Projected BCS Matchups and Pointspreads
BCS Championship (BCS 1 vs. BCS 2)
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Florida St. Seminoles
Projected line: Florida St. -10
Ohio St. kept winning and with Baylor and Alabama going down the last two weeks, the Buckeyes are the clear cut favorite to take on Florida St. They were a missed two-point conversion away from getting bumped though and facing Michigan St. in the Big Ten Championship is no sure victory. A tight win there and an Auburn blowout over Missouri may change some things as well. Florida St. is a four-touchdown favorite over Duke in the ACC Championship and no offense to the Blue Devils, but we can pretty much pencil in the Seminoles to play for the championship.
Fiesta Bowl (Big XII 1 vs. At-large 4)
Oklahoma St. Cowboys vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
Projected line: Oklahoma St. -14
This one is simply. If both Oklahoma St. and Northern Illinois win this week, that is the Fiesta Bowl matchup. The Cowboys were off last week and have Oklahoma in their season finale but should they lose, Baylor will get the spot as long as it can win at home against Texas. Northern Illinois jumped ahead of Fresno St. last week but the Bulldogs made things more clear for the Huskies as they lost at San Jose St. thus giving Northern Illinois the ability to control its own destiny.
Orange Bowl (ACC 1 vs. At-large 1)
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Clemson Tigers
Projected line: Alabama -10
With Florida St. still in the BCS Championship, Clemson would take the ACC spot in the Orange Bowl as it would likely honor its contract with the conference. Should Auburn win the SEC Championship, which it is favored to do so, the Tigers would go to the Sugar Bowl and the Orange Bowl will be quick to pick up Alabama with the first at-large choice. Should Auburn lose to Missouri, the latter Tigers would go to the Sugar and Alabama would probably still be taken over Auburn here despite the Tigers win over the Tide.
Rose Bowl (Pac 12 1 vs. Big 10 1 or At-large 3)
Arizona St. Sun Devils vs. Michigan St. Spartans
Projected line: Arizona St. -4
With Ohio St. now projected to be playing for the BCS Championship, the Spartans will head to the Rose Bowl for the first time over two decades. The Spartans though would rather come here as Big Ten Champions so they will not be making it easy for the Buckeyes. The Pac 12 is still wide open as the winner of the Stanford/Arizona St. championship game will head to Pasadena. We go with the Sun Devils here based on they get to play the championship at home and are favored to win although a Stanford upset would not be surprising at all.
Sugar Bowl (SEC 1 vs. At-large 2)
Auburn Tigers vs. Central Florida Knights
Projected line: Auburn -10
The Sugar Bowl would get Central Florida because as an AQ, it has to go somewhere and the Sugar would likely grab the Knights over Northern Illinois because of location. If Auburn defeats Missouri in the SEC Championship, it ends up here although it will be lobbying hard for a spot in the BCS Championship. Should it win, it will be rooting hard for Michigan St. to beat Ohio St. as that game kicks off later in the day. Should Missouri win, it will play in the Sugar as it likely will not be enough to pass Alabama and have a shot in the BCS Championship.
- Brandon Shively
- August 26, 2016 - 10:00 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ 20 -110 Hawaii
This is a 1* Free Pick on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
This game is being played on a neutral in Australia. I don’t think that this neutral playing site will benefit either team so I am going to exploit the head to head matchup here. Cal is a team that went 9-27 combined from 2012 to 2014 before winning 8 games last year, behind a QB (Goff) that got drafted in the 1st round of the NFL Draft. This is also a Cal team that has only been a favorite away from home 3 times in the last 4 years. Cal lost their top 6 receivers and 5 of their top 6 tacklers. While Cal will have a reliable QB in Davis Webb from Texas Tech, he doesn’t have a lot of talent around him and it will take time for Webb to get in sync with these new receivers. I will also note that Cal has a new offensive coordinator. While it’s still the ‘Air Raid’ offense, there are new schemes being installed and it will take time before the Bears are putting up 40+ points. With only 3 seniors starting on defense, I like Hawaii to score enough points to cover this spread.
Hawaii is 5-0 ATS in Week 1 the last five years and are undervalued in this spot. There's a new Head Coach for Hawaii and he used to play for the Rainbow Warriors. Nick Rolovich was the QB for Hawaii and will have former teammate Brian SMith as the offensive coordinator and associate head coach. I think these two guys are going to gel great and Hawaii can only get better as a team. Rolovich was the OC at Nevada the last 4 years. Rolovich came to Nevada after a wildly productive four-year run at Hawaii, where he directed one of the top passing offenses in the nation. He was the quarterbacks coach all four seasons and spent the last two years as the Warriors' offensive coordinator.In Rolovich’s first game with Nevada in 2012, Rolovich beat Cal, 31-24, as a 12 point road dog, so their is some ‘deja vu’ here and a great storyline.
Hawaii returns 9 players on offense (73 offensive line starts). Senior QB Woolsey should be able to lead the team on some scores against this soft Cal defense. While Hawaii’s weakness is their secondary, the Cal Bears passing game is not going to be up to full speed yet. I think Hawaii will be improved offensively from last year and Cal will struggle to score, especially touchdowns and the defense is not good enough to offset the offensive regression.
Special Teams: Senior utility kicker Sanchez was one of only five kickers nationally to handle all duties. As a field goal kicker, he converted 8-of-11 attempts, including two from 47 yards and a long of 50 to earn all-Mountain West Honorable Mention. So we have a quality FG kicker on our side here as well. While we are looking for touchdowns, all scores will help and this game should have it’s fair share of field goal opportunities. (1* Hawaii plus the points)
Brandon Shively is a documented *$47,860 in profits since 2013 in NFL/CFB combined!* Brandon torched the College Football books in the ‘14-’15 season hitting a documented 67.5% of his picks during the regular season. Football is his strongest sport and looks forward to building your bankroll this season with him on Covers! If you are looking to maximize your profits this football season, Brandon says he will do it for you and you will have a fun time winning while watching your bankroll grow and SMASHING your ‘Book’ all at the same time!