NFL Line Watch Week 14
Spread to bet now
Tennessee Titans (+13.5) @ Denver Broncos
If you like the Titans to keep this one close, then I'd recommend jumping on this line as fast as possible. While you can still get a 13.5 at 5Dimes as of printing, for the most part 12 is the predominating number across the board. It's likely to drop even lower. Tennessee is coming off a hard-fought 22-14 loss in Indianapolis last week and catches a somewhat complacent home side coming off its second victory of the season over division rival Kansas City. As good as Denver is, there is no question that this sets up as a natural "letdown / trap" game for the Broncos, with a contest vs. division rival San Diego next week. While the Titans have struggled for bettors at home this year, they've been a non-stop profit buffet on the road all season, going a near-perfect 5-1 ATS so far. Expect this line to continue to drop as the week wares on.
Spread to wait on
St. Louis Rams (+6) @ Arizona Cardinals
Divisional contests at this time of year are always important. If you think the Rams can bounce back from their 23-13 setback at San Francisco last week and hand the Cardinals a second-straight loss, I'd recommend waiting a bit closer to kick-off before getting involved with this one. This line opened at 6 and while that is pretty much the predominating number across the board as of printing, there is a 6.5 (Pinnacle) and even a 7 (5Dimes) available right now as well. I think this number could go even higher. Bettors are jumping on Arizona as it looks to bounce back from its first loss in four games and to avenge a 27-24 setback in St. Louis in Week 1. With two straight on the road, including a game in Seattle on December 22nd, this contest takes on added importance for the home side. Expect this line to continue to climb as we get closer to kickoff.
Total to watch
Tennessee Titans @ Denver Broncos (50.5)
Once again we look to the Denver Broncos for this week's total to watch. Denver has seen the total go 10-2 this year, 5-1 at home and 5-1 on the road. As mentioned above, the Broncos most recently beat the Chiefs for a second time in the last three weeks, a 35-28 barn-burner, the total sailing above the posted number of 49.5 in that one. This total opened at 50.5, but is already starting to drop, with 50's and even a 49.5 on the board as of printing (5Dimes). Tennessee has seen the total go 2-3-1 on the road so far this year. If you're planning no playing the "under", consider getting involved as soon as possible.
- Teddy Covers
- August 30, 2015 - 3:05 PM
- Offered at:
- bookmaker @ -129 Texas
Take Texas (#924)
This is a tale of two teams headed in opposite directions. The Orioles playoff hopes are slipping away on this dismal road trip. They’ve lost three straight and nine of their last ten overall; held to three runs or less in all nine of those defeats.
Manager Buck Showalter, talking about his team’s mental state following last night’s one run loss: “They’re frustrated. Frustrated!”
The Rangers, on the other hand, are surging, winners of 12 of their last 16 games. Since their 16-28 start in Arlington, Texas is now 15-4 in their last 19 home games. Their season long stats still show all of those earlier struggles in Arlington, despite the fact that those numbers are largely irrelevant now – hence the cheap price tag to support Derek Holland this afternoon.
Orioles starter Miguel Gonzalez has been getting rocked on a consistent basis since the All Star Break, with a 7.58 ERA in his last six starts. Gonzalez is a fly ball pitcher with a propensity for allowing home runs (six dingers allowed in his last four starts, 24 for the full season), throwing today against a potent lineup in a venue that isn’t very friendly to fly ball pitchers. Meanwhile, Rangers starter Derek Holland is back to full strength after missing the first four months of the season with a shoulder injury. Current Orioles have a .188 batting average against Holland, and I’m not expecting a breakout performance from this slumping lineup here. Take the Rangers.
Teddy swept his NFL plays on Saturday, now hitting 73% in NFL action since Day 1 of the preseason. He is passing on Sunday's short NFL card, but he has isolated his single best bet in MLB action as the Cubs and Dodgers battle on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. Don’t miss it!
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