NFL Prop Shop: Wild Card Weekend
Fresh off a 3-1 Week 17 prop card, Sean is ready to roll with his four best prop bets from this weekend's Wild Card playoff action.
He's targeting all four games, with one play from each; take a look.
Most passing yards
Andy Dalton vs. Matt Schaub: Take Dalton
I'll play the momentum card in this matchup.
Matt Schaub has been scuffing his heels lately, topping out at 275 yards passing over his last five games. Expect the Texans to go run-heavy in this matchup, with Arian Foster stealing the show.
With BenJarvus Green-Ellis banged up, not to mention inconsistent, the Bengals will lean heavily on the arm of Andy Dalton. He and A.J. Green should have a field day against a Texans defense that is deep in a state of regression.
Most rushing yards
Marshawn Lynch vs. Alfred Morris: Take Lynch
Both teams are led by rookie quarterbacks, but the difference here is, the Seahawks rookie pivot is playing his first career playoff game on the road.
What does that have to do with the running backs, you ask? We can expect the Seahawks to relieve some of the pressure on Wilson by handing the rock off to Marshawn Lynch early and often on Sunday. I like the way Lynch's physicality matches up against a less-than-stellar Redskins front line.
Alfred Morris is coming off a career game, but won't reach those same heights on Sunday. This one is on RGIII. Morris won't be held in check all game long, but I don't see him eclipsing the century mark in terms of rushing yardage.
Most pass receptions
T.Y. Hilton vs. Torrey Smith: Take Hilton
Rookie standout T.Y. Hilton has quietly emerged as Andrew Luck's favorite target down the stretch, and I don't think the Ravens oft-exposed secondary will have an answer for his speed on Sunday afternoon.
While the Colts by no means possess a shut-down pass defense, they do have a quality corner to match up with Torrey Smith in Vontae Davis. In fact, Smith should see plenty of double coverage on Sunday, as Indianapolis tries to take away the deep ball from the Baltimore offense.
Minnesota vs. Green Bay: Take Minnesota
We're getting solid value with the Vikings terrific pass rush in this matchup.
Just last Sunday, Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times - albeit in a hostile environment at the Metrodome. When these two teams met right here at Lambeau Field in early December, Rodgers was sacked twice.
Note that Christian Ponder was only sacked once in those two matchups. The story remains the same on Saturday night.
- April 17, 2014 - 7:05 PM
- Matt Fargo
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ -103 Pittsburgh
Fargo is coming off a PERFECT 4-0 SWEEP on Wednesday including MLB Winners on the +140 Indians and +130 Nationals! He has been playing with house money in baseball since opening night and overall he is a BLISTERING +$9,799 in profits YTD with every play being an underdog! The WINING starts EARLY for Thursday so do not miss out! Guaranteed!
The Brewers have gotten off to a great start this season as they are 11-4 which is the bet record in baseball. They had won nine straight before losing two games against the Cardinals but they were able to grab the series finale yesterday and now hit the road where they are a perfect 6-0 and that comes to an end here. The Pirates have been average at 7-8 including losses in five of their last six games but I expect them to rebound at home following a lengthy roadtrip. Pittsburgh sends Edinson Volquez to the hill and he is coming off a very impressive start to the season where he has allowed just two runs on seven hits in 12 innings and he did it in just 174 pitches so his command has been spot on. He has not lived up to his career potential and the Dodgers shipped him off last year which makes this his fifth team in five years which adds to our value here. The Brewers are off to great start and they hope Yovani Gallardo can keep it going and he has been nearly untouchable as he has allowed two runs in 18.2 innings through his first three starts. This is the time to go against that though and while he won the first meeting between these two, I expect a reversal here. The Pirates are 37-16 in their last 53 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Play (958) Pittsburgh Pirates