NFL Prop Shop: Week 11
After a disappointing 1-3 showing last week, we're now 23-17 inside the Prop Shop this season.
Time to get some of that back in Week 11; here are four picks to click on Sunday.
Most passing yards
Aaron Rodgers vs. Matthew Stafford: Take Rodgers
Even with a depleted receiving corps, I think we'll see Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense shine coming out of the bye week.
Of course, that's not a stretch when you consider how banged-up the Lions are in the secondary. Just last week they allowed a struggling Christian Ponder to throw for 221 yards and two touchdowns in a double-digit loss to the Vikings.
Matt Stafford has been piling up the passing yardage, but the Lions will have to do something to keep the Packers offense off the field on Sunday, and that should mean a healthy dose of their ground game.
Mark Sanchez vs. Sam Bradford: Take Bradford
Mark Sanchez continues to take a lot of heat from the growing number of Jets critics. He hasn't responded well to adversity in the past, and he's admittedly in a tough spot with an extremely weak supporting cast around him. This doesn't look like an ideal bounce-back spot against an aggressive and underrated Rams defense.
Sam Bradford has thrown for over 200 yards in four straight games, and has his favorite target back in the fold in Danny Amendola. There's little reason to expect a slowdown from Bradford against a struggling Jets secondary.
Most rushing yards
LeSean McCoy vs. Alfred Morris: Take McCoy
With Michael Vick sidelined, you have to think that Andy Reid will finally give in and hand Shady McCoy a heavier workload on Sunday afternoon. The explosive back is in excellent form having gained 201 yards on only 35 carries over the last two weeks.
Redskins rookie RB Alfred Morris has been terrific at times this season, but has sputtered lately, gaining only 135 yards on the ground over his last two games. The Eagles defense should come to play this week, and I'm confident in their ability to bottle up Morris.
Most pass receptions
A.J. Green vs. Dwayne Bowe: Take Green
The Chiefs offense is stuck in neutral, and that has a lot to do with the ineffectiveness of QB Matt Cassel.
Dwayne Bowe has suffered as a result, catching four passes or less in three of his last four games. To make matters worse, he's been limited in practice due to a thigh injury this week, so I'm not counting on a breakout performance on Sunday.
A.J. Green continues to be a steady contributor in the Bengals offense, hauling in at least seven catches in six of nine games this season. He has 27 catches in four road games, and should continue his assault at Arrowhead Stadium this week.
- Power Sports
- April 30, 2016 - 7:05 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ -141 Baltimore
1* Baltimore (7:05 ET): The White Sox arrived at Camden Yards Thursday w/ the best record in baseball and a pitching staff that was on fire. Two days & 16 runs allowed later, they now can do no better than a split in this four-game set. Buck Showalter is the Bruce Arians of MLB in the sense that his teams always seem to overachieve. Take the O's.
Mat Latos has been an incredible story thus far for Chicago. He's 4-0 in four starts w/ a 0.74 ERA and 0.822 WHIP. That's a better ERA than teammate Chris Sale! To say this is unexpected would be a mild understatement as Latos went 4-10 last year w/ a career worst 4.95 ERA, playing for three different ballclubs. As good as he's looked to this point, I think it's fair to say that regression is coming. Thus far, Latos has yet to face a top 10 offense in runs scored. The Baltimore lineup he goes up against tonight is averaging nearly five full runs per game at home while batting almost .300. Note that Latos has been extremely fortunate to this point w/ a .969 strand rate.
Camden Yards has been quite kind to the home team so far in 2016 as the Orioles' record here is now 9-1. They are doubling up opponents in the runs scored department (4.8 to 2.4) following yday's 6-3 victory. The White Sox are just 4-12 their last 16 games played here in Baltimore. Tonight's starter for the O's is Kevin Gausman and he looked great in his first start of the season, which took place Monday, as he allowed just one run and three hits in 5 IP. Unfortunately, his team lost the game (2-0 to the Rays) as they ran into Chris Archer. I lean to the home team yet again in this early season battle of division leaders. 1* Baltimore