kick. He’s certainly capable of catching top level opponents, but his window to do that is minimal at best. In his most recent bout against Nate Marquardt, Belfort utilized a much more cautious approach. While he didn’t land any strikes with volume, it allowed him to maintain a consistent pace throughout the fight and not tire out.
Uriah Hall (Record: 13-8, -245 Favorite)
One of the most hyped fighters in the history of The Ultimate Fighter, Uriah Hall has gone 6-6 outside of the house. After losing three straight fights and in danger of being cut from the UFC, Uriah Hall knocked out Krzysztof Jotko in the second round of their September 2017 fight to get back in the win column.
The Jamaica-born Hall is one of the most feared strikers in the middleweight division. With a 79 inch reach, Hall is right near the top of the division and is able to land strikes others are simply not able to. His athletic gifts make him an awkward matchup for most fighters in the division. He’s not only able to strike from range, but it’s the creativity he has in the stand-up that makes him a big time threat. Hall uses a lot of spinning attacks and has opponents guessing what he’ll do next. If Hall lands clean, he can knockout anyone in the division. His problem has been that he can become a bit static on the feet. There are periods of inactivity in his bouts where he simply doesn’t exchange and has ended up on the wrong side of the total strikes in a fight and therefore takes a loss. Hall can be controlled on the ground. His takedown defense is decent at 71%, but he has been a bit overwhelmed by fighters who can limit his mobility and score points in the ground exchanges. Hall struggles to get back to his feet when he’s put on his back and it’s a real hole in his overall skill set.
In a matchup of exciting middleweights, Vitor Belfort takes on Uriah Hall. The Jamaican born Hall is seven years younger and holds a five inch read advantage in this bout. The physical advantages are a major advantage for Hall in this bout considering both fighters have fight ending power. While Belfort has traditionally had a speed advantage in his bouts, it’s nullified in this bout given the athletic gifts Hall possesses. Look for there to be a feeling out process in this fight as Hall will look to maintain distance while Belfort will look for a way in. In terms of volume, Hall has traditionally thrown with more volume (3.13 vs. 1.63 for Belfort). I expect Hall to be able to keep Belfort at bay and if this goes to a decision it heavily favors Hall. Neither fighter has a good chin, so a knockout is probable in this bout. Belfort’s best chance is to catch Hall rushing in, hurting him, and getting the finish. The more likely scenario is the size, speed, and athletic advantages for Hall will be just too much for Belfort to handle. Look for Uriah Hall to knock out Vitor Belfort and get a highlight reel caliber win. The total is set at under 1.5 (-155). I tend to not bet juiced under 1.5 totals, so I’m waiting for the line to be released on a Hall KO/TKO prop price.
- Larry Ness
- August 15, 2018 - 7:05 PM
- Offered at:
- betnow @ PHI (120)
My free play is on the Phil Phillies at 7:05 ET. The Boston Red Sox won again last night, as a pinch-hit, go-ahead homer in the eighth inning led to a 2-1 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies. It was Boston's fifth straight win and 11th in 12 outings to open August. The Red Sox are currently on pace to win 115 games and sit 10 games of the Yankees in the AL East. Meanwhile, the Phillies have mustered just nine runs en route to losing four of their last five games, dropping them two games behind National League East-leading Atlanta. Philadelphia currently owns the second NL's wild card spot and the Phillies sit just one game behind Milwaukee. However, the wild card field is crowded, as the Cards are just one game back of the Phillies, with the Rockies 1 1/2 games back and the Dodgers 2 1/2 games back.
Nathan Eovaldi (5-4, 3.74 ERA) began the 2018 season with the Rays but was traded to the Red Sox before the July 31 deadline. He began his Boston career with consecutive scoreless starts but allowed eight runs (just four earned) in just 2 2/3 innings in Friday's 19-12 win against Baltimore (Eovaldi had a no decisions). Eovaldi takes the mound with a 3-4 mark with a 3.51 ERA in nine career starts versus Philadelphia. Vince Velasquez (8-9, 3.98 ERA) comes off 6-0 loss at Arizona in his last outing (four runs in four innings). The Phillies are an unimpressive 9-13 in Velasquez's starts in 2018. He has faced the Red Sox just once in his four-year big-league career, as a member of the Houston Astros back in 2015. In that contest, he gave up three runs and struck out seven batters in six innings in an 8-3 win.
The Philadelphia offense has struggled in the last week, as the team has scored just 16 runs in its last seven games (2.3 runs per game), going 2-5 in that stretch. However, while Boston's easily owns MLB's best record and the Red Sox lead the majors in runs scored (among a bevy of other offensive categories), they have scored just five runs in taking two of three from the Phillies in 2018. I'm not sold even a little on Eovaldi plus will note that previous to Velasquez's most recent start, he had allowed only five ERs over 32 1/3 innings of his prior six starts (1.39 ERA). Boston can't win them all. Take the Phillies.