WGC - Accenture Match Play - Round Two
Round 1 certainly did not go as planned, for me and for the tournament. A snow delay took out most of the day on Wednesday and then a lengthy delay Thursday morning meant just the first round would only be completed with no second round matches starting until Friday. The delay though halted play in Round 1 with two matches unable to finish. The tournament will try and get back on the scheduled time but not until Saturday when Round 3 and Round 4 will be played back-to-back.
There was not a ton of drama early on. Sergio Garcia won in 20 holes in Match 1 but after that, 11 of the next 13 matches didn't make it past #17 with seven of those decided even before that. The big early upset was Russell Henley defeating Charl Schwartzel 1 up in Match 5. Schwartzel busted a lot of brackets as he was playing arguably the best of anyone in the field but he was 2 down after two, eventually got it back to AS after 11 but then lost the next two holes and could not recover.
The favorites won nine of the first 16 matches which is about the average in this event. It was the second half of the first round matches where the real excitement and drama took place though, namely the number one seeds. Louis Oosthuizen held off Richie Ramsay 2 and 1 but Luke Donald was in a dogfight with Marcel Siem as he was up two holes after the front then lost three straight to fall down one but birdied #13 to get it back to AS. He eventually won with a birdie on 18.
The same fortunes cannot be said about the other number one seeds and the two top ranked players in the world. Rory McIlroy, the overall number one seed, lost to fellow countryman Shane Lowry 1 up. He opened up a two-hole lead after four holes but he lost five holes in an eight-hole stretch and never caught back up, eventually losing on 18. Tiger Woods and Charles Howell III had one of the best matches of the day with no lead greater than one hole until CHIII went two up after #16 and closed Woods out on #17.
It was the first time since 2002 when the top two seeds were eliminated after the first round.
Listed are five Second Round Matchup Best Bets (all for 2 Units):
Match 33: Nicolas Colsaerts +120 over Justin Rose
Colsaerts took advantage of poor play from Bill Haas on Wednesday to take a 3 up lead through eight holes before play was suspended. He parred all eight holes Thursday and easily won 5 and 4. He lost in the first round here last year but won the Volvo Match Play last season. Rose had trouble keeping the lead against K.J. Choi but snuck out a 2 and 1 win. He has advanced past the second round only once in seven previous appearances.
Match 34: Matt Kuchar -105 over Sergio Garcia
Sergio is a great match play player but he had to grind one out Friday against Thongchai Jaidee as his competitor won two of the last three holes to force extra holes but he eventually won after 20 holes. Matt Kuchar had a stress free first round match as it was back and forth early but he won 7, 9,10 and 11 to win going away. Kuchar is now 10-3 in this event and looks to keep the momentum rolling from his run into the semis last year.
Match 35: Tim Clark -110 over Thorbjorn Olesen
Clark pulled away from Adam Scott with wins on #16 and #17 to take the match 2 and 1. Scott missed a very makeable putt on #17 that would have sent the match to the final hole. Clark is a veteran in this event that could make some noise. Olesen defeated Jamie Donaldson 3 and 2 but not a lot can be taken from that as both were rookies coming in. Olesen finished two over through 16 holes so he certainly did not play well.
Match 41: Robert Garrigus +120 over Louis Oosthuizen
I was very impressed with Garrigus as he took out Branden Grace 4 and 3. He won the first three holes, built a five-hole lead and had no pressure on him thanks to six birdies. Now he goes from big favorite to underdog. Oosthuizen won 2 and 1 over Richie Ramsay but it wasn't easy as he was down 2 after #11 before winning four straight holes to close it out. It was more of a Ramsay loss than an Oosthuizen win though.
Match 48: Peter Hanson +125 over Webb Simpson
Simpson won 5 and 4 over David Lynn but he didn't play particularly well. Lynn shot a two over 38 on the front and was four over through #13 before conceding. Simpson had five birdies but also had three bogeys. Hanson was two down at the turn but won five of the first six holes on the back to win 3 and 2 over Thomas Bjorn. Hanson is now 4-1 his last five matches here.
- U (MIN at HOU)
- Power Sports
- May 2, 2016 - 8:10 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ Under 8 -130
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1* Under Twins/Astros (8:10 ET): One year after making their respective jumps in the standings, both the Twins and Astros are struggling in 2016. They each currently reside in last place in their division and have been the two biggest money losers (in terms of net units) in all of MLB at the betting window. Something has to give in this series and while Houston (with Keuchel starting) may look like the attractive option here, I feel more comfortable recommending the Under.
Keuchel is coming off B2B bad starts. He allowed a total of 11 runs (in 12 IP) to Seattle and Texas, but it's important to note that both of those starts occurred on the road. Why is that important to note? Well, as you probably know, Keuchel is a much different (i.e. better) pitcher at home. His WL record here at Minute Maid Park is a perfect 17-0 over his L22 starts (20-2 TSR) and he has a sterling 1.47 ERA to go along with that outstanding record. His last home start saw him deal eight scoreless innings of five-hit ball against Detroit on April 15th. His career ERA (in three starts) vs. Minnesota is 2.30. The bullpen has been a bit worrisome for the Astros this season, but moreso on the road. When it comes to runs allowed, I feel the home team will "do its job" tonight.
As for Minnesota, they will send highy touted prospect Jose Berrios to the bump. His big league debut did not go particularly well, but there was a long weather delay and cold conditions in Cleveland. I think he should fare better here in the friendlier Houston climate. Also, facing an Astros lineup that has scored just one run in three of its previous four games should be a big help as well. Look for a low-scoring game here. 1* Under Twins/Astros