Free Pick: Seattle vs. Buffalo NFL Sunday
This Sunday afternoon at the Rodgers Centre in Toronto, the 8-5 Seattle Seahawks will try and win their third game in a row when they face off against the Buffalo Bills, who find themselves riding out the string at 5-8. Sunday’s game is slated to get underway at 4:05 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast locally on CBS.
Seattle is riding high after demolishing Arizona 58-0 this past Sunday while setting a franchise record for most points scored. It improved to 9-4 against the spread this season and the total has now gone “over” in its last three games.
Buffalo’s chances at a winning season officially came to an end with last Sunday’s 15-12 loss to St. Louis as a 3.5-point favorite at home. It is now 6-7 ATS overall and 3-3 ATS at home this season. The total has stayed “under” in four of its last six games
The Seahawks have notoriously struggled on the road in the past, and this season has been no exception with a 2-5 SU record and 3-4 record ATS. Fortunately, this game will be played in the comfort of a dome, which is much better than playing outside in Buffalo in December. The added motivation of trailing San Francisco in the NFC West Division race by just a game and a half should have Seattle primed for another strong showing.
If they are going to get by the Bills this Sunday, the Seahawks will need another solid performance from rookie quarterback Russell Wilson. Overall, he has completed 63 percent of his throws for 2,492 yards and 20 touchdowns while adding another 310 yards with his legs. Seattle’s passing offense is still ranked near the bottom of the league in total yards per game, but it is ranked fourth in rushing the ball and 15th in scoring.
Buffalo has now lost four of its last six games SU to fall out of contention in the AFC. The same old problems have plagued this team down the stretch, especially with an offense that has been woefully inconsistent from one week to the next. The Bills scored 31 points in a loss to New England in Week 10 and 34 points against Jacksonville two weeks ago, but they managed a combined 53 points in their other four games since a Week 8 bye.
The Bills have done a good job at running the ball this season with an average of 141.2 yards a game, but the loss of Fred Jackson for most likely the remainder of the season could put a serious dent in this production. Look for CJ Spiller to get the bulk of the carries against Seattle after already rushing for 944 yards on 144 attempts this season. The pressure will also be dialed up on a Bills’ defense that is ranked 28th in the NFL in points allowed.
Odds and Trends by 5Dimes
Pointspread: Seattle -4
Total Line: 42.5
The Seahawks are 6-2 ATS on turf this season and the total has gone over in five of its last six games. The Bills are now 6-16 SU in their last 22 games and the total has gone over in 10 of their last 16 games. These two last met in September of 2008 with Buffalo rolling to a 34-10 victory as a one-point home favorite. The total went over the 37.5-point line.
It is always hard to pick the Seahawks on the road, especially when they are giving points, but there are too many things riding in their favor in this game. It really is not a home game for Buffalo as it loses a major advantage playing this game indoors. It is also a must-win scenario for Seattle to keep their playoff hopes alive, which really tips the scales in their favor.
Take #321 Seattle (-4) over Buffalo (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. CBS)
- March 12, 2014 - 10:00 PM
- Nick Parsons
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ 8.5 -108 Cleveland
1* free play Cleveland Cavaliers.
Editors Note: Parsons enters Wed. on a number of jaw-dropping runs of greatness. First and foremost is his incredible streak of domination on the NBA hardwood! Nick is on a longterm 15-5 +$9,050 NBA run!
Both teams are stumbling right now. The Suns have gone 3-6 their last nine to fall out of the playoff picture.
Brutal defensive play is to blame. Phoenix has given up a ghastly 112.1 PPG while letting opponents shoot 52.5 percent during the slide. Eric Bledsoe returns to the line-up (off the bench according to coach Jeff Hornaceck); Bledsoe is a spark-plug that the Suns desperately need to start producing, but I think it’s safe to say that he’ll be far from 100% game shape in his first outing back.
Cleveland has some work ahead of it as well as it sits five games behind Atlanta for the final playoff spot in the East. This is a critical stretch for the Cavs, with games at Golden State and the Clippers before then returning home to play Miami, OKC and Houston.
"We need to play well, obviously, with where we're sitting," Cleveland coach Mike Brown assessed last night. "So it'll be good to get out and get on the road and try to come together and get some wins. I'm looking forward to it; I think the guys are too."
The Cavs have lost four straight, both SU and ATS. They’ve been off since Saturday and also play with the added revenge motivational factor, as the Suns won 99-90 in Cleveland on January 26th.
It was the way the Cavaliers lost that contest as well which won’t be sitting well with them; Cleveland led by as many as 20 points before crashing and burning with a six-point third quarter (note that Cleveland is 9-7 ATS in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent this year).
On the injury front, note that Phoenix will be without the services of starting foward PJ Tucker because of a one game suspension.
The Suns are coming off back-to-back SU road losses, but did manage to cover the spread in each of those contests. However, vs. a highly motivated, revenge minded, rested, focused and frankly desperate Cavs team, I feel this is simply too many points to be giving up here.
Consider a second look at Cleveland in this one.
Good luck, Nick Parsons