NCAAB - Exposing the Top 25
Most Underrated Top 25 Team - Miami Hurricanes (17-3, 14-4 ATS)
The Hurricanes have now won 10 straight overall, covering the spread in each of those contests. They upset #1 ranked Duke, winning in a blowout by a score of 90-63 at home on January 23, and just this past Saturday they handed the N.C. State Wolfpack their first home loss of the season, scoring the go-ahead bucket with less than a second remaining on the clock in a 79-78 victory.
The toughest stretch of schedule is already behind them, as they don't face any ranked teams until they meet Duke in early March. They face conference rivals UNC at home this Saturday, and they have already defeated North Carolina on the road by a convincing nine point margin earlier this season. It wouldn't be to much of a shock to see the Hurricanes continue to climb in the rankings over the next few weeks.
Most Overrated Top 25 Team - UNLV Runnin' Rebels (17-5, 8-13 ATS)
The Rebels are coming off a loss to Boise State their last time out, and while they are 6-4 SU in their last 10, they have only covered the spread in two of those contests. Star forward Mike Moser was ejected in the loss to the Broncos for a flagrant foul in the first half. The Rebels are fortunate that Moser did not receive a suspension, and he will suit up against Fresno State in their next game. Moser though still doesn't appear to be 100 percent since returning from injury, and he's averaging fewer than eight points per game, and just under seven boards on the season.
UNLV is just two games back of the Lobos in the Mountain West, and they host New Mexico this Saturday.
Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – N.C. State Wolfpack (16-6, 11-9 ATS)
The Wolfpack lost on their home floor for the first time this season to Miami this Saturday, but perhaps they deserved better. Already banged up and without their starting PG Lorenzo Brown, the Wolfpack battled hard, and took a six point lead to the half. They led 74-69 with just over three minutes to play, and they held the lead until the final second of the game, with the Hurricanes scoring on a tip in with just eight tenths of a second remaining.
With the loss the Wolfpack has fallen out of the AP top 25, and they have a tough game coming up against Duke on Thursday. The rest of the schedule appears to get a little easier for the Wolfpack, and when Brown returns, they could go on another run with eight straight games versus unranked opponents.
- Kansas City
- Larry Ness
- September 2, 2015 - 8:10 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ -1.5 105 Kansas City
Ventura will take the mound tonight, in what just may be the most successful stretch of his young career...
My free play is a Run-Line play the KC Royals at 8:10 ET.
Yordano Ventura was projected to be the ace this season for KC but the Opening Day starter has struggled with consistency. He was send to Triple-A Omaha for one day awhile back, before getting recalled after the club learned Jason Vargas would need Tommy John surgery. KC acquired Johnny Cueto around the trade deadline with the hope that he would be the team’s ace down the stretch but so far, Cueto’s performance has left MUCH to be desired. I’d argue that Volquez has been the team’s ace (KC is 19-8, plus-$974 in his starts for MLB’s 5th-best moneyline mark) but Ventura will take the mound tonight, in what just may be the most successful stretch of his young career.
Ventura (9-7, 4.41 ERA) began August by allowing 11 runs in 12 innings over two starts but escaped without a loss. He's since gone 3-0 with a 1.08 ERA and .167 opponent batting average, 32 strikeouts and 12 walks in 25 innings over his last four. Manager Ned Yost told MLB's official website he was impressed with some in-game adjustments Ventura made in last Thursday’s 5-3 home win over Baltimore, after issuing two walks in the first inning. "He was rushing it, he was flying open. His pitch count was up. But then he made an adjustment, slowed his tempo down, and he was down through the zone and got his pitch count manageable. His curveball was excellent, fastball up to 100 mph, changeup good."
Getting the nod for the Tigers in this one will be Randy Wolf (0-2, 2.57 ERA). The 39-year-old gave up four runs (three earned) on nine hits in a loss to Texas in his season debut (August 22), then followed that up by allowing just one run on five hits in a 2-0 loss to the Angels. Although Wolf has pitched in the majors since 1999, he’s made just ONE career start vs the Royals (back in June of 2012), giving up one run in seven innings. Ventura is 3-0 with a 4.56 ERA in four starts and a relief appearance against the Tigers and that record is due mostly to him getting a 10.17 run-support average.
Ventura has won FIVE straight decisions and SIX of his last seven, after struggling over the first half of the season. Maybe by the time the postseason arrives, Ventura will be the team’s ace, after all? Lay the 1 1/2 runs.
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