Smart Box Series: 7 Come 11
By Marc Lawrence
Game 11 of the college football season signals many things.
For teams with six or more wins its one step closer to a probable bowl bid.
Teams languishing below .500 are likely to be home for the holidays.
So it is too for Game 11 non-winners that ended the previous season with 7 or more wins who are playing today off two losses-exact.
Our best advice for these teams is to bend over and kiss it goodbye, as these losers have a better chance of learning Florida election results first rather than enhancing their bowl chances.
That’s because these 7-plus game winners last year who enter Game 11 this year off two losses-exact with a .500 or less record are 17-37-1 ATS since 1980.
Air Force and Houston will assume the role this week. And for what it’s worth, home teams (the Falcons) are 8-22 ATS, while underdogs (the Cougars) are just 3-22 SU and 4-20-1 ATS.
While 7 and 11 are winning numbers in the first roll at a craps table, together they are losers on the college gridiron.
Houston, you’ve got a problem…
- March 10, 2014 - 9:00 PM
- Nick Parsons
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ -160 Colorado
1* free play Colorado Avalanche.
Parsons was a perfect 2-0 on the Hardwood on Sun. He's now 26-16 (62%) +$7,840 ALL SPORTS L19 days! That includes 14-5 (74%) +$8,050 NBA streak & 11-5 (69%) +$4,936 CBB run! Parsons has taken his reputation of hitting his biggest plays to all new heights, 6-1 (86%) Game Of Week ticket run! Dual 10* "G.O.W.s" go Mon!
I feel the Avs are worth the price here.
Colorado is coming off a 2-1 home loss to the Blues on Saturday and will be eager to take out its frustrations on Winnipeg, a team that it’s already clobbered with a 2-0-1 mark.
The Jets are crashing and burning, Winnipeg has won just seven out of its last 23 games. Most recently it lost three-straight at home including getting hammered 5-3 by Ottawa on Saturday.
At this point, the hole seems pretty deep for Winnipeg as it would have to pass Vancouver, Phoenix and Dallas to earn the final playoff bid in the West.
Note that Winnipeg is just 9-16 (-6 units) following a non-conference game.
And note that Colorado is 8-4 (+3.8 units) after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest.
With a date vs. second-place Chicago in front of the home town crowd on Wednesday, the Avs have even more incentive to earn a victory over a team that they’re “supposed” to beat.
Consider laying the price on the home side.
Good luck, Nick Parsons
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