NFL Prop Shop: Wild Card Weekend
Fresh off a 3-1 Week 17 prop card, Sean is ready to roll with his four best prop bets from this weekend's Wild Card playoff action.
He's targeting all four games, with one play from each; take a look.
Most passing yards
Andy Dalton vs. Matt Schaub: Take Dalton
I'll play the momentum card in this matchup.
Matt Schaub has been scuffing his heels lately, topping out at 275 yards passing over his last five games. Expect the Texans to go run-heavy in this matchup, with Arian Foster stealing the show.
With BenJarvus Green-Ellis banged up, not to mention inconsistent, the Bengals will lean heavily on the arm of Andy Dalton. He and A.J. Green should have a field day against a Texans defense that is deep in a state of regression.
Most rushing yards
Marshawn Lynch vs. Alfred Morris: Take Lynch
Both teams are led by rookie quarterbacks, but the difference here is, the Seahawks rookie pivot is playing his first career playoff game on the road.
What does that have to do with the running backs, you ask? We can expect the Seahawks to relieve some of the pressure on Wilson by handing the rock off to Marshawn Lynch early and often on Sunday. I like the way Lynch's physicality matches up against a less-than-stellar Redskins front line.
Alfred Morris is coming off a career game, but won't reach those same heights on Sunday. This one is on RGIII. Morris won't be held in check all game long, but I don't see him eclipsing the century mark in terms of rushing yardage.
Most pass receptions
T.Y. Hilton vs. Torrey Smith: Take Hilton
Rookie standout T.Y. Hilton has quietly emerged as Andrew Luck's favorite target down the stretch, and I don't think the Ravens oft-exposed secondary will have an answer for his speed on Sunday afternoon.
While the Colts by no means possess a shut-down pass defense, they do have a quality corner to match up with Torrey Smith in Vontae Davis. In fact, Smith should see plenty of double coverage on Sunday, as Indianapolis tries to take away the deep ball from the Baltimore offense.
Minnesota vs. Green Bay: Take Minnesota
We're getting solid value with the Vikings terrific pass rush in this matchup.
Just last Sunday, Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times - albeit in a hostile environment at the Metrodome. When these two teams met right here at Lambeau Field in early December, Rodgers was sacked twice.
Note that Christian Ponder was only sacked once in those two matchups. The story remains the same on Saturday night.
- San Francisco
- Al McMordie
- October 2, 2016 - 4:25 PM
- Offered at:
- sportsinteraction @ 3 -115 San Francisco
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At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our complimentary selection is on the San Francisco 49ers + the points over the Dallas Cowboys. After shutting out the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1, the 49ers’ defense has sprung some leaks, and has given up 46 and 37 points the past two weeks. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the defensively-challenged 49ers, but consider that home underdogs are 63.4% ATS off a loss in which they failed to cover by more than a touchdown, if they gave up 37+ points in that defeat, and their opponent is off a straight-up win. San Francisco has gone 8-2-1 ATS at home vs. Dallas since 1980, while the Cowboys have covered just 48 of 123 on the road off a win, dating back to 1985. Take San Francisco. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. And don't miss any of my red-hot winners, as I'm currently on a 53-27 RUN. Among our plays this week is a 100% Perfect 10 Club NFL play, backed by a 100%, 15-0 ATS System which hasn't lost in 30 years. Join for a week or month today to get all of our award-winning plays.