Smart Box Series: Deep Six
By Marc Lawrence
With the season approaching the mid way point, let’s take one final look at expanding our bankroll with college football teams in GAME SIX situations.
Our well-oiled database reports a turning point for 3-2 or better teams that take to the road when playing off one-loss exact. They win and continue with the prospects of donning bowling shirts, or they lose and begin entertaining visions of staying home for the holidays. Thus these become pivotal games on each team’s schedule.
These Game Six travelers, playing off one-loss exact, respond with vigor in the Game Six scenarios going 89-59-2 ATS in all games since 1980. That’s represents a rock solid 60% wining spread mark.
This week finds qualifying three teams taking to the road, namely Middle Tennessee State, TCU and Tennessee.
Better yet, when priced as dogs in competitive situations (+10 or fewer points) they improve to 38-18-1 ATS.
The best role occurs when these same visitors take on a foe sporting a winning record as they improve to 27-10-1 ATS in these spirited contests.
TCU and Tennessee look to be ‘devilish’ sides on this week’s card. Good luck…
- U (CHI at ANA)
- AAA Sports
- May 30, 2015 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ Under 5 115
1* Free Play UNDER Hawks/Ducks.
What's the first thing that comes to mind when you think about these two teams? For me, it's efficient offenses, backed by smothering defensive play and superb goaltending. So, I think it's a bit of surprise that the total is 3-1-2 so far through the first six in the Western Conference Finals, including having sailed above the posted number in three straight. With a trip to the Stanley Cup Finals on the line though, I feel that the UNDER is finally worthy of a second look here as each of these teams clamps down defensively and waits for the other to make the first mistake. In my opinion, this is a great situational play, but it's also very strong from an Over/Under trend based stand point as Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of six this year after playing to three or more OVERs in a row, while Anaheim has seen it dip below the posted number in five of seven in the same position. With players risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the correct move in Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals.
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