Projected BCS matchups and pointspreads: Week 12
Kansas St. Wildcats vs. Oregon Ducks
Projected line: Oregon -6
After being on the outside looking in, Kansas St. moved into the BCS Championship and it can thank Texas A&M for that. The Wildcats season is far from over however as they still have a tough test at Baylor and then close at home against Texas. Oregon let California hang around for a little bit last week before pulling away for another blowout win. The Ducks do not look like they can be stopped on offense and despite a strong Kansas St. defense, Oregon will be the favorite but not as big as everyone would presume.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Projected line: Oklahoma -7
The Fiesta Bowl will grab Oklahoma, replacing Kansas St., as the Sooners will be the second highest ranked Big XII team. The Sooners are still not out of the woods with three tough games left. The second choice is a bit less clear but it would be hard not to take the Aggies which are coming off the big upset of Alabama and are playing as good as anyone right now. Texas A&M likely is not going to be in the SEC Championship so the automatic bid to the Sugar Bowl won't happen. This will be a rematch from the Big XII days and one that Oklahoma had dominated.
Louisville Cardinals vs. Florida St. Seminoles
Projected line: Florida St. -10
The Orange Bowl remains the same as Florida St. still has the inside track to the ACC Championship thanks to its come-from-behind win at Virginia Tech on Thursday. The Seminoles should have no problem taking out the ACC Coastal opponent as that division is weak. Louisville was handed its first loss of the season at Syracuse which showed its 9-0 record was in fact fraudulent. The Cardinals are still ranked higher than Rutgers and their game there on November 29th will decide the Big East Conference. No matter who the Florida St. faces, it will be a big favorite as the Big East as a whole is fragile.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Projected line: Notre Dame -5
With Oregon playing for the National Championship, the Rose Bowl would have first shot at grabbing an at-large team and it would no doubt take Notre Dame instead of sticking with tradition and taking a mediocre Pac 12 team. Nebraska will have to contend with Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship but the Huskers are playing well with four straight wins and two more likely wins to end the regular season. Notre Dame will get the nod at the betting window based on name and the fact that it will likely be undefeated with only USC remaining as the last obstacle.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Clemson Tigers
Projected line: Alabama -12
Alabama's BCS Championship hopes took a major hit with its loss to Texas A&M and it will now need a lot of help to get back into the championship talks. The Crimson Tide are still considered the best team in the country by many but a loss is a loss and they are going to have to settle with the Sugar Bowl. Because the SEC cannot have the second spot, Clemson falls into place here as the next highest ranked team and the Tigers are a good draw in these parts. They have won six straight games, all by 14 or more points yet they are still going to be a big underdog against Alabama.
- Brandon Shively
- August 26, 2016 - 10:00 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ 20 -110 Hawaii
This is a 1* Free Pick on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
This game is being played on a neutral in Australia. I don’t think that this neutral playing site will benefit either team so I am going to exploit the head to head matchup here. Cal is a team that went 9-27 combined from 2012 to 2014 before winning 8 games last year, behind a QB (Goff) that got drafted in the 1st round of the NFL Draft. This is also a Cal team that has only been a favorite away from home 3 times in the last 4 years. Cal lost their top 6 receivers and 5 of their top 6 tacklers. While Cal will have a reliable QB in Davis Webb from Texas Tech, he doesn’t have a lot of talent around him and it will take time for Webb to get in sync with these new receivers. I will also note that Cal has a new offensive coordinator. While it’s still the ‘Air Raid’ offense, there are new schemes being installed and it will take time before the Bears are putting up 40+ points. With only 3 seniors starting on defense, I like Hawaii to score enough points to cover this spread.
Hawaii is 5-0 ATS in Week 1 the last five years and are undervalued in this spot. There's a new Head Coach for Hawaii and he used to play for the Rainbow Warriors. Nick Rolovich was the QB for Hawaii and will have former teammate Brian SMith as the offensive coordinator and associate head coach. I think these two guys are going to gel great and Hawaii can only get better as a team. Rolovich was the OC at Nevada the last 4 years. Rolovich came to Nevada after a wildly productive four-year run at Hawaii, where he directed one of the top passing offenses in the nation. He was the quarterbacks coach all four seasons and spent the last two years as the Warriors' offensive coordinator.In Rolovich’s first game with Nevada in 2012, Rolovich beat Cal, 31-24, as a 12 point road dog, so their is some ‘deja vu’ here and a great storyline.
Hawaii returns 9 players on offense (73 offensive line starts). Senior QB Woolsey should be able to lead the team on some scores against this soft Cal defense. While Hawaii’s weakness is their secondary, the Cal Bears passing game is not going to be up to full speed yet. I think Hawaii will be improved offensively from last year and Cal will struggle to score, especially touchdowns and the defense is not good enough to offset the offensive regression.
Special Teams: Senior utility kicker Sanchez was one of only five kickers nationally to handle all duties. As a field goal kicker, he converted 8-of-11 attempts, including two from 47 yards and a long of 50 to earn all-Mountain West Honorable Mention. So we have a quality FG kicker on our side here as well. While we are looking for touchdowns, all scores will help and this game should have it’s fair share of field goal opportunities. (1* Hawaii plus the points)
Brandon Shively is a documented *$47,860 in profits since 2013 in NFL/CFB combined!* Brandon torched the College Football books in the ‘14-’15 season hitting a documented 67.5% of his picks during the regular season. Football is his strongest sport and looks forward to building your bankroll this season with him on Covers! If you are looking to maximize your profits this football season, Brandon says he will do it for you and you will have a fun time winning while watching your bankroll grow and SMASHING your ‘Book’ all at the same time!