NFL Line Watch Week 14
Spread to bet now
Tennessee Titans (+13.5) @ Denver Broncos
If you like the Titans to keep this one close, then I'd recommend jumping on this line as fast as possible. While you can still get a 13.5 at 5Dimes as of printing, for the most part 12 is the predominating number across the board. It's likely to drop even lower. Tennessee is coming off a hard-fought 22-14 loss in Indianapolis last week and catches a somewhat complacent home side coming off its second victory of the season over division rival Kansas City. As good as Denver is, there is no question that this sets up as a natural "letdown / trap" game for the Broncos, with a contest vs. division rival San Diego next week. While the Titans have struggled for bettors at home this year, they've been a non-stop profit buffet on the road all season, going a near-perfect 5-1 ATS so far. Expect this line to continue to drop as the week wares on.
Spread to wait on
St. Louis Rams (+6) @ Arizona Cardinals
Divisional contests at this time of year are always important. If you think the Rams can bounce back from their 23-13 setback at San Francisco last week and hand the Cardinals a second-straight loss, I'd recommend waiting a bit closer to kick-off before getting involved with this one. This line opened at 6 and while that is pretty much the predominating number across the board as of printing, there is a 6.5 (Pinnacle) and even a 7 (5Dimes) available right now as well. I think this number could go even higher. Bettors are jumping on Arizona as it looks to bounce back from its first loss in four games and to avenge a 27-24 setback in St. Louis in Week 1. With two straight on the road, including a game in Seattle on December 22nd, this contest takes on added importance for the home side. Expect this line to continue to climb as we get closer to kickoff.
Total to watch
Tennessee Titans @ Denver Broncos (50.5)
Once again we look to the Denver Broncos for this week's total to watch. Denver has seen the total go 10-2 this year, 5-1 at home and 5-1 on the road. As mentioned above, the Broncos most recently beat the Chiefs for a second time in the last three weeks, a 35-28 barn-burner, the total sailing above the posted number of 49.5 in that one. This total opened at 50.5, but is already starting to drop, with 50's and even a 49.5 on the board as of printing (5Dimes). Tennessee has seen the total go 2-3-1 on the road so far this year. If you're planning no playing the "under", consider getting involved as soon as possible.
- U (SJ at PIT)
- Will Rogers
- May 30, 2016 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- 5dimes @ Under 5.5 -130
1* free play on SJS@PIT to go UNDER...
The San Jose Sharks and the Pittsburgh Penguins will meet in the Stanley Cup Finals, and Game 1 goes Monday. These are the two highest scoring teams in the playoffs, and because of that we see a higher than usual total (5.5). I expect both teams to have a more cautious and conservative approach in the series opener.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Previous History - Pittsburgh won the last meeting by a score of 5-1, but the total went under in each of the previous three meetings. Goals have been few and far between when these teams play in Pittsburgh, going under at a rate of 5-1-1 in the last seven.
2. Martin Jones - The Sharks netminder stopped 24-of-26 shots in a big win in Game 7 of the Western Conference Final, and he's 12-6 with a 2.12 GAA in the post-season. Jones has registered three shutouts in his last seven starts.
3. X-Factor - The under is 8-3-2 in Penguins last 13 Stanley Cup Finals games.
Selection - This is a play on the Sharks@Pens to go UNDER the total (Free)