Smart Box Series: Deep Six
By Marc Lawrence
With the season approaching the mid way point, let’s take one final look at expanding our bankroll with college football teams in GAME SIX situations.
Our well-oiled database reports a turning point for 3-2 or better teams that take to the road when playing off one-loss exact. They win and continue with the prospects of donning bowling shirts, or they lose and begin entertaining visions of staying home for the holidays. Thus these become pivotal games on each team’s schedule.
These Game Six travelers, playing off one-loss exact, respond with vigor in the Game Six scenarios going 89-59-2 ATS in all games since 1980. That’s represents a rock solid 60% wining spread mark.
This week finds qualifying three teams taking to the road, namely Middle Tennessee State, TCU and Tennessee.
Better yet, when priced as dogs in competitive situations (+10 or fewer points) they improve to 38-18-1 ATS.
The best role occurs when these same visitors take on a foe sporting a winning record as they improve to 27-10-1 ATS in these spirited contests.
TCU and Tennessee look to be ‘devilish’ sides on this week’s card. Good luck…
- St. Louis
- AAA Sports
- March 30, 2015 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- pinnacle @ -160 St. Louis
1* Free Play Blues.
I think the home side is worth the price of admission in this spot. Both teams have for the most part played extremely well all year, but each is stumbling towards the finish line. In a situation like this, I don't think that home ice advantage can be overlooked and feel that it will ultimately help in deciding the outcome of this contest. After winning seven of nine, the Canucks have dropped two straight, including a 4-3 OT loss to Dallas on Saturday. To say this is a revenge game for the home side would be an understatement I think as Vancouver has won five straight in the series. The Blues will be hungry, they're just 1-2-2 in their last five and have lost four of six at home. I am going to call Vancouver's Eddie Lack and St. Louis' Brian Elliot a "wash" tonight, but note that the Canucks are just 4-5 (-2.1 units) following a loss by four goals or more in overtime this season. The desperation level in which St. Louis plays with tonight will be the difference, consider a second look at the BLUES in this one.
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