Smart Box Series: 7 Come 11
By Marc Lawrence
Game 11 of the college football season signals many things.
For teams with six or more wins its one step closer to a probable bowl bid.
Teams languishing below .500 are likely to be home for the holidays.
So it is too for Game 11 non-winners that ended the previous season with 7 or more wins who are playing today off two losses-exact.
Our best advice for these teams is to bend over and kiss it goodbye, as these losers have a better chance of learning Florida election results first rather than enhancing their bowl chances.
That’s because these 7-plus game winners last year who enter Game 11 this year off two losses-exact with a .500 or less record are 17-37-1 ATS since 1980.
Air Force and Houston will assume the role this week. And for what it’s worth, home teams (the Falcons) are 8-22 ATS, while underdogs (the Cougars) are just 3-22 SU and 4-20-1 ATS.
While 7 and 11 are winning numbers in the first roll at a craps table, together they are losers on the college gridiron.
Houston, you’ve got a problem…
- U (SJ at PIT)
- Will Rogers
- May 30, 2016 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ Under 5.5 -130
1* free play on SJS@PIT to go UNDER...
The San Jose Sharks and the Pittsburgh Penguins will meet in the Stanley Cup Finals, and Game 1 goes Saturday. These are the two highest scoring teams in the playoffs, and because of that we see a higher than usual total (5.5). I expect both teams to have a more cautious and conservative approach in the series opener.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Previous History - Pittsburgh won the last meeting by a score of 5-1, but the total went under in each of the previous three meetings. Goals have been few and far between when these teams play in Pittsburgh, going under at a rate of 5-1-1 in the last seven.
2. Martin Jones - The Sharks netminder stopped 24-of-26 shots in a big win in Game 7 of the Western Conference Final, and he's 12-6 with a 2.12 GAA in the post-season. Jones has registered three shutouts in his last seven starts.
3. X-Factor - The under is 8-3-2 in Penguins last 13 Stanley Cup Finals games.
Selection - This is a play on the Sharks@Pens to go UNDER the total (Free)