Smart Box Series: 7 Come 11
By Marc Lawrence
Game 11 of the college football season signals many things.
For teams with six or more wins its one step closer to a probable bowl bid.
Teams languishing below .500 are likely to be home for the holidays.
So it is too for Game 11 non-winners that ended the previous season with 7 or more wins who are playing today off two losses-exact.
Our best advice for these teams is to bend over and kiss it goodbye, as these losers have a better chance of learning Florida election results first rather than enhancing their bowl chances.
That’s because these 7-plus game winners last year who enter Game 11 this year off two losses-exact with a .500 or less record are 17-37-1 ATS since 1980.
Air Force and Houston will assume the role this week. And for what it’s worth, home teams (the Falcons) are 8-22 ATS, while underdogs (the Cougars) are just 3-22 SU and 4-20-1 ATS.
While 7 and 11 are winning numbers in the first roll at a craps table, together they are losers on the college gridiron.
Houston, you’ve got a problem…
- St. Louis
- AAA Sports
- March 30, 2015 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ -160 St. Louis
1* Free Play Blues.
I think the home side is worth the price of admission in this spot. Both teams have for the most part played extremely well all year, but each is stumbling towards the finish line. In a situation like this, I don't think that home ice advantage can be overlooked and feel that it will ultimately help in deciding the outcome of this contest. After winning seven of nine, the Canucks have dropped two straight, including a 4-3 OT loss to Dallas on Saturday. To say this is a revenge game for the home side would be an understatement I think as Vancouver has won five straight in the series. The Blues will be hungry, they're just 1-2-2 in their last five and have lost four of six at home. I am going to call Vancouver's Eddie Lack and St. Louis' Brian Elliot a "wash" tonight, but note that the Canucks are just 4-5 (-2.1 units) following a loss by four goals or more in overtime this season. The desperation level in which St. Louis plays with tonight will be the difference, consider a second look at the BLUES in this one.
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