NCAAB - Exposing the Top 25
Most Underrated Top 25 Team - Miami Hurricanes (17-3, 14-4 ATS)
The Hurricanes have now won 10 straight overall, covering the spread in each of those contests. They upset #1 ranked Duke, winning in a blowout by a score of 90-63 at home on January 23, and just this past Saturday they handed the N.C. State Wolfpack their first home loss of the season, scoring the go-ahead bucket with less than a second remaining on the clock in a 79-78 victory.
The toughest stretch of schedule is already behind them, as they don't face any ranked teams until they meet Duke in early March. They face conference rivals UNC at home this Saturday, and they have already defeated North Carolina on the road by a convincing nine point margin earlier this season. It wouldn't be to much of a shock to see the Hurricanes continue to climb in the rankings over the next few weeks.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team - UNLV Runnin' Rebels (17-5, 8-13 ATS)
The Rebels are coming off a loss to Boise State their last time out, and while they are 6-4 SU in their last 10, they have only covered the spread in two of those contests. Star forward Mike Moser was ejected in the loss to the Broncos for a flagrant foul in the first half. The Rebels are fortunate that Moser did not receive a suspension, and he will suit up against Fresno State in their next game. Moser though still doesn't appear to be 100 percent since returning from injury, and he's averaging fewer than eight points per game, and just under seven boards on the season.
UNLV is just two games back of the Lobos in the Mountain West, and they host New Mexico this Saturday.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – N.C. State Wolfpack (16-6, 11-9 ATS)
The Wolfpack lost on their home floor for the first time this season to Miami this Saturday, but perhaps they deserved better. Already banged up and without their starting PG Lorenzo Brown, the Wolfpack battled hard, and took a six point lead to the half. They led 74-69 with just over three minutes to play, and they held the lead until the final second of the game, with the Hurricanes scoring on a tip in with just eight tenths of a second remaining.
With the loss the Wolfpack has fallen out of the AP top 25, and they have a tough game coming up against Duke on Thursday. The rest of the schedule appears to get a little easier for the Wolfpack, and when Brown returns, they could go on another run with eight straight games versus unranked opponents.
- Al McMordie
- September 24, 2016 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ -26 -106 Louisville
Al McMordie DESTROYED the Books last week with his NCAA Football Game of the Month on Louisville over Florida St (a 63-20 BURIAL). If you enjoyed that big-time Blowout, then don't miss Big Al's Championship Club NCAA Favorite Best of the Best 10* as it's out of a 100% PERFECT, 11-0 ATS Angle. Big Al's Hot Streak has banked $55,193 so hop on board
At 8 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Marshall. Last week, we had what was our biggest play of the season-to-date when we took Louisville against Florida State. And the Cardinals rewarded us with a 63-20 blowout win over the Seminoles. Some may look for a letdown on Saturday night by Louisville, but I don’t want to step in front of this freight train. Certainly, it’s true that this is a big number, but we’re going to lay the points with the high-flying Cardinals, who have scored an average of 65 ppg. Meanwhile, Marshall just gave up 65 points last week to Akron. And teams, like Louisville, that average 40 or more points per game on offense, have covered 60% of the time as double-digit favorites vs. non-conference foes that give up at least 30 points per game on defense. Finally, over the past 15 years, home underdogs are an awful 32-77 ATS if their defense gives up at least 22 ppg, and their opponent has won each of its three previous games by 20 or more points. Take Louisville. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. And don't miss my RED-HOT Baseball and Football Winners, as I'm currently on a 41-21 RUN. I've already posted 9 huge Football Winners for College, including 3 of my 10* Championship Club plays. Don't miss out. Or, better yet, join for a week or month today to get all of my award-winning selections.
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