NCAAB - Exposing the Top 25
Most Underrated Top 25 Team - New Mexico Lobos (16-2, 9-7-1 ATS)
The Lobos have faced three top 25 teams so far this season, and they have won each of those games against Connecticut, Cincinnati and UNLV. Despite the fact that they rank among the worst shooting teams in the nation, hitting just 41.6 percent of their shots from the field, they have been a good bet. The Lobos have cashed a winning ticket, covering the points in four of their last five games.
They have a tough challenge coming up this weekend, as they face the San Diego State Aztecs at the Aztec Bowl on Saturday. They might be catching the Aztecs at a good time though, as San Diego State is coming off back to back losses, and Starting G Xavier Thames remains questionable for their next game.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team - San Diego State Aztecs (14-4, 7-6 ATS)
The Aztecs are coming off consecutive losses to unranked teams, losing 82-75 at home against UNLV on January 16, and then falling 58-45 at Wyoming just three days later. San Diego State is one of the poorest shooting teams in the country, ranking 158th, hitting just 43.6 percent from the field.
The Aztecs will look to avoid a third consecutive loss to a top 25 team this Saturday as they take on the New Mexico Lobos at home. They lost earlier this season to Syracuse and Arizona in their only two games against ranked opponents.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – Miami Florida ( 13-3, 10-3 ATS)
The Hurricanes are coming off five wins in a row, three of those on the road. They covered the spread in four of those five victories, and they have been a great bet all season, with a record of 13-3 ATS.
Miami will host #1 ranked Duke on Wednesday, and the Hurricanes are getting just three points in that game. The Hurricanes are getting respect from the books against the nation's top team, perhaps because they have covered the points in 10 of their last 13 home games.
They will also be tested next week when they take on the Wolfpack in North Carolina.
Featured Free Play
- Jesse Schule
- September 3, 2016 - 12:00 PM
- Offered at:
- bookmaker @ 42 -110 Hawaii
This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Hawaii #Warriors.
They lost 38-0 at Ohio State in Week 2, and it's worth noting that Michigan didn't fair much better losing 42-13 when they traveled to Columbus. Hawaii has plenty of talent returning from last season, and this team might just be more competitive than it was a year ago.
The Wolverines will host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in their season opener, and they are asked to cover an enormous number here. Despite the fact that they played their fair share of cupcakes last season, they didn't win any games by as much as 40 points. Hawaii was brutal last year, losing 10 of 13 games. Many of those losses were blowouts, but even against the likes of Ohio State and Wisconsin, the margin of defeat was less than 40 points.
The public loves Michigan this year, and it's easy to see why. The Wolverines completely turned things around winning 10 games last season, after going just 5-7 in 2014. While Jim Harbaugh's first year as Michigan's head coach has come with plenty of fan fair, I believe this team is way overrated. It's important to keep in mind that all 10 of last year's wins came against teams that finished the season unranked. They lost at Utah, at home to Michigan State, and they were blown out at home versus Ohio State.
The Warriors will get a chance to work out the kinks a week earlier when they play California in Australia. The Wolverines will not have that luxury, with a new quarterback under center in their first game of the season. Even if everything goes smoothly for Michigan, and they somehow manage to build a big early lead, expect Harbaugh to pull the starters which would likely allow Hawaii to get a back door cover.