Smart Box Series: 7 Come 11
By Marc Lawrence
Game 11 of the college football season signals many things.
For teams with six or more wins its one step closer to a probable bowl bid.
Teams languishing below .500 are likely to be home for the holidays.
So it is too for Game 11 non-winners that ended the previous season with 7 or more wins who are playing today off two losses-exact.
Our best advice for these teams is to bend over and kiss it goodbye, as these losers have a better chance of learning Florida election results first rather than enhancing their bowl chances.
That’s because these 7-plus game winners last year who enter Game 11 this year off two losses-exact with a .500 or less record are 17-37-1 ATS since 1980.
Air Force and Houston will assume the role this week. And for what it’s worth, home teams (the Falcons) are 8-22 ATS, while underdogs (the Cougars) are just 3-22 SU and 4-20-1 ATS.
While 7 and 11 are winning numbers in the first roll at a craps table, together they are losers on the college gridiron.
Houston, you’ve got a problem…
- U (SD at WAS)
- April 24, 2014 - 7:05 PM
- Art Aronson
- Offered at:
- bookmaker @ Under 7.5 -110
1* Free Play “under” between Padres and Nationals.
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The last time these starters faced each other it resulted in a 2-1 game. Look for more of the same here. The visiting Padres will send Eric Stults (1-2, 4.35 ERA) to the hill. Stults gave up one run on four hits in six innings of work to earn a win over San Francisco at home in his last outing. Stults went eight innings while giving up just run in getting a win for his team the last time he faced the Nats. The home side will send Jordan Zimmerman (1-1, 3.92 ERA) to the bump to oppose Stults. Zimmerman is coming off a loss to the Cardinals where he gave up four runs (one earned) over seven innings on Saturday. Zimmerman has been outstanding against the Friars despite a 1-2 record, the righty has posted a sparkling 1.95 ERA over 32 innings pitched against San Diego for his career. Keep in mind the “under” is 11-2 in Padres games when they have faced teams with winning records this season. San Diego continues to struggle at the plate and that’s not about to change in facing a quality pitcher in Zimmerman. San Diego has scored four runs just once in its last nine games and gone 11 straight without reaching double digits in hits. The Padres have totaled 16 runs while batting .205 and striking out 56 times in their past seven games. Consider taking the “under.”