Smart Box Series: Behind The 8-Ball
By Marc Lawrence
Game 8 of the College Football season is often a crossroads for most teams. Those who have won more games than they have lost are entertaining thoughts of securing a bowl bid. Those who are reeling and going down for the count are disappointed and their actions on the field confirm those feelings.
According to our powerful database, teams playing Game 8 off three consecutive losses are prime candidates to be dropped into a corner pocket and ignored... especially when they take out as road dogs against an opponent off a loss in this situation. That’s because teams in this scenario are a not-so-pretty 36-70-3 ATS since 1980. This week we’ll be queuing-up against Florida International.
Bring them in as a dog of more than 4 points with a defense that allows 31 or more PPG on the season and they scratch for wins, going 10-38-2 ATS.
And faster than you can say break ‘em, if our qualified ‘play-against’ Game 8 road dog of 4 or more points with a wobbly defense off three straight losses is facing a foe that did not lose its last game by 14 or more points to the spread they scratch with alarming regularity, going 1-35 SU and 5-30-1 ATS.
Yes, FIU figures to get “racked” this week. Go ahead, you make the call. 8-ball in the corner pocket for the win!
- O (TB at CHW)
- Ben Burns
- September 26, 2016 - 8:10 PM
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ Over 9 100
How was your weekend? Ben Burns was an AWESOME 12-3 on Fri/Sat/Sun, winning in EVERY (NFL, CFB, CFL,MLB) single sport. Top-rated releases were 6-1. Ben's top NFL plays are on a 51-25 HEATER & his #1 GAME OF THE MONTH goes tonight. Burns will also be testing his PERFECT 7-0 STREAK on totals. You in?
Both these teams were involved in low-scoring games on Sunday. We should see the bats come back to life this evening though. Shields has struggled all season. He got hit hard again last time out, giving up seven runs (six earned) in 5 2/3 innings. He's now 5-18 with a dreafrul 5.98 ERA and 1.624 WHIP on the season. Smyly was better last time out but hasn't been all that much better overall. Through 29 starts, he's got a 4.86 ERA. On the road, that climbs to 5.44 with a 1.465 WHIP. Smyly has been "money" for 'over' bettors on the season, as the 'over' is 18-8-3 when he takes the mound overall, 10-3-2 on the road. Yesterday notwithstanding, Chicago games have been sailing over the total all month long. (Seven of their past eight have finished above the total.) With the Sox hitting considerably better against southpaws than they do against right-handers, this one should have an excellent shot at hitting double-digits.
In addition to having nailed five of this week's six college plays, Burns is now 8-3 the L2 weeks in the "pros." He enters tonight's Monday Night Football game (Saints/Falcons) riding a SUPERB 64-37 ATS streak w/ his L101 NFL selections, dating back to last season. Tonight, he'll be going for EIGHT STRAIGHT O/U WINNERS. Ben also has a big play going at the ballpark tonight. He's enjoying a MASSIVE 2016 and the best is yet to come. Hop on board and ride the wave!
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- NCAA Football Report (Saturday)
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- NCAA Football Report (Friday)
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- NFL Report (Thursday)
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