Projected BCS Matchups and Pointspreads

Matt Fargo | Dec 4, 2013 | ARCHIVE

BCS Championship (BCS 1 vs. BCS 2)

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Florida St. Seminoles

Projected line: Florida St. -10

Ohio St. kept winning and with Baylor and Alabama going down the last two weeks, the Buckeyes are the clear cut favorite to take on Florida St. They were a missed two-point conversion away from getting bumped though and facing Michigan St. in the Big Ten Championship is no sure victory. A tight win there and an Auburn blowout over Missouri may change some things as well. Florida St. is a four-touchdown favorite over Duke in the ACC Championship and no offense to the Blue Devils, but we can pretty much pencil in the Seminoles to play for the championship.

Fiesta Bowl (Big XII 1 vs. At-large 4)

Oklahoma St. Cowboys vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

Projected line: Oklahoma St. -14

This one is simply. If both Oklahoma St. and Northern Illinois win this week, that is the Fiesta Bowl matchup. The Cowboys were off last week and have Oklahoma in their season finale but should they lose, Baylor will get the spot as long as it can win at home against Texas. Northern Illinois jumped ahead of Fresno St. last week but the Bulldogs made things more clear for the Huskies as they lost at San Jose St. thus giving Northern Illinois the ability to control its own destiny.

Orange Bowl (ACC 1 vs. At-large 1)

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Clemson Tigers

Projected line: Alabama -10

With Florida St. still in the BCS Championship, Clemson would take the ACC spot in the Orange Bowl as it would likely honor its contract with the conference. Should Auburn win the SEC Championship, which it is favored to do so, the Tigers would go to the Sugar Bowl and the Orange Bowl will be quick to pick up Alabama with the first at-large choice. Should Auburn lose to Missouri, the latter Tigers would go to the Sugar and Alabama would probably still be taken over Auburn here despite the Tigers win over the Tide.

Rose Bowl (Pac 12 1 vs. Big 10 1 or At-large 3)

Arizona St. Sun Devils vs. Michigan St. Spartans

Projected line: Arizona St. -4

With Ohio St. now projected to be playing for the BCS Championship, the Spartans will head to the Rose Bowl for the first time over two decades. The Spartans though would rather come here as Big Ten Champions so they will not be making it easy for the Buckeyes. The Pac 12 is still wide open as the winner of the Stanford/Arizona St. championship game will head to Pasadena. We go with the Sun Devils here based on they get to play the championship at home and are favored to win although a Stanford upset would not be surprising at all.

Sugar Bowl (SEC 1 vs. At-large 2)

Auburn Tigers vs. Central Florida Knights

Projected line: Auburn -10

The Sugar Bowl would get Central Florida because as an AQ, it has to go somewhere and the Sugar would likely grab the Knights over Northern Illinois because of location. If Auburn defeats Missouri in the SEC Championship, it ends up here although it will be lobbying hard for a spot in the BCS Championship. Should it win, it will be rooting hard for Michigan St. to beat Ohio St. as that game kicks off later in the day. Should Missouri win, it will play in the Sugar as it likely will not be enough to pass Alabama and have a shot in the BCS Championship.