Smart Box Series: Deep Six
By Marc Lawrence
With the season approaching the mid way point, let’s take one final look at expanding our bankroll with college football teams in GAME SIX situations.
Our well-oiled database reports a turning point for 3-2 or better teams that take to the road when playing off one-loss exact. They win and continue with the prospects of donning bowling shirts, or they lose and begin entertaining visions of staying home for the holidays. Thus these become pivotal games on each team’s schedule.
These Game Six travelers, playing off one-loss exact, respond with vigor in the Game Six scenarios going 89-59-2 ATS in all games since 1980. That’s represents a rock solid 60% wining spread mark.
This week finds qualifying three teams taking to the road, namely Middle Tennessee State, TCU and Tennessee.
Better yet, when priced as dogs in competitive situations (+10 or fewer points) they improve to 38-18-1 ATS.
The best role occurs when these same visitors take on a foe sporting a winning record as they improve to 27-10-1 ATS in these spirited contests.
TCU and Tennessee look to be ‘devilish’ sides on this week’s card. Good luck…
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This is a 1* Free Play on the Wizards.
It looks like a good spot to pull the trigger on the home side here, as Denver comes into this one disheartened after falling 116-111 in Brooklyn just last night. Washington should be the much “hungrier” side this evening as it’s dropped three of its last four, including a listless 124-116 setback to Orlando at home last time out. Also note that Denver is just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 as an underdog, while Washington is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range. Consider laying the points on the WIZARDS.