Smart Box Series: Behind The 8-Ball
By Marc Lawrence
Game 8 of the College Football season is often a crossroads for most teams. Those who have won more games than they have lost are entertaining thoughts of securing a bowl bid. Those who are reeling and going down for the count are disappointed and their actions on the field confirm those feelings.
According to our powerful database, teams playing Game 8 off three consecutive losses are prime candidates to be dropped into a corner pocket and ignored... especially when they take out as road dogs against an opponent off a loss in this situation. That’s because teams in this scenario are a not-so-pretty 36-70-3 ATS since 1980. This week we’ll be queuing-up against Florida International.
Bring them in as a dog of more than 4 points with a defense that allows 31 or more PPG on the season and they scratch for wins, going 10-38-2 ATS.
And faster than you can say break ‘em, if our qualified ‘play-against’ Game 8 road dog of 4 or more points with a wobbly defense off three straight losses is facing a foe that did not lose its last game by 14 or more points to the spread they scratch with alarming regularity, going 1-35 SU and 5-30-1 ATS.
Yes, FIU figures to get “racked” this week. Go ahead, you make the call. 8-ball in the corner pocket for the win!
- Power Sports
- May 1, 2016 - 4:05 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ -152 Oakland
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1* Oakland (4:05 ET): Not to make a cliched reference, but Houston, you definitely have a problem. What has gone wrong with the Astros? They are now just 7-17 with an AL-worst -33 run differential. Yesterday's shutout loss (2-0) certainly offers no optimism and I see the club getting swept here in Oakland. As I'll explain, it also doesn't help that they'll be facing a lefty this afternoon.
The southpaw in question in Rich Hill. Oakland's starter comes in with a 2.42 ERA through five starts and just tossed seven scoreless innings of four-hit ball his last time out (with 8 K's and zero walks). Even better though is the fact that Houston is 0-4 this season vs. LH starters. The 'Stros were of course shut out Saturday and so far they've totaled only 11 hits in the series.
Houston's bullpen regression from last year, which was to be expected, is the most easily identifiable problem. The team is 3-11 on the road and a big reason for that is the relievers posting a woeful 7.32 ERA and 1.550 WHIP. Sunday's starter Doug Fister offers little in the way of promise himself as he's 0-3 his L3 starts w/ a 5.60 ERA and 1.528 WHIP. Not only has Fister allowed at least one home run in every start this year, but he walked a career-high seven batters his last turn in the rotation. Right now, Houston simply is not a team worth backing. 1* Oakland