College Conference Championship Games
Cutting Down The Nets
By Marc Lawrence
It’s Championship Week and with it the reward of a ticket to the Big Dance to all the teams who will be cutting down the nets immediately after their conference tournament championship game.
Before knee jerking and playing on teams in title games that on paper look to be the better squad, instead pay close attention to these four College Conference Championship Game moneymaking scenarios.
You could end up padding your NCAA Tournament bankroll. Note: all results are prior to this year’s tourneys and are since 1990…
Having been there and done that goes a long way toward a team’s success in conference title games.
That’s confirmed by the fact that team who won 27 or more games the previous season use that weight to their advantage, going 64-44-3 ATS in these affairs.
Put them up against a No. 4 or lower seed and they improve to 29-3 SU and 23-8-1 ATS, including 16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS if they defeated their lightweight opponent in a most recent contest.
Ain’t No Stopping Us Now
Momentum can carry a team a long way, especially when they arrive to the championship game of their conference tourney.
No. 1 or 2 seeded favorites that enter off three wins in a row by an average win margin of 20 PPG or better are 17-1 SU and 15-3 ATS.
Put them up against an opponent that failed to cover the spread by more than six points in its last game and they zoom right to the head of the class, going 12-0 SU and 12-0 ATS.
Home Teams in Title Games – Use Them, Don’t Abuse Them
Home is where the heart is. It’s also where the money is in championship games. That’s confirmed by the fact that ‘on-board’ teams are 38-15 SU and 29-23-1 ATS.
If these home advantaged teams lost one or fewer games at home on the season they improve to 23-1 SU and 15-8-1 ATS, including 15-1 SU and 12-3-1 ATS if they are hosting a No.1 or No. 2 seeded opponent.
Best of all, these one-loss or less wonders are 4-0 SU and ATS if the opponent did not cover the number in it’s semi-final contest.
Dogs With a Higher Win Percentage Have Little to No Bite
As rare as it may seem, teams with the better record are not always favored in Championship Games. Believe me, when the linemakers install the opponent with an inferior win percentage the favorite in the game he’s knows what he’s doing. That’s because underdogs with a better win percentage are just 17-26-2 ATS in these games.
And if the favorite owns a win percentage of .700 or more, the dog dips to 7-18 ATS.
Better yet, puppies with a better record who arrive to the title game off back-to-back SU and ATS wins against .700 or greater opponents are a lowly 1-9 ATS. Buyer beware.
There you have it, four time-tested Championship Game theories to ponder for Championship Week. Now, get your dancing shoes ready.
- Florida Atlantic
- Matt Fargo
- February 13, 2016 - 6:00 PM
- Offered at:
- betonline @ 1.5 -110 Florida Atlantic
This is a 1* Free Play on Florida Atlantic in college hoops on Saturday
We played against UTEP in its last game Thursday and unfortunately, the Miners were able to win their first road game of the season but I do not expect a repeat of that. They came into the game against Florida International with seven straight road losses to start the season but shot 56.2 percent from the floor including 57.9 percent from long range to take out the Golden Panthers. That was their third straight win and fourth straight cover but now they are favored on the highway for just the third time this season. Florida Atlantic has had one of the toughest schedules around as 17 of its first 25 games have been away from home and the Owls have gone 2-15 in those games. They are 5-3 in their eight home games including a 4-1record in the conference and here is another very winnable game. They are just a game behind UTEP in the C-USA standings and have a much better home/road split yet are catching points and are 2-0 ATS at home this season against teams with a winning record while going back, the Miners are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Play (612) Florida Atlantic Owls
Matt is riding a SOLID 33-21 (63%) NCAA Basketball run and has put up a profitable +$10,540 college hoops season! Going back, he is on a POTENT 88-67-1 College Basketball run and remains RED HOT with a big Saturday card! In total, SEVEN MASSIVE winners are on the slate and the action starts early and goes throughout the night! Do not miss any of the action!