Smart Box Series: Deep Six
By Marc Lawrence
With the season approaching the mid way point, let’s take one final look at expanding our bankroll with college football teams in GAME SIX situations.
Our well-oiled database reports a turning point for 3-2 or better teams that take to the road when playing off one-loss exact. They win and continue with the prospects of donning bowling shirts, or they lose and begin entertaining visions of staying home for the holidays. Thus these become pivotal games on each team’s schedule.
These Game Six travelers, playing off one-loss exact, respond with vigor in the Game Six scenarios going 89-59-2 ATS in all games since 1980. That’s represents a rock solid 60% wining spread mark.
This week finds qualifying three teams taking to the road, namely Middle Tennessee State, TCU and Tennessee.
Better yet, when priced as dogs in competitive situations (+10 or fewer points) they improve to 38-18-1 ATS.
The best role occurs when these same visitors take on a foe sporting a winning record as they improve to 27-10-1 ATS in these spirited contests.
TCU and Tennessee look to be ‘devilish’ sides on this week’s card. Good luck…
- Green Bay
- AAA Sports
- October 11, 2015 - 1:00 PM
- Offered at:
- bookmaker @ -9.5 -105 Green Bay
1* Free Play Packers.
The Rams surprised everyone with their outright SU win over the Cardinals last week, but if this team has shown anything this season, it's been it's unbelievable inconsistency from week to week. After beating division rival Seattle in its opener, St. Louis would then promptly lose to a mediocre Redskins team in Week 2 and now has to face Aaron Rodgers and the 4-0 SU/ATS Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. There's no question that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Rams after another tough divisional win and note that from a trend based standpoint, this play is about as strong as you could possibly ask for as St. Louis is just 1-5 SU its last six vs. the Pack and only 4-9 SU its last 13 on the road (also just 2-5 ATS its last seven overall), while Green Bay is 5-0 SU its last five at home and 7-2 SU its last nine vs. the Rams at Lambeau. We're going to lay the points as we expect the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" to their bye the following week, followed by back-to-back "cream puffs" at home vs. the Browns and 49'ers respectively; consider a second look at GREEN BAY in this one.