NFL Prop Shop: Wild Card Weekend
Fresh off a 3-1 Week 17 prop card, Sean is ready to roll with his four best prop bets from this weekend's Wild Card playoff action.
He's targeting all four games, with one play from each; take a look.
Most passing yards
Andy Dalton vs. Matt Schaub: Take Dalton
I'll play the momentum card in this matchup.
Matt Schaub has been scuffing his heels lately, topping out at 275 yards passing over his last five games. Expect the Texans to go run-heavy in this matchup, with Arian Foster stealing the show.
With BenJarvus Green-Ellis banged up, not to mention inconsistent, the Bengals will lean heavily on the arm of Andy Dalton. He and A.J. Green should have a field day against a Texans defense that is deep in a state of regression.
Most rushing yards
Marshawn Lynch vs. Alfred Morris: Take Lynch
Both teams are led by rookie quarterbacks, but the difference here is, the Seahawks rookie pivot is playing his first career playoff game on the road.
What does that have to do with the running backs, you ask? We can expect the Seahawks to relieve some of the pressure on Wilson by handing the rock off to Marshawn Lynch early and often on Sunday. I like the way Lynch's physicality matches up against a less-than-stellar Redskins front line.
Alfred Morris is coming off a career game, but won't reach those same heights on Sunday. This one is on RGIII. Morris won't be held in check all game long, but I don't see him eclipsing the century mark in terms of rushing yardage.
Most pass receptions
T.Y. Hilton vs. Torrey Smith: Take Hilton
Rookie standout T.Y. Hilton has quietly emerged as Andrew Luck's favorite target down the stretch, and I don't think the Ravens oft-exposed secondary will have an answer for his speed on Sunday afternoon.
While the Colts by no means possess a shut-down pass defense, they do have a quality corner to match up with Torrey Smith in Vontae Davis. In fact, Smith should see plenty of double coverage on Sunday, as Indianapolis tries to take away the deep ball from the Baltimore offense.
Minnesota vs. Green Bay: Take Minnesota
We're getting solid value with the Vikings terrific pass rush in this matchup.
Just last Sunday, Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times - albeit in a hostile environment at the Metrodome. When these two teams met right here at Lambeau Field in early December, Rodgers was sacked twice.
Note that Christian Ponder was only sacked once in those two matchups. The story remains the same on Saturday night.
- New Orleans
- AAA Sports
- October 30, 2016 - 1:00 PM
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ 3 -111 New Orleans
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1* Free Play New Orleans Saints.
REASONING: We’ve used Seattle as a “free play selection” the past two weeks, but this Sunday we’re going to go against the struggling Seahawks’ offense and instead back the much hungrier home side. Seattle’s offense looked atrocious in its 6-6 Sunday Night tie with Arizona last week. The Seahawks run game has stalled and QB Russell Wilson still isn’t back to 100% health with his ankle injury. New Orleans on the other hand comes in ranked among the leaders in every offensive statistical category. At 3-4, the Saints still have a shot at the division title, but at 2-5, the odds would obviously be stacked against them. It’s a brutal part of the scheudle for the Seahawks, who have Buffalo visit next weekend, followed by a trip to New England. Note that Seattle is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against the NFC South, while New Orleans is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog, including 3-0 ATS this season. Consider a second look at New Orleans in Week 8.