Smart Box Series: Deep Six
By Marc Lawrence
With the season approaching the mid way point, let’s take one final look at expanding our bankroll with college football teams in GAME SIX situations.
Our well-oiled database reports a turning point for 3-2 or better teams that take to the road when playing off one-loss exact. They win and continue with the prospects of donning bowling shirts, or they lose and begin entertaining visions of staying home for the holidays. Thus these become pivotal games on each team’s schedule.
These Game Six travelers, playing off one-loss exact, respond with vigor in the Game Six scenarios going 89-59-2 ATS in all games since 1980. That’s represents a rock solid 60% wining spread mark.
This week finds qualifying three teams taking to the road, namely Middle Tennessee State, TCU and Tennessee.
Better yet, when priced as dogs in competitive situations (+10 or fewer points) they improve to 38-18-1 ATS.
The best role occurs when these same visitors take on a foe sporting a winning record as they improve to 27-10-1 ATS in these spirited contests.
TCU and Tennessee look to be ‘devilish’ sides on this week’s card. Good luck…
- O (CLE at GS)
- Will Rogers
- June 2, 2016 - 9:00 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ Over 210 -103
1* free play on CLE@GS to go OVER....
The NBA Finals get underway Thursday, and we'll see a rematch of last year's Finals when the Warriors defeated the Cavs to win the Championship. Last year the Cavs were short-handed, with Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving both sidelined due to injury. With Cleveland at full strength, we could see some higher scores than we saw in the Finals a year ago.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Three-Point Shooting - The Cavs were not a three-point shooting team during the regular season, but they've been launching a ton of three-point shots in the playoffs. They broke an NBA record for made three-pointers in their series versus Atlanta, and averaged over 40 attempted three-pointers per game against the Raptors. The Warriors live and die with their long range shooting, as evidenced by Klay Thompson's heroic performance with 11 made threes in Game 6.
2. Previous History - The Warriors failed to reach the total in five of seven games versus the Thunder, but the number in those games was an average of 10 points higher than the number for Game 1 versus the Cavs. The last time these teams met, the Warriors won 132-98 at Cleveland. The Cavs have gone over in eight of their last 11 road games.
3. X-Factor - LeBron James is coming off his highest scoring game of the playoffs, totaling 33 points in 41 minutes in Game 6 versus Toronto.
Selection: This is a play on the Cavs@Warriors to go OVER the total (Free)