NFL Prop Shop: Week 11
After a disappointing 1-3 showing last week, we're now 23-17 inside the Prop Shop this season.
Time to get some of that back in Week 11; here are four picks to click on Sunday.
Most passing yards
Aaron Rodgers vs. Matthew Stafford: Take Rodgers
Even with a depleted receiving corps, I think we'll see Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense shine coming out of the bye week.
Of course, that's not a stretch when you consider how banged-up the Lions are in the secondary. Just last week they allowed a struggling Christian Ponder to throw for 221 yards and two touchdowns in a double-digit loss to the Vikings.
Matt Stafford has been piling up the passing yardage, but the Lions will have to do something to keep the Packers offense off the field on Sunday, and that should mean a healthy dose of their ground game.
Mark Sanchez vs. Sam Bradford: Take Bradford
Mark Sanchez continues to take a lot of heat from the growing number of Jets critics. He hasn't responded well to adversity in the past, and he's admittedly in a tough spot with an extremely weak supporting cast around him. This doesn't look like an ideal bounce-back spot against an aggressive and underrated Rams defense.
Sam Bradford has thrown for over 200 yards in four straight games, and has his favorite target back in the fold in Danny Amendola. There's little reason to expect a slowdown from Bradford against a struggling Jets secondary.
Most rushing yards
LeSean McCoy vs. Alfred Morris: Take McCoy
With Michael Vick sidelined, you have to think that Andy Reid will finally give in and hand Shady McCoy a heavier workload on Sunday afternoon. The explosive back is in excellent form having gained 201 yards on only 35 carries over the last two weeks.
Redskins rookie RB Alfred Morris has been terrific at times this season, but has sputtered lately, gaining only 135 yards on the ground over his last two games. The Eagles defense should come to play this week, and I'm confident in their ability to bottle up Morris.
Most pass receptions
A.J. Green vs. Dwayne Bowe: Take Green
The Chiefs offense is stuck in neutral, and that has a lot to do with the ineffectiveness of QB Matt Cassel.
Dwayne Bowe has suffered as a result, catching four passes or less in three of his last four games. To make matters worse, he's been limited in practice due to a thigh injury this week, so I'm not counting on a breakout performance on Sunday.
A.J. Green continues to be a steady contributor in the Bengals offense, hauling in at least seven catches in six of nine games this season. He has 27 catches in four road games, and should continue his assault at Arrowhead Stadium this week.
- Power Sports
- August 27, 2016 - 7:10 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ -161 Boston
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1* Boston (7:10 ET): I'm just not sure that I buy into this late season Royals' resurgence. A 6-3 win last night at Fenway Park does make it 11 wins in the 12 last games for the two-time defending AL pennant winners. But they were outhit 15-9 in the victory. Then there's the matter that despite being six games over .500 for the year, they've actually been outscored by 19 runs. That's a win expectancy of 62, a five-game difference from their actual record. Their road record is still 27-40, which is third worst among AL teams. I'm taking Boston to bounce back Saturday night.
The Red Sox have the best run differential in the entire American League at +116. No other team has outscored its opponents by more than 100 runs. This is largely due to having the #1 offense in the game (692 runs scored). For the sake of comparison, the Royals have scored only 507 runs this year, which is actually the fewest among AL clubs.
The price has come way down on Boston since the line opened. Speaking of "price," it will be David going for the Sox tonight. He's won his L3 starts w/ a 1.64 ERA and 0.864 WHIP. On Monday, he shut Tampa Bay out for eight innings, allowing only two hits. He's opposed by Danny Duffy, who I suspect is the driving force behind the line move. The Royals have won each of his last 11 starts. But he hasn't faced an offense quite like this one (Red Sox average 6.0 rpg at home). Off three consecutive losses (as they are here), the Red Sox are 7-1 this season. 1* Boston