Smart Box Series: Coaching Down The Stretch
By Marc Lawrence
The final four weeks of the NFL season are tantamount to the stretch run of a Graded Stakes horse race. It’s where all big races are won and lost.
It’s been said that if you don’t have the horse, you won’t win the race. For the most part this adage is right on the money. More time often than not, though, the ride the horse gets by his jockey is what puts the team in the winner’s circle. It’s why good jockeys are almost always atop quality horses in big races.
The same holds true for head coaches in the NFL. They too are the pilots, guiding their team to the wire, with game plans designed for success or failure… whichever the case may be.
From a profit and loss standpoint, listed below are the BEST and WORST current head coaches and their NFL career ATS records during Games 13-16 – minimum four occurrences (current team in parenthesis). All results are ATS (Against The Spread).
Home: KUBIAK (Hou) 10-4
Away: SMITH M (Atl) 6-2
Favorite: KUBIAK (Hou) 5-1
Dog: McCARTHY (GB) 7-0
Home: GARRETT (Dal), MULARKEY (Jax) 1-3
Away: WHISENHUNT (Az) 0-8
Fav: CARROLL (Sea) 1-6
Dog: WHISENHUNT (Az) 3-6
For a comprehensive listing of every coach in every role – including their absolute BEST and WORST roles – be sure to check out Marc’s complete ‘Coaching Down The Stretch’ article on this site …
- O (TEX at NYY)
- AAA Sports
- June 28, 2016 - 7:05 PM
- Offered at:
- betonline @ Over 8.5 100
AAA Sports warned EVERYONE that HISTORY was going to be made, and they wouldn't disappoint, hitting +795 Iceland over England in the knock-out round! AAA enters the semi-finals on a MIND-BOGGLING 9-3 +$11,513 run w/ their L12 Soccer Tourney selections! GOOD NEWS! Still plenty of time to get in on the exciting action!
1* Free Play OVER Rangers/Yankees.
The visitors hand the ball to ace Cole Hamels (8-1, 2.79 ERA) who comes in off a dominant outing vs. the Reds on Wednesday, allowing just one run off five scattered hits over six innings in the 6-4 win. Hamels’ peripherals are ugly though and it’s now just a matter of time before the baseball gods come back to strike him down as his 1.40 HR/9 and 3.44 BB/9 are both career worsts, while his 4.57 FIP is horrible. Hamels will be opposed by Yanks veteran CC Sabathia, who like his counterpart today, has opened the season strong, but who has also shown some “cracks in the armor.” Sabathia (5-4, 2.20 ERA) is approaching 36 years old and while he’s been superb to this point, like Hamels there’s plenty of tell tale signs that the southpaw is about to take a step back, as his FIP is a full point higher than his ERA and his xFIP (which is considred by most experts as being the best predictor for future ERA) is more than two runs higher. Also note that he’s a rather pedestrian 1-2 with a 3.58 ERA in front of the home town crowd this year. We’re going to recommend a play on the OVER in this one.
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