NFL Prop Shop: Week 11
After a disappointing 1-3 showing last week, we're now 23-17 inside the Prop Shop this season.
Time to get some of that back in Week 11; here are four picks to click on Sunday.
Most passing yards
Aaron Rodgers vs. Matthew Stafford: Take Rodgers
Even with a depleted receiving corps, I think we'll see Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense shine coming out of the bye week.
Of course, that's not a stretch when you consider how banged-up the Lions are in the secondary. Just last week they allowed a struggling Christian Ponder to throw for 221 yards and two touchdowns in a double-digit loss to the Vikings.
Matt Stafford has been piling up the passing yardage, but the Lions will have to do something to keep the Packers offense off the field on Sunday, and that should mean a healthy dose of their ground game.
Mark Sanchez vs. Sam Bradford: Take Bradford
Mark Sanchez continues to take a lot of heat from the growing number of Jets critics. He hasn't responded well to adversity in the past, and he's admittedly in a tough spot with an extremely weak supporting cast around him. This doesn't look like an ideal bounce-back spot against an aggressive and underrated Rams defense.
Sam Bradford has thrown for over 200 yards in four straight games, and has his favorite target back in the fold in Danny Amendola. There's little reason to expect a slowdown from Bradford against a struggling Jets secondary.
Most rushing yards
LeSean McCoy vs. Alfred Morris: Take McCoy
With Michael Vick sidelined, you have to think that Andy Reid will finally give in and hand Shady McCoy a heavier workload on Sunday afternoon. The explosive back is in excellent form having gained 201 yards on only 35 carries over the last two weeks.
Redskins rookie RB Alfred Morris has been terrific at times this season, but has sputtered lately, gaining only 135 yards on the ground over his last two games. The Eagles defense should come to play this week, and I'm confident in their ability to bottle up Morris.
Most pass receptions
A.J. Green vs. Dwayne Bowe: Take Green
The Chiefs offense is stuck in neutral, and that has a lot to do with the ineffectiveness of QB Matt Cassel.
Dwayne Bowe has suffered as a result, catching four passes or less in three of his last four games. To make matters worse, he's been limited in practice due to a thigh injury this week, so I'm not counting on a breakout performance on Sunday.
A.J. Green continues to be a steady contributor in the Bengals offense, hauling in at least seven catches in six of nine games this season. He has 27 catches in four road games, and should continue his assault at Arrowhead Stadium this week.
- Power Sports
- December 7, 2016 - 7:30 PM
- Offered at:
- betonline @ 100 Minnesota
1* Minnesota (7:35 ET): Though only 4th in their own division (Central), I actually have the Wild rated as the top team in the Western Conference right now. After concluding a three-game trek though Western Canada w/ a 2-1 win over Edmonton on Sunday, I believe the team has been severely mispriced as they get set to hit the other end of the country
Ironically, Toronto also just concluded a three-game trip through Western Canada. Like the Wild, they beat Edmonton, but lost to Vancouver and Calgary. Unlike the Wild, the Leafs' trip started in Edmonton and worked its way West. Though 10-9-5 overall, Toronto still finds itself in last place in the division as the Atlantic is shaping up to be quite challenging this year. While they've been far better at home than on the road, the Leafs still don't deserve to be the ML favorites in this matchup. They are just 5-11 SU playing w/ three days rest by the way. They are 28th in goals allowed plus were shutout in Calgary last week. The goaltending they'll face here is far stiffer.
What I like about Minnesota is the fact they are 2nd in the league in goals allowed and first in save percentage. Paced by Devan Dubnyk (league leader at .948), the Wild have outscored opponents so far by 15 goals. Dubnyk already has four shutouts and his GAA is 1.63. It's a massive edge for him over Toronto's Frederik Andersen. The Wild have won all five meetings with the Maple Leafs the last three seasons, including a 3-2 home win back in October. Great value here on the better team. 1* Minnesota