NCAAB - FLYING UNDER THE RADAR
Every once in a while a college team will will quietly fly under the radar, away from the national spotlight, covering the spread game after game, without anyone paying any attention. This year that team might be the Utah Utes. Last night the Utes went into Arizona to play the Wildcats, and despite the fact that Utah had failed to cover the points just once in their last eight games, they were an enormous underdog, getting a whopping 19 points on the road.
Arizona had nearly lost their last game as a double digit favorite at home against Colorado. After a controversial ruling by the officials waved off a game winning bucket for the Buffaloes, the Wildcats went on to win in overtime.
Colorado's coach was not at all happy about the replay ruling: "If it's the wrong call, I'm really, really sick to my stomach," Colorado coach Tad Boyle said, "because we had guys in this locker room that deserved to win that game."
The Wildcat's coach didn't disagree that his team was undeserving of the victory: "We would have gotten what we deserved if we had lost," Arizona coach Sean Miller said.
It should have come as no surprise that the Utes would give Arizona a run for their money, missing a potential game tying shot as time expired, and losing 60-57. While the Wildcats failed to cover for their third consecutive game, the Utes are now an amazing 9-2 ATS this year.
Even more impressive is their record against Pac-12 opponents, going 9-1 ATS in their last 10. They are also a very solid 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 overall.
Needless to say, the Utes have been grossly underrated, and moving forward, it is worth keeping an eye on Utah, as they look like a good bet when getting points against higher profile teams.
Their next game is at home against UCLA, and with the Utes losing back to back games on the road, and the Bruins coming off seven straight wins (none on the road) it sets up for an interesting matchup. The Utes will no doubt be getting a few points, and this appears to be a very winnable game for Utah.
- New Mexico
- Dave Cokin
- October 1, 2016 - 4:00 PM
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ -7.5 -106 New Mexico
This is a 1* free play on Saturday's MWC game between San Jose State and New Mexico.
Kenny Potter's status for this game is uncertain. The San Jose QB was unable to go against Iowa State and he's very iffy as of now for this week's game. He has a leg injury that won't require surgery but if the swelling doesn't subside, he won't be able to play. If that's the case, then it's freshman Josh Love, and the rookie really struggled at Iowa State.
Beyond that, the Spartans have absolutely horrific on defense. They've been outgained by a whopping 547 yards in the losses to Tulsa, Utah and San Jose State. The defensive rushing stats in those games were abysmal, 5.5 yards per carry and all three opponents went run-heavy on San Jose. That will definitely be the case Saturday as New Mexico prefers to run out of their option as much as possible.
I think we're catching a good spot here, as New Mexico has had an extra week to prep and should be extremely motivated after losing two games they really should have won. The bye week should be a real plus coming out of those two tough losses, and New Mexico also has a revenge motive from a poor showing against the Spartans last season.
It looks like a good matchup for the Lobos in terms of strength vs. weakness, and if Porter is unable to play, this is a bargain price in my opinion even with the bump from where it opened on Sunday night. I'll therefore go ahead and lay it right now with New Mexico.
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