NBA Playoff Report (Sunday, Apr. 14)

Steve Merril | Apr 14, 2019 | ARCHIVE

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Below are my power ratings and analysis for Sunday's NBA Playoff games.

Pacers at Celtics (1 pm ET, TNT)
My power ratings make Boston just a 6.5-point favorite over Indiana in this game, so the market is a bit high with the Celtics currently -7.5/-8.  The posted total is a bit low based on the personnel that will be on the court, so going Over may be the way to play Game 1.

Thunder at Trail Blazers (3:30 pm ET, ABC)
My power ratings make Portland a 3-point favorite, so the opener of 4.5 was too high.  The market has corrected that, and the Trail Blazers are now a 3.5-point favorite.  The Thunder are listing Paul George as questionable with a shoulder injury, and his status is quite important.  This game is a pass based on the uncertain injury situation.

Pistons at Bucks (7 pm ET, TNT)
My power ratings make Milwaukee a 12-point favorite over Detroit.  The line is priced fairly correctly at -13, so there is not enough value with the underdog.  The Bucks lay over the Pistons, and if Blake Griffin is out, Milwaukee will have little trouble in this series.  Detroit has had some surprising results this season, but they are certainly up against it for the next 4 games.

Jazz at Rockets (9:30 pm ET, TNT)
This game is a strong Best Bet available here

 

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