Teddy's Week 10 NFL Power Ratings
1) Los Angeles Rams -8
Since starting the season 3-0 against the spread, the Rams have only covered one pointspread in their last six games; consistent money burners for their backers.
2) Kansas City Chiefs -7.5
The Chiefs bandwagon in Vegas grows bigger by the week thanks to an 8-1 pointspread record to go along with their 8-1 straight up mark.
3) New England Patriots -7
Even though the Pats generated only one sack on Aaron Rodgers, New England’s pass rush was the dominant factor in holding the Packers scoreless for the final 26 minutes.
4) New Orleans Saints -6.5
Lost in the excitement in the Saints ten point win against LA: New Orleans pass defense got torched for 391 yards and 3 TD’s, plus they blew a three TD lead at home.
5) Minnesota Vikings -5
The Vikings pass rush sacked Matthew Stafford ten times on Sunday; good news with the likes of Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady and Russell Wilson on tap after their bye week.
6) Pittsburgh Steelers -4
The improving Steelers ‘D’ hasn’t allowed more than 21 points in any game since September and kept Baltimore out of the end zone on three of four red zone trips.
7) Los Angeles Chargers -3.5
After missing extra points in four consecutive games and field goals in each of the last three, LA kicker Caleb Sturgis was mercifully cut on Monday.
8) Philadelphia Eagles -3
Philly comes out of their bye week with a fully healthy Carson Wentz coming off four consecutive games with a QB rating of 115 or higher.
9) Carolina Panthers -3
Offensive coordinator Norv Turner is creating magic for a Panthers squad playing without both starting offensive tackles; producing 31+ points four times in their last six games.
10) Green Bay Packers -2.5
The injuries just keep coming for Green Bay, with WR Geronimo Allison out long term and CB Kevin King unlikely to suit up against Miami on Sunday.
11) Atlanta Falcons -2
The Falcons early season red zone woes are a long way in the rear view mirror now; turning 16 of their last 20 red zone possessions into touchdowns.
12) Houston Texans -1.5
Deshaun Watson continues to assault the record books, joining Dan Marino and Kurt Warner as the only QB’s in NFL history to throw 35 TD passes in their first 16 games.
13) Chicago Bears -1
Vic Fangio’s defense continues to dominate ballgames, notching four takeaways and two touchdowns despite the absence of Khalil Mack in the lineup.
14) Baltimore Ravens -0.5
John Harbaugh doesn’t seem to be too concerned about job security after the Ravens third straight loss: “I've never been somebody that ever worried about keeping a job.”
15) Seattle Seahawks 0
Vegas opened the Seahawks as ten point underdogs at LA against the Rams this coming Sunday, the first time in Russell Wilson’s entire career that he’s been a double digit dog.
16) Cincinnati Bengals +1
I subtracted a single point from Cinci’s power rating for the loss of AJ Green, although his absence (toe injury, out at least two weeks) has the potential to be worth more.
17) Tennessee Titans +1
The Titans converted 11 - 14 on 3rd downs in their win at Dallas; a missed field goal away from equaling their point total from the last three games combined!
18) Dallas Cowboys +1
Jerry Jones is clearly running out of patience with Jason Garrett. His quote after Monday Night’s loss: "When you've played eight games and only won three, that's a cause for concern.”
19) Detroit Lions +1.5
It’s already panic mode in Detroit, with Matt Patricia firing special teams coach Joe Marciano following their second straight ugly blowout loss since the bye week.
20) Washington Redskins +1.5
Starting guards Shawn Lauvao and Brandon Scherff are both ruled out for the season, compounding the losses on an OL already playing without pro bowler Trent Williams.
21) Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5
The Jags anemic rushing attack has averaged only 93 yards per game this season, but they should finally have Leonard Fournette back on the field this week.
22) Indianapolis Colts +2
Indy drafted well last spring. Colts LB Darius Leonard was named ‘Rookie of the Month’ for September and guard Quentin Nelson won the award in October.
23) Denver Broncos +2.5
After playing a whopping 3850 consecutive snaps since becoming the starter in 2015, Center Matt Paradis suffered a broken leg on Sunday, out long term.
24) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5
The reeling Bucs are now 1-5 since their 2-0 start, with their much maligned defense allowing at least 30 points in all five of those defeats.
25) Miami Dolphins +3
The Dolphins have placed nine players on injured reserve since the start of the season, and still haven’t gotten QB Ryan Tannehill back in the lineup after a month long absence.
26) New York Jets +3.5
Jets center Spencer Long was a big part of their offensive ineptitude last Sunday, delivering repeated ‘bad snaps’ before getting pulled from the game with a finger injury.
27) Cleveland Browns +4
The slumping Browns have now lost four straight (and cashed four straight Over bets) since their 2-2-1 start. Three of those losses have come by more than two TD’s.
28) New York Giants +4
The Giants stats continue to look far better than their record, ensuring wiseguy betting support. For the season, the 1-7 G-men have only been outgained by 0.1 yards per play.
29) San Francisco 49ers +4
Nick Mullens has not officially been named the QB starter for Monday Night’s game against the Giants, despite his 151.9 passer rating in his starting debut last week.
30) Arizona Cardinals +6
It’s the Josh Rosen show moving forward after ‘Zona released Sam Bradford. Bradford earned $13.5 million for his 400 passing yards and 2 TD’s with the Cards.
31) Buffalo Bills +7
Shady McCoy hasn’t exactly lived up to his fat contract of late: 24 yards in his last 24 rushing attempts. To make matters even worse, backup Chris Ivory got hurt last week.
32) Oakland Raiders +7
The Raiders have an NFL low seven sacks and they’re at the bottom of the league in QB pressures by a wide margin. Gruden just cut sack leader Bruce Irvin. Go figure…
- Tim Michael
- April 23, 2019 - 8:00 PM
- Offered at:
- bwin @ Under 230.5 (-115)
T.M. Selection: Nets/76ers under (FREE PLAY)
Clearly the Nets are going to be risking life and limb here as they look to stave off elimination. Brooklyn took Game 1 by a score of 111-102, but since then it’s been all Philadelphia, winning 145-123, 131-115 and 112-108. Game 4 went “under” the number and I’m expecting a similarly hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring battle in Game 5 as well. The Nets can’t get into a shootout and expect to hang with the suddenly surging 76ers, instead they’ll have to try and control the tempo if they have any shot at mounting a comeback in my opinion. The numbers/trends support us as well, as note that Brooklyn has already seen the total go under in ten of 17 when playing with two days rest, while Philadelphia has seen the total go under in 15 of its last 22 when the total in the game is greater than or equal to 230. Consider the “under” in Game 5.
T.M. Prediction: To get Tim’s final predicted score on this game, please check out his 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK, which just happens to be on this exact contest!