Fights to Avoid Betting at UFC on FOX 28
UFC on FOX 28: Stephens vs. Emmett
Date: February 24
Arena: Bamway Center
City: Orlando, FL
The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is headed back to Orlando, FL for the third time in promotional history with UFC on FOX 28: Stephens vs. Emmett. The 13 fight card is scheduled to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 4:15 p.m. ET. Prelims will continue on FOX at 6 p.m., and the main card will be underway on the same channel at 8 p.m. My Fights to AVOID betting are:
Welterweight bout: Alan Jouban (-270) vs. Ben Saunders (+230)
Gabe's Thoughts: This is a 170 pound matchup between two friends and I see it playing out two ways; either there is a highlight reel finish, or we witness a lackluster three rounds of action where Jouban outpoints Saunders for a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. I think both fighters are capable of finishing the other by T/KO, though I think it is more likely that Jouban would earn a finish via strikes. Saunders, on the other hand, is also capable of winning this fight by submission. If he is able to secure takedowns but fails to find a submission, I could see him pulling off an upset win on the scorecards, as well. I think Jouban should be a -170 betting favorite heading into this bout, so at the current odds, I don’t believe he is worth a play. I do think Saunders holds value at his current offering underdog price of +230, but I cannot confidently back him with my wallet. I can’t blame anyone for taking a shot on Saunders at this price, as he has several route to victory, I just can’t personally trust him with my money, especially when he is fighting a friend of his. For me, and hopefully for you, this is a fight to avoid at the sportsbook this weekend.
Gabe's Call: Jouban by T/KO (strikes, 3:18, round 2)
Gabe's Recommended Play: AVOID
Bantamweight bout: Manny Bermudez (-170) vs. Albert Morales (+150)
Gabe's Thoughts: Bermudez is making his promotional debut in this 135 pound contest against Morales, who is already a veteran of the Octagon and is making a quick turnaround for this contest following a unanimous decision loss to another UFC newcomer in Benito Lopez back in December. I think Bermudez should be a -180 betting favorite in this bout, so at the current odds, I see no value for a play on either side. I favor Bermudez to get his hand raised, however I am not confident about it, as I do not know how big of a factor Octagon jitters will play with him. If he does not secure an early finish, there is a chance that he could experience an adrenaline dump, at which point we would see Morales take over and win the second half of the fight, and potentially secure a late stoppage over the newcomer. To conclude, at the current betting odds, I feel this is a fight that is best left avoided at the sportsbook this Saturday night.
Gabe's Call: Bermudez by Submission (guillotine or triangle choke, 2:13 round 1)
Gabe's Recommended Play: AVOID
Written by Gabe Killian - MMAOddsBreaker
- Power Sports
- March 19, 2019 - 7:00 PM
- Offered at:
- 888sport @ CAR (-134)
1* Carolina (7:05 ET): Two teams from the Metro vying for playoff spots meet here in Raleigh. The Penguins are off B2B disappointing results as they lost to the Blues and Flyers, the latter being particularly painful. It was an overtime loss (so at least they get the "loser's point") that saw the Flyers' two goals come w/ 19 seconds left in regulation and three seconds left in OT. The notion that Pittsburgh will now drop three straight won't be popular, but Carolina is legit and should probably have a better record than it does.
Right now, the Hurricanes are three points back of the Pens for third place in the Metro. Both would be playoff bound, however, as Carolina currently occupies the top Wild Card spot. But moving up to third in your division is huge. Not only does it guarantee a playoff spot (no WC needed!), but it allows allow you to avoid playing either division winner in the 1st round. The Canes have been streaking of late, going 7-2-1 their L10 games.
Carolina has the top shot differential in the league. On average, they outshoot their opponeny by 6.3 shots per game. I was impressed that they were actually able to win a game where they were outshot (Saturday vs. Buffalo), something that they rarely do. This is a team that was definitely "unlucky" early in the season, but they've gone 16-5-1 the L22 games. Pittsburgh won't have Malkin in the lineup tonight as he sustained an upper body injury Sunday vs. the Flyers. Last time these teams faced off, Carolina pulled off an impressive 4-0 shutout (on the road!), led by Curtis McElhinney's 28 saves. They'll win again here. 1* Carolina
Power Sports went 19-9 (68%) in last year's Tournament! Coming off a 2-0 SWEEP Sunday, he enters this year's Big Dance up an ASTONISHING $79,358 w/ ALL NCAAB! Furthermore, he SWEPT THE BOARD Monday, going 3-0!