Smart Box Series: Deep Six
By Marc Lawrence
With the season approaching the mid way point, let’s take one final look at expanding our bankroll with college football teams in GAME SIX situations.
Our well-oiled database reports a turning point for 3-2 or better teams that take to the road when playing off one-loss exact. They win and continue with the prospects of donning bowling shirts, or they lose and begin entertaining visions of staying home for the holidays. Thus these become pivotal games on each team’s schedule.
These Game Six travelers, playing off one-loss exact, respond with vigor in the Game Six scenarios going 89-59-2 ATS in all games since 1980. That’s represents a rock solid 60% wining spread mark.
This week finds qualifying three teams taking to the road, namely Middle Tennessee State, TCU and Tennessee.
Better yet, when priced as dogs in competitive situations (+10 or fewer points) they improve to 38-18-1 ATS.
The best role occurs when these same visitors take on a foe sporting a winning record as they improve to 27-10-1 ATS in these spirited contests.
TCU and Tennessee look to be ‘devilish’ sides on this week’s card. Good luck…
- O (COL at LAD)
- AAA Sports
- July 2, 2016 - 10:10 PM
- Offered at:
- betonline @ Over 8 -105
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1* Free Play OVER Rockies/Dodgers.
The visitors hand the ball to Chad Bettis (6-5, 5.84 ERA) who was rocked for seven runs off 12 hits with three walks over five innings in a fortunate no-decision vs. the Diamondback on Sunday. Bettis has been particularly poor in this spot all year, sporting a 5.23 ERA on the road and an even worse 2-4, 6.25 ERA in all “night” games. The home side counters with Scott Kazmir (6-3, 4.67) who notched a win vs. the Pirates in his last outing despite giving up four runs off four hits and four walks over five innings. Note that Kazmir owns a pedestrian 4.00 ERA in front of the home town crowd this year. Game-to-game consistency has plagued each of these starters, consider a second look at the OVER in this one.
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