NFL Prop Shop: Wild Card Weekend
Fresh off a 3-1 Week 17 prop card, Sean is ready to roll with his four best prop bets from this weekend's Wild Card playoff action.
He's targeting all four games, with one play from each; take a look.
Most passing yards
Andy Dalton vs. Matt Schaub: Take Dalton
I'll play the momentum card in this matchup.
Matt Schaub has been scuffing his heels lately, topping out at 275 yards passing over his last five games. Expect the Texans to go run-heavy in this matchup, with Arian Foster stealing the show.
With BenJarvus Green-Ellis banged up, not to mention inconsistent, the Bengals will lean heavily on the arm of Andy Dalton. He and A.J. Green should have a field day against a Texans defense that is deep in a state of regression.
Most rushing yards
Marshawn Lynch vs. Alfred Morris: Take Lynch
Both teams are led by rookie quarterbacks, but the difference here is, the Seahawks rookie pivot is playing his first career playoff game on the road.
What does that have to do with the running backs, you ask? We can expect the Seahawks to relieve some of the pressure on Wilson by handing the rock off to Marshawn Lynch early and often on Sunday. I like the way Lynch's physicality matches up against a less-than-stellar Redskins front line.
Alfred Morris is coming off a career game, but won't reach those same heights on Sunday. This one is on RGIII. Morris won't be held in check all game long, but I don't see him eclipsing the century mark in terms of rushing yardage.
Most pass receptions
T.Y. Hilton vs. Torrey Smith: Take Hilton
Rookie standout T.Y. Hilton has quietly emerged as Andrew Luck's favorite target down the stretch, and I don't think the Ravens oft-exposed secondary will have an answer for his speed on Sunday afternoon.
While the Colts by no means possess a shut-down pass defense, they do have a quality corner to match up with Torrey Smith in Vontae Davis. In fact, Smith should see plenty of double coverage on Sunday, as Indianapolis tries to take away the deep ball from the Baltimore offense.
Minnesota vs. Green Bay: Take Minnesota
We're getting solid value with the Vikings terrific pass rush in this matchup.
Just last Sunday, Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times - albeit in a hostile environment at the Metrodome. When these two teams met right here at Lambeau Field in early December, Rodgers was sacked twice.
Note that Christian Ponder was only sacked once in those two matchups. The story remains the same on Saturday night.
- March 11, 2014 - 8:00 PM
- Ben Burns
- Offered at:
- williamhill @ -3.5 -110 Memphis
This is a 1-Star Free Play on Memphis.
After cleaning up in January & February, Ben Burns has taken it to whole new level in March.
Ben has won nine of 10 days this month & is not slowing down.
On a 35-13 streak in the NBA, he won w/ Portland last game after successfully playing against in the previous one.
Here, he looks at today's game @ Memphis.
I won with the Blazers last game. Despite losing in OT, they eked out a cover at Houston. Their previous game also resulted in a close loss. In that game (at Dallas) I'd successfully played against the Blazers.
Off those back-to-back difficult SU losses, I believe the Blazers may struggle here.
The well-rested Grizzlies, who are 8-4 ATS when playing with two day's rest, have won four of their last five games, covering five of their last six.
Going back a little further finds Memphis at 9-3 SU its last 12 games; all nine victories came by a minimum of five points.
The Grizzlies have also beaten the Blazers four straight times. This season's lone previous meeting resulted in a 17-point Memphis win, at Portland.
While the Blazers are now 3-6 ATS (1-8 SU!) their last nine against teams with a winning record, the Grizzlies are 7-2 ATS (6-3 SU) their last nine against winning teams. If the line stays at -4 or less, consider laying the points with Memphis.
WHITE HOT Ben Burns WON AGAIN Monday. He'd finish the day at 4-1, highlighted by a PERFECT 4-0 SWEEP on the hardwood. That brings Burns to a BLISTERING 19-8 the past five days, in all sports. No surprise there. Through the first 10 days of March, Ben is now 35-18 (+$12,810), producing profits on nine of those days. Since early Feb, he's now 84-48 (+26.7K) and since mid-January, he's now an EPIC 127-73 ( $37,867) over his last 200 picks. HUGE Tuesday card. Hop on board!