Smart Box Series: Behind The 8-Ball

Marc Lawrence | Oct 15, 2012 | ARCHIVE

By Marc Lawrence

Game 8 of the College Football season is often a crossroads for most teams. Those who have won more games than they have lost are entertaining thoughts of securing a bowl bid. Those who are reeling and going down for the count are disappointed and their actions on the field confirm those feelings.

According to our powerful database, teams playing Game 8 off three consecutive losses are prime candidates to be dropped into a corner pocket and ignored... especially when they take out as road dogs against an opponent off a loss in this situation. That’s because teams in this scenario are a not-so-pretty 36-70-3 ATS since 1980. This week we’ll be queuing-up against Florida International.

Bring them in as a dog of more than 4 points with a defense that allows 31 or more PPG on the season and they scratch for wins, going 10-38-2 ATS.

And faster than you can say break ‘em, if our qualified ‘play-against’ Game 8 road dog of 4 or more points with a wobbly defense off three straight losses is facing a foe that did not lose its last game by 14 or more points to the spread they scratch with alarming regularity, going 1-35 SU and 5-30-1 ATS.

Yes, FIU figures to get “racked” this week.  Go ahead, you make the call.  8-ball in the corner pocket for the win!