Smart Box Series: Behind The 8-Ball
By Marc Lawrence
Game 8 of the College Football season is often a crossroads for most teams. Those who have won more games than they have lost are entertaining thoughts of securing a bowl bid. Those who are reeling and going down for the count are disappointed and their actions on the field confirm those feelings.
According to our powerful database, teams playing Game 8 off three consecutive losses are prime candidates to be dropped into a corner pocket and ignored... especially when they take out as road dogs against an opponent off a loss in this situation. That’s because teams in this scenario are a not-so-pretty 36-70-3 ATS since 1980. This week we’ll be queuing-up against Florida International.
Bring them in as a dog of more than 4 points with a defense that allows 31 or more PPG on the season and they scratch for wins, going 10-38-2 ATS.
And faster than you can say break ‘em, if our qualified ‘play-against’ Game 8 road dog of 4 or more points with a wobbly defense off three straight losses is facing a foe that did not lose its last game by 14 or more points to the spread they scratch with alarming regularity, going 1-35 SU and 5-30-1 ATS.
Yes, FIU figures to get “racked” this week. Go ahead, you make the call. 8-ball in the corner pocket for the win!
- St. Louis
- Power Sports
- May 30, 2015 - 7:15 PM
- Offered at:
- sbgglobal @ -142 St. Louis
1* St. Louis (7:15 ET): I fully expect the Cardinals to be a popular side today and for good reason. Not only did they shut LA out Friday (won 3-0), improving to an impressive 19-5 at Busch Stadium, but they also have Michael Wacha starting tonight. The team is a pefect 9-0 w/ Wacha on the hill as he's turned in a 1.87 ERA & 1.040 WHIP.
If the teams on top of the National League have one thing in common, it's that they are all dominant at home & fairly pedestrian on the road. Speaking of "on top," no longer is that where the Dodgers reside when it comes to the NL West as yday's loss allowed the Giants (won 5 straight) to pass them in the standings. Meanwhile, the Cards have also won five straight and come in as my top ranked team in all of MLB entering play Saturday.
After being shut out Friday, facing Wacha here clearly does the Dodgers no favors. There are six pitchers (in all of MLB) currently at +7.2 units or better & Wacha leads the list at +9.5. There has only been one start all season where he's allowed more than 2 ER. Last time out, all he allowed was a single unearned run in a 6-1 win over Kansas City. While you'd like to see his strikeout rate a little higher, the fact is the Dodgers have not scored a run on the road in the last 37 innings and were shutout by Wacha for 13 2/3 innings in the 2013 NLCS.
Los Angeles starter Carlos Frias just allowed 10 runs in four innings his last start, a record for any Dodgers pitcher in that short a timeframe. 1* St. Louis